Scotland vs Slovenia• UEFA Nations League, World

0.7:1.01-2FT06/10 · Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow1.0:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.861XBX3.60BTN25.50PINMargin6.2%Books1Markets1Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 20:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.50	3.00	1.50	66.7%
Best of all books	1.50	3.00	1.50	66.7%
Average	1.50	3.00	1.50	66.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ScotlandSlovenia

Last 104Form pts · last 550.7Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.740Attack rating6040Defence rating6050Form rating5071H2H rating290Goals model10052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 15:51 UTC

Scotland

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

3 Oct	A	FYR Macedonia	2-0	W
29 Sep	H	Switzerland	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Slovenia	0-0	D
24 Jun	H	Brazil	0-3	L
19 Jun	H	Morocco	0-1	L
14 Jun	A	Haiti	1-0	W
6 Jun	A	Bolivia	4-0	W
30 May	H	Curaçao	4-1	W
31 Mar	H	Ivory Coast	0-1	L
28 Mar	H	Japan	0-1	L

Slovenia

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Switzerland	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	FYR Macedonia	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Scotland	0-0	D
7 Jun	A	Croatia	1-2	L
4 Jun	H	Cyprus	1-1	D
31 Mar	A	Montenegro	3-2	W
28 Mar	A	Hungary	0-1	L
18 Nov	A	Sweden	1-1	D
15 Nov	H	Kosovo	0-2	L
13 Oct	H	Switzerland	0-0	D

Head to head

1Scotland wins

2draws

0Slovenia wins

3 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 3: 1W 2D 0L for Scotland

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Slovenia0-0Scotland
8 Oct 2017World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Slovenia2-2Scotland
26 Mar 2017World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Scotland1-0Slovenia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	10:4	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	11:3	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	3:12	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.78X29%3.28218%5.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.50 → 1.78 +18.7%X3.00 → 3.28 +9.3%21.50 → 5.11 +240.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Scotland 10%Draw 45%Slovenia 45%

The statistical model rated Scotland at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Slovenia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.28 | 5.11, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Scotland averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Slovenia averaged 1 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Slovenia and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Scotland

3-5-1-1

Coach: Sébastien Pocognoli

Goalkeeper

1A. Gunn

Defence

5S. Welsh
13J. Hendry
4L. Binks

Midfield

17B. Doak
7J. McGinn
19L. Ferguson
8B. Gilmour
3A. Robertson
11R. Christie

Attack

9O. McBurnie

Substitutes (12)

20K. Bowie
15J. McPake
23Kristi Montgomery
14L. Miller
21S. Bain
16Findlay Curtis
6J. Doig
18L. Graham
2A. Hickey
12L. Kelly
22N. Patterson
10R. Ure

Slovenia

4-4-2

Coach: B. Cesar

Goalkeeper

1J. Oblak

Defence

23D. Brekalo
6J. Bijol
17D. Zec
13E. Janža

Midfield

2Ž. Karničnik
22A. Čerin
4M. Zabukovnik
15D. Šturm

Attack

20A. Matko
18Z. Vipotnik

Substitutes (12)

11Ž. Celar
21V. Drkušić
10T. Elšnik
19T. Horvat
5S. Kuzmić
8S. Lovrić
14T. Svetlin
7J. Urbančič
16I. Vekič
12M. Vidovšek
3J. Balkovec
9T. Begić

Match Statistics

ScotlandSlovenia

548Passes accurate464

8Shots insidebox6

4Shots outsidebox4

1Blocked Shots3

15Free Kicks11

6Shots on Goal3

5Shots off Goal4

621Total passes521

12Total Shots10

2Yellow Cards4

1Corner Kicks4

0Goalkeeper Saves4

0Offsides1

11Fouls16

0Red Cards0

54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	3.00	1.50

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