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AZ Alkmaar vs Twente• Eredivisie, Netherlands

#51.4:1.40-2FT25/10 · AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar1.6:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BFRX3.94PIN23.05DAFMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets87Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.213.943.043.5%
Dafabet2.213.853.054.0%
1xBet2.283.822.934.2%
BetVictor2.253.902.904.6%
Betano2.153.903.005.5%
Bet3652.153.803.006.2%
Betfair2.303.752.707.2%
Marathonbet2.243.742.777.5%
William Hill2.253.702.708.5%
SBO2.143.402.7113.0%
Best of all books2.303.943.051.6%
Average2.223.782.886.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AZ AlkmaarTwente
Last 10#5Table position#41.82Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5342Defence rating5844Form rating5671H2H rating2971Goals model2955Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:10 UTC

AZ Alkmaar

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

25 OctHTwente0-2L
22 OctAArarat-Armenia4-0W
18 OctACambuur2-2D
15 OctHHapoel Beer Sheva2-1W
10 OctAFeyenoord0-2L
20 SepHTelstar1-0W
16 SepASunderland0-1L
11 SepHWillem II1-1D
6 SepAHeerenveen3-2W
29 AugHGO Ahead Eagles5-2W

Twente

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

25 OctAAZ Alkmaar2-0W
22 OctALincoln Red Imps FC4-1W
18 OctHUtrecht1-2L
15 OctHFC Thun1-0W
10 OctAFortuna Sittard1-1D
2 OctHWerder Bremen7-0W
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3-2W
12 SepHADO Den Haag2-0W
9 SepHTelstar1-0W
6 SepAGroningen2-2D

Head to head

18AZ Alkmaar wins
5draws
11Twente wins

34 meetings · goals 60:46 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for AZ Alkmaar

3 May 2026EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar2-2Twente
3 Feb 2026KNVB BekerKNVB BekerAZ Alkmaar2-1Twente
30 Nov 2025EredivisieEredivisieTwente1-0AZ Alkmaar
25 May 2025EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar3-2Twente
14 May 2025EredivisieEredivisieTwente2-3AZ Alkmaar
21 Dec 2024EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar1-0Twente
5 May 2024EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar2-1Twente
13 Jan 2024EredivisieEredivisieTwente2-1AZ Alkmaar
19 Mar 2023EredivisieEredivisieTwente2-1AZ Alkmaar
11 Sep 2022EredivisieEredivisieAZ Alkmaar1-1Twente

Eredivisie tableEredivisieupdated 1 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Eredivisie table, AZ Alkmaar sit 5th with 20 points from 11 games, while Twente are 4th with 20 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Feyenoord1174033:12+2125
2Ajax1173130:13+1724
3PSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223
4Twente1062219:10+920
5AZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720
6Fortuna Sittard1154218:18019
7Heerenveen1153319:13+618
8Groningen1043324:21+315
9GO Ahead Eagles1035223:23014
10Cambuur1033419:22-312
11Utrecht1033417:27-1012
12Excelsior1032516:19-311
13NEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211
14Sparta Rotterdam1023517:24-79
15PEC Zwolle1022611:23-128
16Telstar1013612:21-96
17ADO Den Haag1013613:23-106
18Willem II1102910:39-292

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.22X25%3.78233%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 18:401 2.22X 3.782 2.88
12.17 → 2.22 +2.3%X3.79 → 3.78 -0.3%22.90 → 2.88 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.502.674.1%
Betano1.502.654.4%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
1xBet1.482.556.8%
BetVictor1.442.637.5%
Betfair1.402.757.8%
Marathonbet1.402.5610.5%
Best of all books1.502.753.0%
Average1.462.626.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.442.676.9%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.412.698.1%
Betfair1.362.888.3%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.412.717.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AZ Alkmaar 45%Draw 45%Twente 10%

The statistical model rated AZ Alkmaar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Twente at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.78 | 2.88, which imply roughly 45% for a AZ Alkmaar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eredivisie table: AZ Alkmaar are 5th (20 pts, 20-13 goals), Twente 4th (20 pts, 19-10).

