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Bologna vs Inter• Serie A, Italy

#141.0:1.21-3FTToday · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna2.8:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.06PINX4.33BVC21.621XBMargin at best1.3%Books6Markets86Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 13:27 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet6.054.321.621.4%
Marathonbet5.954.251.593.2%
Pinnacle6.064.161.593.4%
Bet3656.004.201.555.0%
BetVictor5.754.331.535.8%
William Hill5.004.001.559.5%
Best of all books6.064.331.621.3%
Average5.804.211.574.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BolognaInter
Last 10#14Table position#10.71Points per game2.715Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.81.2Goals against · last 51.426Attack rating7454Defence rating4628Form rating7262H2H rating3830Goals model7042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Bologna

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

11 OctALecce2-1W
19 SepHTorino1-1D
13 SepANapoli0-1L
6 SepHSassuolo2-2D
31 AugAAtalanta0-1L
24 AugHLazio0-1L
15 AugABrighton0-1L
8 AugHPisa1-4L
1 AugHCambuur3-1W
25 JulHIraklis 19082-0W

Inter

7W 1D 2L · goals 25:14 · per match 2.5 for, 1.4 against

13 OctHClub Brugge KV3-4L
10 OctHParma3-0W
3 OctHLumezzane2-0W
19 SepAAS Roma2-2D
14 SepHUdinese5-3W
8 SepAReal Madrid1-2L
5 SepHNapoli3-2W
30 AugACagliari1-0W
22 AugHMonza4-1W
15 AugHReal Betis1-0W

Head to head

8Bologna wins
9draws
16Inter wins

33 meetings · goals 38:60 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Bologna

23 May 2026Serie ASerie ABologna3-3Inter
4 Jan 2026Serie ASerie AInter3-1Bologna
19 Dec 2025Super CupSuper CupBologna1-1Inter
20 Apr 2025Serie ASerie ABologna1-0Inter
15 Jan 2025Serie ASerie AInter2-2Bologna
9 Mar 2024Serie ASerie ABologna0-1Inter
20 Dec 2023Coppa ItaliaCoppa ItaliaInter1-2Bologna
7 Oct 2023Serie ASerie AInter2-2Bologna
26 Feb 2023Serie ASerie ABologna1-0Inter
9 Nov 2022Serie ASerie AInter6-1Bologna

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Serie A table, Bologna sit 14th with 5 points from 7 games, while Inter are 1st with 19 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter761021:9+1219
2Lazio651011:4+716
3AS Roma642014:3+1114
4Frosinone741213:9+413
5Cagliari64116:3+313
6AC Milan633011:5+612
7Juventus63219:5+411
8Como63219:6+311
9Napoli731310:7+310
10Atalanta63038:809
11Sassuolo722312:14-28
12Torino62137:9-27
13Lecce62046:12-66
14Bologna71246:10-45
15Udinese61149:13-44
16Monza61149:15-64
17Genoa61145:11-64
18Parma61144:10-64
19Fiorentina61147:14-74
20Venezia71066:16-103

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.80X23%4.21261%1.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 14:411 5.80X 4.212 1.57
15.47 → 5.80 +6.0%X4.10 → 4.21 +2.7%21.59 → 1.57 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.682.381.5%
Pinnacle1.652.363.0%
Marathonbet1.632.314.6%
Bet3651.622.305.2%
BetVictor1.582.199.0%
Best of all books1.682.381.5%
Average1.632.314.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.156.4%
1xBet1.672.117.3%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Marathonbet1.672.088.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Best of all books1.672.156.4%
Average1.672.117.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bologna 10%Draw 45%Inter 45%

The statistical model rated Bologna at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inter at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.80 | 4.21 | 1.57, which imply roughly 23.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Bologna are 14th (5 pts, 6-10 goals), Inter 1st (19 pts, 21-9).

Over their last five matches, Bologna averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Inter averaged 2.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Inter.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bologna

3-4-2-1

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Goalkeeper

  • 1Ł. Skorupski

Defence

  • 36M. Darmian
  • 16N. Casale
  • 3A. Theate
  • 33Juan Miranda

Midfield

  • 20N. Zortea
  • 19L. Ferguson
  • 4T. Pobega

Attack

  • 10F. Bernardeschi
  • 28N. Cambiaghi
  • 91R. Piccoli
Substitutes (15)
  • 22J. Enem
  • 5E. Helland
  • 17O. El Azzouzi
  • 72U. Happonen
  • 14T. Heggem
  • 9A. Dovbyk
  • 18M. Libra
  • 11S. Mbangula
  • 8M. Amondarain
  • 29L. De Silvestri
  • 6N. Moro
  • 21J. Odgaard
  • 25M. Pessina
  • 41M. Vitík
  • 23R. Alhassane

Inter

3-5-2

Coach: C. Chivu

Goalkeeper

  • 1Josep Martínez

Defence

  • 31Y. Bisseck
  • 25M. Akanji
  • 95A. Bastoni
  • 32F. Dimarco

Midfield

  • 23N. Barella
  • 7P. Zieliński
  • 8P. Sučić

Attack

  • 11Luis Henrique
  • 9M. Thuram
  • 94F. Esposito
Substitutes (11)
  • 14A. Bonny
  • 46L. Bovio
  • 20H. Çalhanoğlu
  • 30Carlos Augusto
  • 12R. Di Gennaro
  • 17A. Diouf
  • 22H. Mkhitaryan
  • 48M. Mosconi
  • 49I. Provedel
  • 99D. Spence
  • 5A. Stanković

Match Statistics

BolognaInter
0.98Expected Goals3.41
297Passes accurate624
6Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots4
8Free Kicks6
4Shots on Goal8
5Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal5
3Offsides3
361Total passes683
11Total Shots17
4Yellow Cards3
2Corner Kicks7
8Fouls11
0Red Cards0
35%Ball Possession65%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.804.211.57

Double chance

1XX212
2.401.151.22

Draw no bet

12
4.141.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.11

1st half

1X2
5.582.422.05

2nd half

1X2
4.992.791.85

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 110.017.422.3
HT X12.36.434.33
HT 245.016.32.23

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.8415.11.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0315.5
1.51.174.68
2.51.632.31
3.52.471.52
4.54.531.17
5.58.681.04
6.517.01.02
7.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–12.0
1.251.096.42
1.751.234.06
21.273.65
2.251.462.75
2.751.782.06
31.981.81
3.252.221.63
3.752.891.38
43.651.25
4.253.971.19
4.755.301.09
57.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.431.54
+0.752.161.68
+11.901.91
+1.251.682.19
+1.51.542.47
+1.751.382.90
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.512.01.01
-111.01.01
-0.757.331.07
-0.55.501.15
-0.254.811.16
04.391.19
+0.253.011.37
+21.243.77
+2.251.203.99
+2.51.174.37
+2.751.105.57
+31.027.90
+3.51.018.70

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
21.263.65
2.51.632.20
32.101.75
3.52.341.57
43.601.27

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.20
6.51.144.14
7.51.312.94
8.51.642.16
9.52.021.74
10.52.531.40
11.53.331.22
12.54.611.12
13.56.311.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.10
6.751.124.10
71.173.59
7.251.233.30
7.751.332.78
81.412.66
8.251.492.36
8.751.712.06
91.781.99
9.251.921.82
9.752.131.56
102.271.56
10.252.481.42
112.831.28
123.801.15
134.971.07