FC Fredericia vs Hobro• 1. Division, Denmark

#31.2:0.83-0FTToday · Monjasa Park, Fredericia1.0:2.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.441XBX5.29PIN27.50B365Margin at best1.7%Books6Markets89Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.44	5.17	6.12	5.1%
Bet365	1.40	4.50	7.50	7.0%
BetVictor	1.40	4.75	6.50	7.9%
1xBet	1.44	4.55	6.07	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.43	4.55	6.00	8.6%
William Hill	1.40	4.50	5.00	13.7%
Best of all books	1.44	5.17	7.50	2.1%
Average	1.42	4.67	6.20	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC FredericiaHobro

Last 10#3Table position#71.82Points per game1.278Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 52.455Attack rating4575Defence rating2580Form rating2071H2H rating2977Goals model2371Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

FC Fredericia

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:7 · per match 1.7 for, 0.7 against

10 Oct	A	Hillerød	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Vejle	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Kolding IF	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Esbjerg	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Hvidovre	1-2	L
26 Aug	H	Odense	1-2	L
21 Aug	H	Aarhus Fremad	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Aalborg	3-0	W
9 Aug	H	Vendsyssel FF	1-1	D
4 Aug	A	SfB-Oure	6-0	W

Hobro

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	H	Kolding IF	1-1	D
21 Sep	A	HB Koge	2-5	L
11 Sep	H	Vejle	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Hvidovre	1-3	L
30 Aug	A	Hillerød	1-3	L
21 Aug	H	Aalborg	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Esbjerg	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	AB Copenhagen	1-0	W
5 Aug	H	Vendsyssel FF	0-4	L
2 Aug	A	Vendsyssel FF	2-1	W

Head to head

10FC Fredericia wins

7draws

9Hobro wins

26 meetings · goals 37:31 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for FC Fredericia

27 Oct 20241. Division	1. Division	Hobro1-4FC Fredericia
16 Sep 20241. Division	1. Division	FC Fredericia1-1Hobro
2 Jun 20241. Division	1. Division	FC Fredericia0-1Hobro
20 Apr 20241. Division	1. Division	Hobro1-2FC Fredericia
25 Feb 20241. Division	1. Division	Hobro0-2FC Fredericia
23 Jul 20231. Division	1. Division	FC Fredericia0-2Hobro
5 May 20231. Division	1. Division	FC Fredericia2-2Hobro
23 Apr 20231. Division	1. Division	Hobro0-1FC Fredericia
23 Oct 20221. Division	1. Division	FC Fredericia0-0Hobro
11 Sep 20221. Division	1. Division	Hobro1-3FC Fredericia

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the 1. Division table, FC Fredericia sit 3rd with 20 points from 11 games, while Hobro are 7th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hvidovre	10	7	3	0	20:10	+10	24
2	Vejle	11	6	4	1	24:15	+9	22
3	FC Fredericia	11	5	5	1	17:6	+11	20
4	AB Copenhagen	11	4	3	4	16:12	+4	15
5	Aalborg	11	3	5	3	14:15	-1	14
6	Aarhus Fremad	11	3	5	3	10:11	-1	14
7	Hobro	11	4	2	5	13:20	-7	14
8	Kolding IF	11	2	6	3	13:14	-1	12
9	HB Koge	11	2	4	5	15:20	-5	10
10	Vendsyssel FF	11	2	4	5	11:18	-7	10
11	Hillerød	10	2	3	5	13:16	-3	9
12	Esbjerg	11	1	4	6	13:22	-9	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.41X20%4.68214%6.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.41 +3.7%X4.77 → 4.68 -1.9%26.61 → 6.50 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	2.54	4.7%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.40	7.0%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.54	3.1%
Average	1.53	2.37	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.68	2.06	8.1%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.03	8.8%
Best of all books	1.68	2.10	7.1%
Average	1.67	2.07	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Fredericia 45%Draw 45%Hobro 10%

The statistical model rated FC Fredericia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hobro at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.68 | 6.50, which imply roughly 70.9% for a FC Fredericia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: FC Fredericia are 3rd (20 pts, 17-6 goals), Hobro 7th (14 pts, 13-20).

Over their last five matches, FC Fredericia averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Hobro averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Fredericia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	4.67	6.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.64	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.53	5.68

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	2.88	5.58

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.99	17.1	45.7
HT X	4.28	7.47	14.8
HT 2	19.7	18.4	11.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	16.5	2.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.8
1.5	1.15	4.80
2.5	1.53	2.37
3.5	2.39	1.54
4.5	4.22	1.19
5.5	7.60	1.05
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.75	1.15	4.20
2	1.19	3.75
2.25	1.35	2.74
2.75	1.64	2.10
3	1.84	1.86
3.25	2.08	1.66
3.75	2.68	1.38
4	3.36	1.24
4.25	3.68	1.20
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.75	1.04
5.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.54	1.47
-1.5	2.22	1.62
-1.25	1.89	1.84
-1	1.64	2.13
-0.75	1.56	2.30
-0.5	1.49	2.63

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.40	1.03
-3.25	6.82	1.07
-3	6.40	1.08
-2.75	5.09	1.13
-2.5	3.85	1.22
-2.25	3.63	1.25
-2	3.26	1.29
-0.25	1.30	3.25
0	1.17	4.49
+0.25	1.13	5.00
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.04	6.75
+1	1.01	9.70
+1.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.88
7.5	1.15	4.14
8.5	1.34	2.85
9.5	1.63	2.12
10.5	2.03	1.72
11.5	2.58	1.41
12.5	3.48	1.22
13.5	5.15	1.08
14.5	5.10	1.06

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.61
7	1.03	6.34
7.25	1.09	4.94
7.75	1.17	3.93
8	1.19	3.73
8.25	1.27	3.18
8.75	1.39	2.66
9	1.46	2.51
9.25	1.54	2.28
9.75	1.72	2.01
10	1.85	1.89
10.25	1.91	1.79
10.75	2.16	1.61
11	2.40	1.51
11.25	2.47	1.46
11.75	2.85	1.34
12	3.22	1.26
12.25	3.38	1.23
12.75	4.03	1.16
13	4.77	1.10
13.25	4.96	1.09
14	4.97	1.07