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Venezia vs Napoli• Serie A, Italy

#201.0:2.81-0FT17/10 · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice1.6:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.841XBX4.161XB21.761XBMargin at best1.5%Books6Markets86Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet4.844.161.761.5%
Pinnacle4.804.001.743.3%
Marathonbet4.704.051.714.4%
Bet3654.753.901.705.5%
BetVictor4.603.901.706.2%
William Hill4.403.801.707.9%
Best of all books4.844.161.761.5%
Average4.683.971.724.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VeneziaNapoli
Last 10#20Table position#90.43Points per game1.430Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.62.8Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6230Defence rating700Form rating1009H2H rating9115Goals model8523Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Venezia

1W 1D 8L · goals 14:26 · per match 1.4 for, 2.6 against

12 OctAAtalanta1-3L
19 SepHLazio0-2L
11 SepHFiorentina2-4L
6 SepAFrosinone2-3L
2 SepAUdinese1-2L
28 AugAAC Milan0-2L
23 AugHLecce0-2L
15 AugHModena3-2W
8 AugAStade Brestois 292-2D
1 AugASaint Etienne3-4L

Napoli

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

17 OctAVenezia0-1L
13 OctAVillarreal1-3L
10 OctHFrosinone3-0W
20 SepAFiorentina1-1D
13 SepHBologna1-0W
9 SepHArsenal0-1L
5 SepAInter2-3L
30 AugHComo1-2L
22 AugAGenoa2-0W
12 AugHAris Thessalonikis6-2W

Head to head

0Venezia wins
1draws
3Napoli wins

4 meetings · goals 0:5 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Venezia

16 Mar 2025Serie ASerie AVenezia0-0Napoli
29 Dec 2024Serie ASerie ANapoli1-0Venezia
6 Feb 2022Serie ASerie AVenezia0-2Napoli
22 Aug 2021Serie ASerie ANapoli2-0Venezia

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 18 Oct 16:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Venezia sit 20th with 3 points from 7 games, while Napoli are 9th with 10 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter761021:9+1219
2AS Roma752016:3+1317
3Lazio651011:4+716
4Como742112:7+514
5Frosinone741213:9+413
6Cagliari64116:3+313
7AC Milan633011:5+612
8Juventus63219:5+411
9Napoli731310:7+310
10Atalanta63038:809
11Lecce73049:12-39
12Sassuolo722312:14-28
13Torino62137:9-27
14Bologna71246:10-45
15Monza61149:15-64
16Parma61144:10-64
17Udinese71159:16-74
18Genoa71155:13-84
19Fiorentina71158:17-94
20Venezia71066:16-103

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.57X24%3.98255%1.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 11:401 4.68X 3.972 1.72
14.68 → 4.68 0.0%X3.98 → 3.97 -0.3%21.69 → 1.72 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.772.221.5%
Pinnacle1.722.233.0%
Marathonbet1.712.155.0%
Bet3651.732.105.4%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.772.231.3%
Average1.722.154.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.056.6%
1xBet1.672.117.3%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Marathonbet1.672.088.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Best of all books1.732.115.2%
Average1.682.087.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Venezia 0%Draw 50%Napoli 50%

The statistical model rated Venezia at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Napoli at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.57 | 3.98 | 1.73, which imply roughly 25.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Venezia are 20th (3 pts, 6-16 goals), Napoli 9th (10 pts, 10-7).

Over their last five matches, Venezia averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Napoli averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Napoli.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Venezia

3-5-2

Coach: D. Nicola

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Stanković

Defence

  • 25R. Halhal
  • 15Juan Jesus
  • 2M. Moreno

Midfield

  • 18A. Hainaut
  • 71Kike Pérez
  • 26T. Bašić
  • 19S. Sohm
  • 5R. Haps

Attack

  • 10J. Yeboah
  • 45A. Adams
Substitutes (15)
  • 77Toni Fernández
  • 96L. Montipò
  • 16R. Mohammed
  • 8Lamine Dabo
  • 20R. Sagrado
  • 30M. Dagasso
  • 56K. Lisman
  • 36Lorenzo Berardi
  • 3J. Schingtienne
  • 55S. Panada
  • 21Þ. Helgason
  • 70P. Mazzocchi
  • 7A. Rrahmani
  • 29L. Lauberbach
  • 95A. Gomes

Napoli

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Allegri

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Meret

Defence

  • 31S. Beukema
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 5B. Badiashile

Midfield

  • 22G. Di Lorenzo
  • 68S. Lobotka
  • 6B. Gilmour
  • 37L. Spinazzola
  • 23Giovane
  • 8S. McTominay

Attack

  • 20L. Lucca
Substitutes (11)
  • 35Luca Marianucci
  • 16Rafa Marín
  • 17M. Olivera
  • 21M. Politano
  • 11K. De Bruyne
  • 99A. Zambo Anguissa
  • 27Alisson Santos
  • 19R. Højlund
  • 70N. Lang
  • 14N. Contini
  • 32V. Milinković-Savić

Match Statistics

VeneziaNapoli
0.67Expected Goals2.46
232Passes accurate658
8Shots insidebox22
1Shots outsidebox7
5Free Kicks7
4Shots on Goal10
9Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal7
310Total passes734
9Total Shots29
2Yellow Cards0
0Blocked Shots12
0Offsides5
0Corner Kicks12
7Fouls6
0Red Cards0
29%Ball Possession71%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.683.971.72

Double chance

1XX212
2.111.201.25

Draw no bet

12
3.431.29

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.08

1st half

1X2
4.802.332.25

2nd half

1X2
4.392.652.02

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.8716.023.0
HT X10.36.034.62
HT 242.015.02.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6714.01.53

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.5
1.51.194.26
2.51.722.15
3.52.681.43
4.55.081.13
5.510.91.04
6.520.01.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.0
1.251.095.82
1.751.253.68
21.313.26
2.251.522.54
2.751.891.93
32.131.67
3.252.391.53
3.753.161.31
44.201.16
4.254.551.13
4.756.251.06
59.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.551.48
+0.52.141.69
+0.751.931.89
+11.652.22
+1.251.512.56
+1.51.412.90
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.801.02
-0.755.831.10
-0.54.401.20
-0.253.881.23
03.441.28
+1.751.273.49
+21.154.72
+2.251.125.14
+2.51.105.58
+2.751.067.68
+31.0210.5
+3.51.0111.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.522.42
31.682.18
3.52.131.68
42.871.41
4.53.351.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.16
6.51.144.14
7.51.322.95
8.51.652.14
9.52.011.72
10.52.541.40
11.53.351.21
12.54.631.11
13.56.251.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.075.02
6.751.114.16
71.173.50
7.251.233.39
7.751.322.83
81.442.56
8.251.482.38
8.751.652.05
91.831.97
9.251.861.80
9.752.111.57
102.331.53
10.252.441.42
112.901.26
123.891.14
135.071.06

Next Serie A matches

18 OctJuventus – Lazio
19 OctMonza – Cagliari
19 OctParma – Torino

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

18 OctAC Milan 3-2 Atalanta
18 OctFiorentina 1-3 Como
18 OctUdinese 0-3 Lecce
17 OctAS Roma 2-0 Genoa
17 OctBologna 1-3 Inter
16 OctFrosinone 4-2 Sassuolo