AS Roma vs Genoa• Serie A, Italy

#32.0:0.62-0FTToday · Stadio Olimpico, Rome1.0:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.621XBX4.171XB26.62PINMargin at best0.8%Books6Markets91Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.62	4.17	6.33	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.57	4.05	6.62	3.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	4.05	6.15	4.6%
Bet365	1.55	4.10	6.25	4.9%
BetVictor	1.53	4.10	6.00	6.4%
William Hill	1.55	3.80	5.80	8.1%
Best of all books	1.62	4.17	6.62	0.8%
Average	1.57	4.04	6.19	4.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AS RomaGenoa

Last 10#3Table position#172.33Points per game0.678Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.867Attack rating3375Defence rating2573Form rating2771H2H rating2987Goals model1373Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

AS Roma

5W 4D 1L · goals 22:10 · per match 2.2 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	Genoa	2-0	W
14 Oct	H	Real Madrid	3-4	L
11 Oct	A	Como	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Inter	2-2	D
14 Sep	A	Torino	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	Fenerbahçe	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Atalanta	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Lecce	4-0	W
24 Aug	H	Fiorentina	4-0	W
15 Aug	A	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	D

Genoa

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	H	Fiorentina	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Rapid	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Parma	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Sudtirol	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Frosinone	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Como	1-4	L
30 Aug	A	Lazio	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Napoli	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Ascoli	4-1	W
8 Aug	H	Deportivo La Coruna	0-1	L

Head to head

21AS Roma wins

5draws

5Genoa wins

31 meetings · goals 60:34 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for AS Roma

8 Mar 2026Serie A	Serie A	Genoa2-1AS Roma
29 Dec 2025Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma3-1Genoa
17 Jan 2025Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma3-1Genoa
15 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Genoa1-1AS Roma
19 May 2024Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma1-0Genoa
28 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Genoa4-1AS Roma
12 Jan 2023Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	AS Roma1-0Genoa
5 Feb 2022Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma0-0Genoa
21 Nov 2021Serie A	Serie A	Genoa0-2AS Roma
7 Mar 2021Serie A	Serie A	AS Roma1-0Genoa

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Serie A table, AS Roma sit 3rd with 14 points from 6 games, while Genoa are 17th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	7	6	1	0	21:9	+12	19
2	Lazio	6	5	1	0	11:4	+7	16
3	AS Roma	6	4	2	0	14:3	+11	14
4	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	13:9	+4	13
5	Cagliari	6	4	1	1	6:3	+3	13
6	AC Milan	6	3	3	0	11:5	+6	12
7	Juventus	6	3	2	1	9:5	+4	11
8	Como	6	3	2	1	9:6	+3	11
9	Napoli	7	3	1	3	10:7	+3	10
10	Atalanta	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
11	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
12	Torino	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
13	Lecce	6	2	0	4	6:12	-6	6
14	Bologna	7	1	2	4	6:10	-4	5
15	Udinese	6	1	1	4	9:13	-4	4
16	Monza	6	1	1	4	9:15	-6	4
17	Genoa	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
18	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
19	Fiorentina	6	1	1	4	7:14	-7	4
20	Venezia	7	1	0	6	6:16	-10	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.61X24%3.92216%5.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.37 → 1.57 +14.6%X4.93 → 4.04 -18.1%28.16 → 6.19 -24.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.97	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.97	2.6%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.91	4.7%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.97	1.97	1.5%
Average	1.91	1.92	4.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
William Hill	1.95	1.80	6.8%
1xBet	1.92	1.80	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.93	1.79	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AS Roma 50%Draw 50%Genoa 0%

The statistical model rated AS Roma at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Genoa at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.92 | 5.80, which imply roughly 62.1% for a AS Roma win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie A table: AS Roma are 3rd (14 pts, 14-3 goals), Genoa 17th (4 pts, 5-11).

Over their last five matches, AS Roma averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Genoa averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : AS Roma.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AS Roma

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Gasperini

Goalkeeper

95P. Gollini

Defence

26L. Balerdi
5E. Ndicka
3K. Koulierakis

Midfield

77E. Lulli
15M. de Roon
61N. Pisilli
2D. Rensch
18M. Soulé
86Rodrigo Mora

Attack

9S. Castro

Substitutes (12)

78Mandjou Camara
68A. Arena
70G. De Marzi
87D. Ghilardi
22Hermoso
23G. Mancini
20N. Molina
7L. Pellegrini
32D. Vásquez
43Wesley
63Alessandro Di Nunzio
72L. Paratici

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. De Rossi

Goalkeeper

1J. Bijlow

Defence

27A. Marcandalli
5L. Østigård
22J. Vásquez

Midfield

77M. Ellertsson
71S. Wiafe
32M. Frendrup
31D. Puczka
10Junior Messias
92S. El Shaarawy

Attack

18M. Osmajić

Substitutes (13)

8T. Baldanzi
16C. Drameh
2M. Mitaj
20S. Sabelli
39D. Sommariva
99F. Stolz
25H. Traorè
85M. Vaz
9Vítinha
4Alexsandro Amorim
21Nikita Solodchenko
14Lukas Klišys
34S. Otoa

Match Statistics

AS RomaGenoa

1.45Expected Goals0.49

500Passes accurate220

12Shots insidebox7

3Shots outsidebox2

5Blocked Shots3

6Free Kicks10

5Shots on Goal1

1Goalkeeper Saves3

5Shots off Goal5

3Offsides2

623Total passes323

15Total Shots9

2Yellow Cards3

5Corner Kicks3

10Fouls7

0Red Cards0

66%Ball Possession34%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.04	6.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.39	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.28	6.09

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.61	5.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.29	17.0	51.3
HT X	4.18	5.73	12.5
HT 2	25.7	18.1	10.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	11.5	3.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.5
1.5	1.27	3.52
2.5	1.91	1.92
3.5	3.18	1.32
4.5	6.40	1.08
5.5	11.8	1.03
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.15
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.13	4.77
1.75	1.34	3.09
2	1.43	2.72
2.25	1.68	2.19
2.75	2.15	1.71
3	2.52	1.49
3.25	2.84	1.39
3.75	3.74	1.23
4	5.30	1.10
4.25	5.65	1.08
4.75	8.05	1.04
5	9.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.61	1.49
-1.25	2.29	1.62
-1	1.96	1.85
-0.75	1.69	2.12
-0.5	1.55	2.44
-0.25	1.36	2.99

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	8.93	1.01
-3.5	9.65	1.02
-3.25	8.40	1.01
-3	8.50	1.07
-2.75	6.54	1.07
-2.5	5.05	1.13
-2.25	4.37	1.18
-2	4.23	1.20
-1.75	3.20	1.34
0	1.18	4.56
+0.25	1.15	4.77
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.03	7.70
+1	1.01	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.38	2.93
3.5	1.65	2.18
4	2.08	1.76
4.5	2.11	1.72
5	3.35	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	6.21
6.5	1.14	4.16
7.5	1.30	2.95
8.5	1.61	2.19
9.5	1.99	1.77
10.5	2.53	1.44
11.5	3.28	1.23
12.5	4.55	1.12
13.5	6.20	1.05

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.12
7	1.16	3.60
7.75	1.33	2.80
8	1.40	2.70
8.25	1.49	2.38
8.75	1.65	2.05
9	1.83	1.95
9.25	1.90	1.84
9.75	2.10	1.57
10	2.27	1.55
10.25	2.44	1.43
10.75	2.78	1.29
11	2.82	1.28
11.25	3.26	1.21
12	3.79	1.15
13	4.95	1.07