Hillerød vs Aalborg• 1. Division, Denmark

#110.6:1.011:0024/10 · Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor1.8:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60B365X3.65BTN22.01PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets50Rating38 · 63Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 03:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.45	3.64	2.01	6.2%
Betano	3.50	3.65	1.95	7.3%
1xBet	3.34	3.58	2.00	7.9%
Dafabet	3.45	3.60	1.95	8.0%
Bet365	3.60	3.60	1.90	8.2%
BetVictor	3.40	3.60	1.95	8.5%
Marathonbet	3.32	3.58	1.98	8.6%
Betfair	3.10	3.60	1.95	11.3%
William Hill	3.30	3.30	1.95	11.9%
SBO	3.02	3.12	1.93	17.0%
Best of all books	3.60	3.65	2.01	4.9%
Average	3.35	3.53	1.96	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HillerødAalborg

Last 10#11Table position#50.82Points per game1.274Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.625Attack rating7562Defence rating3845Form rating5515H2H rating8543Goals model5738Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Hillerød

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Hvidovre	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	FC Fredericia	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	Kolding IF	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	AB Copenhagen	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Vanløse	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	HB Koge	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Hobro	3-1	W
25 Aug	A	Avarta	4-0	W
20 Aug	A	Vendsyssel FF	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Aarhus Fremad	1-1	D

Aalborg

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Vejle	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Esbjerg	3-3	D
2 Oct	A	Randers FC	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Vendsyssel FF	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Hvidovre	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	AB Copenhagen	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	HB Koge	0-0	D
25 Aug	A	Vatanspor	1-2	L
21 Aug	A	Hobro	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	FC Fredericia	0-3	L

Head to head

0Hillerød wins

2draws

3Aalborg wins

5 meetings · goals 6:11 · last 5: 0W 2D 3L for Hillerød

24 Jul 20261. Division	1. Division	Aalborg1-0Hillerød
27 Feb 20261. Division	1. Division	Aalborg3-3Hillerød
26 Jul 20251. Division	1. Division	Hillerød2-2Aalborg
16 Mar 20241. Division	1. Division	Hillerød1-2Aalborg
27 Aug 20231. Division	1. Division	Aalborg3-0Hillerød

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 21 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Hillerød sit 11th with 9 points from 11 games, while Aalborg are 5th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hvidovre	11	8	3	0	21:10	+11	27
2	Vejle	11	6	4	1	24:15	+9	22
3	FC Fredericia	11	5	5	1	17:6	+11	20
4	AB Copenhagen	11	4	3	4	16:12	+4	15
5	Aalborg	11	3	5	3	14:15	-1	14
6	Aarhus Fremad	11	3	5	3	10:11	-1	14
7	Hobro	11	4	2	5	13:20	-7	14
8	Kolding IF	11	2	6	3	13:14	-1	12
9	HB Koge	11	2	4	5	15:20	-5	10
10	Vendsyssel FF	11	2	4	5	11:18	-7	10
11	Hillerød	11	2	3	6	13:17	-4	9
12	Esbjerg	11	1	4	6	13:22	-9	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.38X26%3.57247%1.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.67	2.18	5.8%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.15	6.0%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.68	2.18	5.4%
Average	1.67	2.13	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.27	7.7%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.28	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.24	8.7%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.28	6.4%
Average	1.57	2.25	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hillerød 10%Draw 45%Aalborg 45%

The statistical model rates Hillerød at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aalborg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.38 | 3.57 | 1.96, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Hillerød are 11th (9 pts, 13-17 goals), Aalborg 5th (14 pts, 14-15).

Over their last five matches, Hillerød averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Aalborg averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aalborg.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.35	3.53	1.96

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.28	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.55	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	2.28	2.50

2nd half

1	X	2
3.47	2.60	2.30

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.64	14.2	22.0
HT X	7.90	5.84	5.20
HT 2	31.0	13.7	3.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.25	14.9	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.9
1.5	1.19	4.18
2.5	1.67	2.13
3.5	2.61	1.43
4.5	4.67	1.15
5.5	8.67	1.04
6.5	17.6	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.80
1.25	1.08	5.60
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.26	3.22
2.25	1.47	2.49
2.75	1.82	1.90
3	2.06	1.68
3.25	2.34	1.52
3.75	3.07	1.29
4	3.95	1.17
4.25	4.31	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.92	1.36
0	2.55	1.48
+0.25	2.02	1.72
+0.5	1.81	1.96
+0.75	1.58	2.24
+1	1.40	2.75

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.78	1.01
-1.5	6.75	1.04
-1.25	6.31	1.06
-1	6.10	1.08
-0.75	4.12	1.18
-0.5	3.44	1.30
+1.25	1.32	3.11
+1.5	1.25	3.51
+1.75	1.17	4.32
+2	1.08	6.20
+2.25	1.11	6.60
+2.5	1.06	7.07

Next 1. Division matches

23 Oct	Hobro – Vendsyssel FF
23 Oct	Hvidovre – HB Koge
24 Oct	Esbjerg – FC Fredericia
24 Oct	AB Copenhagen – Kolding IF
24 Oct	Vejle – Aarhus Fremad

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

18 Oct	Hvidovre 1-0 Hillerød
17 Oct	FC Fredericia 3-0 Hobro
17 Oct	Aalborg 0-1 Vejle
16 Oct	Kolding IF 2-1 Vendsyssel FF
16 Oct	HB Koge 2-3 AB Copenhagen
16 Oct	Aarhus Fremad 0-0 Esbjerg