Over their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Twente averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1

Coach: L. Echteld

Goalkeeper

  • 28J. De Busser

Defence

  • 22E. Dijkstra
  • 4L. Schouten
  • 29W. Hoedt
  • 5M. Chávez

Midfield

  • 21D. Kwakman
  • 6P. Koopmeiners
  • 7Weslley Patati
  • 17V. Byskov
  • 11R. Daal

Attack

  • 9M. Meerdink
Substitutes (12)
  • 30D. Kasius
  • 54Jerolldino Bergraaf
  • 27Wassim bouziane
  • 8J. Clasie
  • 31R. Ichihara
  • 18B. Kovacs
  • 2S. Maikuma
  • 24A. Oufkir
  • 1R. Owusu-Oduro
  • 14C. Stengs
  • 34M. de Wit
  • 75H. de Wit

Twente

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. van den Brom

Goalkeeper

  • 16J. Drommel

Defence

  • 28B. van Rooij
  • 3R. Pröpper
  • 4R. Nijstad
  • 29A. Adelgaard

Midfield

  • 6R. Zerrouki
  • 8D. Weidmann
  • 11D. Rots
  • 10Y. Taha
  • 27S. Ørjasæter

Attack

  • 9W. Weghorst
Substitutes (9)
  • 18Jordy Bawuah
  • 31Yannick Gerritsen
  • 14K. Hlynsson
  • 39J. Meilink
  • 22R. Pasveer
  • 7M. Pjaca
  • 2M. Rosiak
  • 25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
  • 20T. van den Belt

Match Statistics

AZ AlkmaarTwente
1.27Expected Goals2.07
369Passes accurate341
9Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox4
5Blocked Shots7
16Free Kicks16
5Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves5
3Shots off Goal4
1Offsides4
438Total passes416
13Total Shots16
3Yellow Cards1
3Corner Kicks6
0Red Cards1
17Fouls16
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.223.782.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.641.24

Draw no bet

12
1.652.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.71

1st half

1X2
2.682.443.23

2nd half

1X2
2.442.762.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4113.022.9
HT X5.936.537.24
HT 220.213.14.58

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7620.52.03

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.0
1.51.125.62
2.51.462.62
3.52.171.67
4.53.581.27
5.56.671.09
6.511.31.03
7.517.11.02
8.531.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.80
1.751.134.76
21.174.37
2.251.313.10
2.751.562.32
31.722.09
3.251.941.84
3.752.421.52
42.931.38
4.253.111.31
4.754.081.18
55.341.11
5.255.601.09
69.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.501.49
-0.52.161.70
-0.251.921.87
01.672.18
+0.251.502.49
+0.51.412.99
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.81.02
-39.801.02
-2.57.611.05
-2.257.001.10
-26.701.08
-1.754.751.15
-1.53.851.22
-1.253.491.28
-13.141.35
+0.751.293.42
+11.174.57
+1.251.144.96
+1.51.135.25
+1.751.076.39
+21.029.40
+2.51.0310.8

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.273.50
2.51.702.07
3.52.551.47
4.53.651.26

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.0
5.51.039.67
6.51.095.66
7.51.183.98
8.51.372.77
9.51.662.10
10.52.081.68
11.52.701.39
12.53.641.22
13.54.991.12
14.56.871.06
15.510.31.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.67
81.203.32
8.751.352.74
91.432.55
9.251.482.33
9.751.652.02
101.881.90
10.251.841.80
10.752.101.62
112.271.54
11.252.401.46
11.752.781.34
122.851.27
133.771.15
144.871.07

Next Eredivisie matches

1 NovPEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag
1 NovTelstar – Utrecht
1 NovExcelsior – Twente
1 NovGroningen – Sparta Rotterdam

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eredivisie results

31 OctAjax 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
31 OctCambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles
31 OctHeerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
31 OctPSV Eindhoven 7-0 Willem II
31 OctFeyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard
25 OctSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax