PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#32.0:1.47-0FT31/10 · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven1.0:3.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.09BTNX16.5PIN225.0MARMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets107Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 13:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.09	12.5	32.0	2.9%
Dafabet	1.09	13.0	23.0	3.8%
Pinnacle	1.07	16.5	22.8	3.9%
1xBet	1.05	17.5	33.0	4.0%
Bet365	1.08	13.0	21.0	5.0%
Betfair	1.06	14.0	23.0	5.8%
William Hill	1.06	13.0	23.0	6.4%
BetVictor	1.06	11.5	23.0	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.04	13.0	25.0	7.8%
SBO	1.06	9.06	13.0	13.1%
Best of all books	1.09	16.5	25.0	1.8%
Average	1.07	13.3	23.9	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PSV EindhovenWillem II

Last 10#3Table position#182.09Points per game0.187Form pts · last 532.0Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 53.667Attack rating3372Defence rating28100Form rating071H2H rating2990Goals model1073Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

PSV Eindhoven

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

31 Oct	H	Willem II	7-0	W
25 Oct	H	Feyenoord	1-1	D
20 Oct	A	FC Porto	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	ADO Den Haag	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	RB Leipzig	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Heerenveen	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Twente	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Sparta Rotterdam	4-1	W
10 Sep	H	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Ajax	3-1	W

Willem II

1W 2D 7L · goals 13:31 · per match 1.3 for, 3.1 against

27 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	4-3	W
24 Oct	H	Cambuur	1-6	L
17 Oct	A	Sparta Rotterdam	2-3	L
11 Oct	A	Utrecht	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Fortuna Sittard	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Ajax	1-5	L
11 Sep	A	AZ Alkmaar	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Excelsior	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Heerenveen	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	NEC Nijmegen	1-4	L

Head to head

16PSV Eindhoven wins

4draws

3Willem II wins

23 meetings · goals 57:24 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for PSV Eindhoven

8 Feb 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	PSV Eindhoven1-1Willem II
28 Sep 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II0-2PSV Eindhoven
1 May 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	PSV Eindhoven4-2Willem II
25 Sep 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II2-1PSV Eindhoven
9 May 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II0-2PSV Eindhoven
8 Nov 2020Eredivisie	Eredivisie	PSV Eindhoven3-0Willem II
21 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Willem II1-1PSV Eindhoven
8 Feb 2020Eredivisie	Eredivisie	PSV Eindhoven3-0Willem II
10 Nov 2019Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II2-1PSV Eindhoven
25 Apr 2019Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Willem II0-3PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven sit 3rd with 23 points from 11 games, while Willem II are 18th with 2 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	11	7	4	0	33:12	+21	25
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	30:13	+17	24
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	2	2	35:13	+22	23
4	Twente	10	6	2	2	19:10	+9	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	2	3	20:13	+7	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	11	5	4	2	18:18	0	19
7	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	19:13	+6	18
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	+3	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	3	5	2	23:23	0	14
10	Cambuur	10	3	3	4	19:22	-3	12
11	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	17:27	-10	12
12	Excelsior	10	3	2	5	16:19	-3	11
13	NEC Nijmegen	11	2	5	4	17:19	-2	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11:23	-12	8
16	Telstar	10	1	3	6	12:21	-9	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	1	3	6	13:23	-10	6
18	Willem II	11	0	2	9	10:39	-29	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg189%1.07X7%13.324%23.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.06 → 1.07 +0.9%X13.1 → 13.3 +1.6%223.5 → 23.9 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.16	5.40	4.7%
Bet365	1.14	5.50	5.9%
Betfair	1.10	6.50	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.11	6.15	6.4%
BetVictor	1.11	5.75	7.5%
1xBet	1.12	5.45	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.09	5.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.16	6.50	1.6%
Average	1.12	5.72	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.78	1.98	6.7%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.79	1.92	7.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.89	8.8%
Best of all books	1.79	2.05	4.6%
Average	1.76	1.97	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PSV Eindhoven 50%Draw 50%Willem II 0%

The statistical model rated PSV Eindhoven at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Willem II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 13.31 | 23.88, which imply roughly 93.5% for a PSV Eindhoven win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: PSV Eindhoven are 3rd (23 pts, 35-13 goals), Willem II 18th (2 pts, 10-39).

