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Millonarios vs Jaguares• Primera A, Colombia

#101.8:1.023:00Today · Estadio El Campin, Bogota1.4:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20WHX6.90PIN215.0B365Margin at best4.5%Books6Markets78Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.196.9014.35.5%
Bet3651.206.2515.06.0%
William Hill1.206.0013.07.7%
1xBet1.196.2013.17.8%
Marathonbet1.186.2013.38.4%
BetVictor1.176.5013.08.5%
Best of all books1.206.9015.04.5%
Average1.196.3413.67.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MillonariosJaguares
Last 10#10Table position#161.37Points per game0.957Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 52.056Attack rating4467Defence rating3369Form rating3129H2H rating7186Goals model1457Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

Millonarios

2W 7D 1L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

9 OctAFortaleza FC1-1D
3 OctABarranquilla1-1D
30 SepAIndependiente Medellin2-2D
25 SepAAtletico Nacional1-1D
19 SepHChico3-0W
14 SepACucuta2-1W
11 SepHDeportivo Cali1-1D
6 SepADeportivo Pereira1-1D
3 SepASanta Fe2-3L
30 AugHInternacional de Bogota0-0D

Jaguares

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHDeportes Tolima3-2W
3 OctAÁguilas Doradas0-2L
27 SepHAlianza Valledupar1-2L
22 SepAIndependiente Medellin1-2L
11 SepHFortaleza FC2-2D
6 SepAJunior3-3D
29 AugHAmerica de Cali2-2D
21 AugHChico1-0W
9 AugHOnce Caldas1-1D
5 AugAInternacional de Bogota0-1L

Head to head

9Millonarios wins
3draws
8Jaguares wins

20 meetings · goals 26:25 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Millonarios

2 Apr 2026Primera APrimera AJaguares1-0Millonarios
26 Sep 2024Primera APrimera AMillonarios0-0Jaguares
11 Mar 2024Primera APrimera AJaguares2-1Millonarios
13 Aug 2023Primera APrimera AJaguares2-0Millonarios
19 Feb 2023Primera APrimera AMillonarios2-1Jaguares
21 Aug 2022Primera APrimera AMillonarios2-0Jaguares
11 May 2022Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaJaguares1-1Millonarios
22 Apr 2022Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaMillonarios3-0Jaguares
20 Feb 2022Primera APrimera AJaguares1-2Millonarios
26 Sep 2021Primera APrimera AJaguares4-3Millonarios

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primera A table, Millonarios sit 10th with 26 points from 19 games, while Jaguares are 16th with 18 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.19X15%6.3427%13.6

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 08:4017 Oct 21:101 1.19X 6.342 13.6
11.22 → 1.19 -2.5%X5.66 → 6.34 +12.0%212.2 → 13.6 +11.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.472.685.3%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.502.369.0%
1xBet1.452.4110.5%
Marathonbet1.452.4110.5%
Best of all books1.502.684.0%
Average1.472.478.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.051.707.6%
1xBet2.081.678.0%
BetVictor2.151.628.2%
Marathonbet2.081.658.7%
Best of all books2.151.705.3%
Average2.091.668.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Millonarios 45%Draw 45%Jaguares 10%

The statistical model rates Millonarios at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jaguares at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.19 | 6.34 | 13.61, which imply roughly 84% for a Millonarios win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Millonarios are 10th (26 pts, 31-23 goals), Jaguares 16th (18 pts, 20-33).

Over their last five matches, Millonarios averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Jaguares averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Millonarios.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.196.3413.6

Double chance

1XX212
1.044.181.11

Draw no bet

12
1.0410.2

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.091.66

1st half

1X2
1.592.789.72

2nd half

1X2
1.423.309.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.6023.768.0
HT X3.828.8725.0
HT 223.025.023.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2317.64.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.9
1.51.135.25
2.51.472.47
3.52.211.62
4.53.771.23
5.57.251.06
6.515.01.03
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0211.0
1.751.134.50
21.164.05
2.251.312.92
2.751.572.22
31.741.96
3.251.971.76
3.752.501.46
42.991.30
4.253.281.25
4.754.391.14
55.851.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.481.48
-2.252.221.60
-21.971.78
-1.751.722.01
-1.51.582.23
-1.251.432.62
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.57.901.02
-47.201.03
-3.755.461.10
-3.54.301.16
-3.254.021.19
-33.691.23
-2.752.901.36
-11.263.49
-0.751.223.80
-0.51.224.15
-0.251.106.57
01.0310.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.105.20
7.51.253.29
8.51.482.37
9.51.881.85
10.52.351.49
11.53.171.27
12.54.501.13
6 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.542.25
9.251.741.98
9.751.951.74
101.881.83
10.252.221.54
10.752.561.40