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Esbjerg vs Aalborg• 1. Division, Denmark

#120.8:2.43-3FT10/10 · Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg1.4:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95BTNX3.73PIN22.32DAFMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets76Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.943.732.274.9%
Dafabet2.753.652.326.9%
Betano2.953.552.227.1%
Bet3652.903.502.257.5%
1xBet2.853.542.248.0%
BetVictor2.803.702.208.2%
Marathonbet2.833.542.228.6%
Betfair2.633.602.2011.3%
William Hill2.753.302.2012.1%
SBO2.703.412.1413.1%
Best of all books2.953.732.323.8%
Average2.813.552.238.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EsbjergAalborg
Last 10#12Table position#50.64Points per game1.276Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6433Defence rating6714Form rating8662H2H rating3828Goals model7237Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Esbjerg

2W 3D 5L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

16 OctAAarhus Fremad0-0D
10 OctHAalborg3-3D
19 SepAAB Copenhagen0-3L
15 SepAHIK5-0W
12 SepHHB Koge2-2D
5 SepAFC Fredericia0-1L
30 AugHVendsyssel FF0-2L
25 AugASkive5-1W
21 AugAVejle2-4L
15 AugHHobro1-2L

Aalborg

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHVejle0-1L
10 OctAEsbjerg3-3D
2 OctARanders FC1-0W
20 SepHVendsyssel FF2-2D
12 SepAHvidovre2-2D
5 SepAAB Copenhagen2-0W
29 AugHHB Koge0-0D
25 AugAVatanspor1-2L
21 AugAHobro1-2L
14 AugHFC Fredericia0-3L

Head to head

9Esbjerg wins
8draws
8Aalborg wins

25 meetings · goals 29:30 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Esbjerg

21 Mar 20261. Division1. DivisionAalborg1-1Esbjerg
19 Aug 20251. Division1. DivisionEsbjerg1-0Aalborg
30 Oct 2024DBU PokalenDBU PokalenEsbjerg0-2Aalborg
30 Jun 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAalborg0-0Esbjerg
19 Aug 2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsEsbjerg2-1Aalborg
31 May 2020SuperligaSuperligaEsbjerg1-1Aalborg
11 Aug 2019SuperligaSuperligaAalborg4-0Esbjerg
30 Nov 2018SuperligaSuperligaEsbjerg1-4Aalborg
27 Aug 2018SuperligaSuperligaAalborg0-1Esbjerg
4 Nov 2016SuperligaSuperligaEsbjerg3-0Aalborg

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 21 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Esbjerg sit 12th with 7 points from 11 games, while Aalborg are 5th with 14 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Hvidovre1183021:10+1127
2Vejle1164124:15+922
3FC Fredericia1155117:6+1120
4AB Copenhagen1143416:12+415
5Aalborg1135314:15-114
6Aarhus Fremad1135310:11-114
7Hobro1142513:20-714
8Kolding IF1126313:14-112
9HB Koge1124515:20-510
10Vendsyssel FF1124511:18-710
11Hillerød1123613:17-49
12Esbjerg1114613:22-97

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.81X26%3.55241%2.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 09:301 2.81X 3.552 2.23
12.78 → 2.81 +1.1%X3.51 → 3.55 +1.1%22.21 → 2.23 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.572.444.7%
Betano1.552.425.8%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
BetVictor1.502.457.5%
Betfair1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.492.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.492.3010.6%
Best of all books1.572.454.5%
Average1.522.397.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
1xBet1.452.568.0%
Betano1.452.558.2%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.452.518.8%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.452.627.1%
Average1.442.568.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Esbjerg 10%Draw 45%Aalborg 45%

The statistical model rated Esbjerg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aalborg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.81 | 3.55 | 2.23, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Esbjerg are 12th (7 pts, 13-22 goals), Aalborg 5th (14 pts, 14-15).

Over their last five matches, Esbjerg averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Aalborg averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aalborg.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.813.552.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.591.381.25

Draw no bet

12
2.091.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.56

1st half

1X2
3.252.362.71

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0316.81.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.4
1.51.154.90
2.51.522.39
3.52.291.57
4.53.911.21
5.57.001.07
6.514.61.02
7.529.01.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.066.20
1.751.154.20
21.193.78
2.251.352.79
2.751.652.12
31.831.90
3.252.061.70
3.752.591.42
43.161.27
4.253.441.23
4.754.561.13
56.051.06
5.256.351.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.861.42
-0.252.511.48
02.101.69
+0.251.811.95
+0.51.652.19
+0.751.472.53
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.501.01
-1.756.601.05
-1.55.471.11
-1.255.121.12
-14.721.15
-0.753.431.27
+11.313.17
+1.251.253.57
+1.51.203.81
+1.751.144.87
+21.056.70
+2.51.037.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.104.75
8.51.283.21
9.51.522.36
10.51.861.85
11.52.351.52
12.53.151.29
13.54.391.13
14.56.591.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.124.54
81.134.32
8.251.203.60
8.751.312.98
91.342.82
9.251.442.52
9.751.592.19
101.672.10
10.251.771.94
10.751.981.74
112.111.66
11.252.231.57
11.752.551.43
122.831.34
12.252.971.31
12.753.501.22
134.051.16
13.254.221.14
13.755.101.08
146.191.04
14.256.391.03

Next 1. Division matches

23 OctHobro – Vendsyssel FF
23 OctHvidovre – HB Koge
24 OctHillerød – Aalborg
24 OctEsbjerg – FC Fredericia
24 OctAB Copenhagen – Kolding IF
24 OctVejle – Aarhus Fremad

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

18 OctHvidovre 1-0 Hillerød
17 OctFC Fredericia 3-0 Hobro
17 OctAalborg 0-1 Vejle
16 OctKolding IF 2-1 Vendsyssel FF
16 OctHB Koge 2-3 AB Copenhagen
16 OctAarhus Fremad 0-0 Esbjerg