Over their last five matches, PSV Eindhoven averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Willem II averaged 1 scored and 3.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Bosz

Goalkeeper

32M. Kovář

Defence

8S. Dest
2L. Geertruida
4A. Obispo
3Yarek Gasiorowski

Midfield

24K. Sano
17Mauro Júnior
5I. Perišić
20G. Til
7R. van Bommel

Attack

21S. Mijnans

Substitutes (12)

25K. Sildillia
35A. Santos
9R. Pepi
1N. Olij
27D. Man
18F. Kostić
6R. Flamingo
31N. Fernandez
42S. Cornecion
23M. Hansen
37A. Bouhamdi
19E. Bajraktarevic

Willem II

5-4-1

Coach: A. Koster

Goalkeeper

26M. Delanghe

Defence

5H. ter Avest
3F. Stam
83M. Lemmens
23M. Dekker
24N. Tjoe-A-On

Midfield

19Uriel van Aalst
6C. Twigt
18Anass Zarrouk
32V. van Crooij

Attack

9D. Haen

Substitutes (12)

2A. Ciranni
52T. Vilhena
11A. Culum
31K. de Leeuw
15A. Et-Taïbi
50E. Gürbüz
17O. Martin
10J. Schuurman
21W. van der Steen
22Per van Loon
28T. Verheydt
8K. Boogaard

Match Statistics

PSV EindhovenWillem II

2.65Expected Goals1.28

617Passes accurate214

15Shots insidebox4

5Shots outsidebox0

6Blocked Shots0

4Free Kicks6

9Shots on Goal1

1Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal3

3Offsides1

689Total passes304

20Total Shots4

11Corner Kicks1

0Yellow Cards2

7Fouls4

0Red Cards0

70%Ball Possession30%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.07	13.3	23.9

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	8.83	1.04

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	15.3

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
1.28	4.24	12.7

2nd half

1	X	2
1.21	5.09	11.9

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.30	31.6	81.6
HT X	4.79	18.4	42.9
HT 2	18.2	35.9	39.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.22	34.0	4.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	31.3
1.5	1.02	12.7
2.5	1.12	5.72
3.5	1.36	2.96
4.5	1.84	1.93
5.5	2.76	1.41
6.5	4.56	1.17
7.5	7.39	1.08
8.5	11.4	1.04
9.5	17.1	1.02
10.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.04	8.45
2.75	1.12	4.95
3	1.15	4.62
3.25	1.25	3.39
3.75	1.44	2.57
4	1.54	2.38
4.25	1.72	2.06
4.75	2.03	1.74
5	2.34	1.56
5.25	2.45	1.49
5.75	3.18	1.29
6	3.99	1.20
6.25	4.24	1.16
7	7.30	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	2.53	1.46
-3.5	2.23	1.62
-3.25	2.06	1.73
-3	1.85	1.94
-2.75	1.70	2.10
-2.5	1.57	2.32

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-6.5	11.0	1.01
-5.5	6.03	1.09
-5.25	5.50	1.15
-5	5.62	1.11
-4.75	4.29	1.18
-4.5	3.59	1.25
-4.25	3.28	1.29
-4	3.06	1.36
-2.25	1.45	2.61
-2	1.31	3.23
-1.75	1.27	3.45
-1.5	1.21	3.94
-1.25	1.12	4.95
-1	1.08	6.71

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.31	3.25
2.5	1.82	1.91
3.5	2.80	1.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	17.0
6.5	1.02	10.0
7.5	1.06	6.72
8.5	1.12	4.95
9.5	1.23	3.54
10.5	1.43	2.60
11.5	1.72	2.02
12.5	2.08	1.67
13.5	2.64	1.41
14.5	3.51	1.24
15.5	4.82	1.13
16.5	6.03	1.07
17.5	9.25	1.04

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.07	4.99
9	1.13	4.02
10	1.25	2.95
10.25	1.28	3.08
10.75	1.38	2.65
11	1.48	2.42
11.25	1.50	2.31
11.75	1.66	2.04
12	1.85	1.92
12.25	1.83	1.81
12.75	2.04	1.64
13	2.29	1.53
13.25	2.21	1.53
14	2.85	1.27
15	3.69	1.16
16	4.70	1.08

Next Eredivisie matches

1 Nov	PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag
1 Nov	Telstar – Utrecht
1 Nov	Excelsior – Twente
1 Nov	Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

31 Oct	Ajax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
31 Oct	Cambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles
31 Oct	Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
31 Oct	Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
25 Oct	AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Twente
25 Oct	Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax