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America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin• Primera A, Colombia

#41.4:0.61-2FT12/10 · Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali1.2:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85BTNX3.60BFR24.80BTNMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets81Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 20:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.853.604.802.7%
Pinnacle1.793.574.675.3%
Bet3651.753.504.756.8%
Dafabet1.813.454.407.0%
Betfair1.803.604.207.1%
1xBet1.773.454.467.9%
BetVictor1.753.504.408.4%
Marathonbet1.753.454.458.6%
William Hill1.753.304.4010.2%
SBO1.763.153.8314.7%
Best of all books1.853.604.802.7%
Average1.783.464.447.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

America de CaliIndependiente Medellin
Last 10#4Table position#111.74Points per game1.377Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 51.654Attack rating4673Defence rating2767Form rating3338H2H rating6275Goals model2558Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

America de Cali

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:10 · per match 1.8 for, 1.0 against

12 OctHIndependiente Medellin1-2L
5 OctALlaneros2-1W
24 SepHÁguilas Doradas1-0W
20 SepADeportes Tolima1-1D
15 SepHDeportivo Pasto0-1L
9 SepHDeportivo Pereira4-1W
3 SepHAlianza Valledupar3-0W
29 AugAJaguares2-2D
26 AugHJunior4-2W
22 AugASanta Fe0-0D

Independiente Medellin

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

15 OctAAtletico Nacional2-3L
12 OctAAmerica de Cali2-1W
6 OctHSanta Fe0-1L
30 SepHMillonarios2-2D
27 SepAJunior0-2L
22 SepHJaguares2-1W
18 SepABucaramanga2-2D
12 SepAChico1-2L
10 SepADeportivo Pasto4-1W
4 SepADeportivo Pereira3-0W

Head to head

11America de Cali wins
4draws
15Independiente Medellin wins

30 meetings · goals 38:44 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for America de Cali

30 Mar 2026Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin2-1America de Cali
2 Dec 2025Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin1-1America de Cali
27 Nov 2025Primera APrimera AAmerica de Cali2-1Independiente Medellin
14 Nov 2025Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin3-0America de Cali
20 Jun 2025Primera APrimera AAmerica de Cali1-1Independiente Medellin
1 Jun 2025Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin1-1America de Cali
25 May 2025Primera APrimera AAmerica de Cali2-0Independiente Medellin
15 Oct 2024Primera APrimera AAmerica de Cali1-0Independiente Medellin
1 Apr 2024Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin1-4America de Cali
7 Dec 2023Primera APrimera AIndependiente Medellin2-1America de Cali

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 18 Oct 04:20 UTC

In the Primera A table, America de Cali sit 4th with 33 points from 19 games, while Independiente Medellin are 11th with 26 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.78X27%3.47221%4.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0111 Oct 22:301 1.78X 3.462 4.44
11.81 → 1.78 -1.7%X3.41 → 3.46 +1.5%24.23 → 4.44 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.011.844.1%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
SBO2.001.786.2%
Betano1.951.826.2%
1xBet1.931.807.4%
Marathonbet1.931.807.4%
BetVictor1.901.779.1%
Best of all books2.011.873.2%
Average1.951.826.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
William Hill1.831.917.0%
1xBet1.831.878.1%
Betano1.801.908.2%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.871.915.8%
Average1.831.878.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

America de Cali 45%Draw 45%Independiente Medellin 10%

The statistical model rated America de Cali at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Independiente Medellin at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.47 | 4.43, which imply roughly 56.2% for a America de Cali win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: America de Cali are 4th (33 pts, 25-15 goals), Independiente Medellin 11th (26 pts, 26-24).

Over their last five matches, America de Cali averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Independiente Medellin averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : America de Cali or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

America de Cali

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. González

Goalkeeper

  • 1Jean

Defence

  • 13M. Castillo
  • 24C. Tovar
  • 3D. Rosero
  • 14M. Mina

Midfield

  • 15R. Carrascal
  • 5J. Escobar
  • 23L. Quiñones
  • 10Y. Guzmán
  • 88T. Palacios

Attack

  • 21T. Ángel
Substitutes (9)
  • 17J. Lucumí
  • 36Jhordy Camacho
  • 30O. Bertel
  • 29C. Amu
  • 12J. Montoya
  • 18Y. Quintero
  • 2M. Torres
  • 77E. Tortolero
  • 9J. Valencia

Independiente Medellin

4-4-2

Coach: L. Perea

Goalkeeper

  • 25E. Chaux

Defence

  • 30H. Palacios
  • 39L. Escorcia
  • 5J. Varela
  • 18F. Fabra

Midfield

  • 26E. Mena
  • 16H. Loboa
  • 6D. Moreno
  • 11Y. González

Attack

  • 10D. Cataño
  • 32C. Lucumi
Substitutes (9)
  • 19A. Simarra
  • 24N. Erazo
  • 1S. Ichazo
  • 34K. Klinger
  • 90E. Larrosa
  • 4K. Mantilla
  • 20J. Montaño
  • 31D. Moreno
  • 14B. Perlaza

Match Statistics

America de CaliIndependiente Medellin
0.64Expected Goals0.96
345Passes accurate324
6Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox5
4Blocked Shots2
10Free Kicks9
3Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal8
1Offsides2
408Total passes374
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots14
1Yellow Cards3
2Corner Kicks7
9Fouls10
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.783.464.44

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.971.26

Draw no bet

12
1.313.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.87

1st half

1X2
2.362.124.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.579.102.70

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.40
1.51.293.33
2.51.951.82
3.53.331.29
4.56.531.09
5.512.71.03
6.523.51.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.07
11.037.40
1.251.144.30
1.751.332.83
21.472.50
2.251.712.04
2.752.181.60
32.641.42
3.252.881.32
3.753.981.17
45.451.08
4.255.801.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.131.32
-1.252.771.40
-12.431.52
-0.751.971.75
-0.51.772.02
-0.251.522.37
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.758.071.02
-2.56.351.08
-2.255.831.09
-25.481.11
-1.753.881.22
01.303.23
+0.251.233.75
+0.51.204.40
+0.751.105.63
+11.018.90
+1.51.039.30

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
6.51.881.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.72
6.51.193.88
7.51.412.64
8.51.761.98
9.52.231.57
10.53.021.32
11.54.181.14
12.56.441.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.43
61.046.14
6.251.104.72
6.751.193.72
71.223.50
7.251.312.98
7.751.452.49
81.512.34
8.251.622.14
8.751.821.88
91.911.81
9.252.071.67
9.752.371.50
102.621.40
10.252.771.36
10.753.281.25
113.821.18
11.254.001.16
11.754.881.10
126.001.04
12.256.221.04

Next Primera A matches

18 OctÁguilas Doradas – Deportes Tolima
18 OctBucaramanga – America de Cali
18 OctLlaneros – Santa Fe
19 OctDeportivo Cali – Junior
20 OctDeportivo Pasto – Alianza Valledupar
20 OctDeportivo Pereira – Chico

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

18 OctIndependiente Medellin 0-2 Once Caldas
17 OctMillonarios 4-1 Jaguares
17 OctChico 1-4 Atletico Nacional
14 OctJunior 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
13 OctBucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas
11 OctChico 0-1 Cucuta