Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg• 1. Division, Denmark

#60.6:1.20-0FTToday · Riisvangen, Aarhus1.0:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.33PINX3.77PIN22.82PINMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets79Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.25	3.85	2.90	4.9%
Bet365	2.25	3.60	2.80	7.9%
1xBet	2.18	3.65	2.88	8.0%
BetVictor	2.20	3.70	2.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	3.65	2.86	8.7%
William Hill	2.15	3.40	2.75	12.3%
Best of all books	2.25	3.85	2.90	4.9%
Average	2.20	3.64	2.83	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

Last 10#6Table position#121.30Points per game0.605Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6365Defence rating3571Form rating2950H2H rating5066Goals model3457Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

Aarhus Fremad

3W 5D 2L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

9 Oct	A	AB Copenhagen	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Hvidovre	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Hørsholm-Usserød	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Vendsyssel FF	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Kolding IF	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Vejle	0-0	D
25 Aug	A	SGI	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	FC Fredericia	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Hillerød	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	HB Koge	3-1	W

Esbjerg

2W 2D 6L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	H	Aalborg	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	AB Copenhagen	0-3	L
15 Sep	A	HIK	5-0	W
12 Sep	H	HB Koge	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	FC Fredericia	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Vendsyssel FF	0-2	L
25 Aug	A	Skive	5-1	W
21 Aug	A	Vejle	2-4	L
15 Aug	H	Hobro	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Hvidovre	1-2	L

Head to head

4Aarhus Fremad wins

2draws

7Esbjerg wins

13 meetings · goals 15:20 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Aarhus Fremad

4 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Esbjerg2-0Aarhus Fremad
25 Oct 20251. Division	1. Division	Aarhus Fremad0-1Esbjerg
28 Sep 20251. Division	1. Division	Esbjerg1-1Aarhus Fremad
18 May 20242. Division	2. Division	Aarhus Fremad2-0Esbjerg
26 Apr 20242. Division	2. Division	Esbjerg0-1Aarhus Fremad
24 Mar 20242. Division	2. Division	Esbjerg2-2Aarhus Fremad
14 Oct 20232. Division	2. Division	Aarhus Fremad2-4Esbjerg
21 May 20232. Division	2. Division	Esbjerg3-1Aarhus Fremad
14 May 20232. Division	2. Division	Aarhus Fremad1-3Esbjerg
5 Mar 20232. Division	2. Division	Esbjerg0-2Aarhus Fremad

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 16 Oct 19:03 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Aarhus Fremad sit 6th with 13 points from 10 games, while Esbjerg are 12th with 6 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hvidovre	10	7	3	0	20:10	+10	24
2	Vejle	10	5	4	1	23:15	+8	19
3	FC Fredericia	10	4	5	1	14:6	+8	17
4	Aalborg	10	3	5	2	14:14	0	14
5	Hobro	10	4	2	4	13:17	-4	14
6	Aarhus Fremad	10	3	4	3	10:11	-1	13
7	AB Copenhagen	10	3	3	4	13:10	+3	12
8	HB Koge	10	2	4	4	13:17	-4	10
9	Vendsyssel FF	10	2	4	4	10:16	-6	10
10	Kolding IF	10	1	6	3	11:13	-2	9
11	Hillerød	10	2	3	5	13:16	-3	9
12	Esbjerg	10	1	3	6	13:22	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.26X26%3.62234%2.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.09 → 2.26 +8.1%X3.65 → 3.62 -0.8%23.00 → 2.75 -8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.55	2.47	5.0%
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Best of all books	1.60	2.47	3.0%
Average	1.55	2.31	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.48	2.47	8.1%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.43	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.48	2.47	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aarhus Fremad 45%Draw 45%Esbjerg 10%

The statistical model rated Aarhus Fremad at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Esbjerg at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.62 | 2.75, which imply roughly 44.2% for a Aarhus Fremad win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Aarhus Fremad are 6th (13 pts, 10-11 goals), Esbjerg 12th (6 pts, 13-22).

Over their last five matches, Aarhus Fremad averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Esbjerg averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aarhus Fremad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.64	2.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.62	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.37	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.62	3.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.37	13.5	26.3
HT X	5.80	6.23	7.07
HT 2	23.0	13.7	4.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	16.1	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.1
1.5	1.15	4.82
2.5	1.55	2.31
3.5	2.43	1.53
4.5	4.18	1.19
5.5	8.13	1.04
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.90
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.36	2.69
2.75	1.66	2.07
3	1.86	1.83
3.25	2.10	1.65
3.75	2.76	1.36
4	3.44	1.23
4.25	3.80	1.19
4.75	5.10	1.10
5	7.10	1.04
5.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.53	1.47
-0.5	2.21	1.63
-0.25	1.91	1.82
0	1.66	2.14
+0.25	1.50	2.48
+0.5	1.42	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.07	1.06
-1.75	5.13	1.12
-1.5	3.95	1.20
-1.25	3.61	1.25
-1	3.20	1.31
+0.75	1.27	3.43
+1	1.14	4.73
+1.25	1.12	5.19
+1.5	1.10	5.62
+1.75	1.05	7.20
+2	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.13	4.37
8.5	1.31	2.96
9.5	1.57	2.21
10.5	1.92	1.79
11.5	2.48	1.46
12.5	3.32	1.25
13.5	4.82	1.10
14.5	7.16	1.01

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.02	6.81
7.25	1.08	5.26
7.75	1.14	4.16
8	1.16	3.96
8.25	1.24	3.34
8.75	1.35	2.79
9	1.40	2.63
9.25	1.50	2.37
9.75	1.66	2.08
10	1.74	1.99
10.25	1.85	1.85
10.75	2.08	1.66
11	2.24	1.59
11.25	2.37	1.50
11.75	2.72	1.37
12	3.05	1.29
12.25	3.20	1.26
12.75	3.80	1.18
13	4.46	1.12
13.25	4.64	1.11
13.75	5.64	1.06
14	6.94	1.02
14.25	6.95	1.02