England vs Czechia• UEFA Nations League, World

#23.7:1.03-0FT06/10 · Wembley Stadium, London0.7:2.3#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.14MARX10.5BFR221.0BFRMargin at best2.0%Books5Markets60Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 20:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.24	6.12	16.5	3.0%
Marathonbet	1.22	6.05	16.8	4.5%
Betano	1.18	6.90	18.5	4.6%
Betfair	1.17	7.00	15.0	6.4%
William Hill	1.20	5.80	13.0	8.3%
Best of all books	1.24	7.00	18.5	0.3%
Average	1.20	6.37	15.9	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EnglandCzechia

Last 10#2Table position#42.00Points per game0.009Form pts · last 513.7Goals for · last 50.71.0Goals against · last 52.385Attack rating1570Defence rating30100Form rating075H2H rating2568Goals model3276Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 15:51 UTC

England

7W 1D 2L · goals 27:13 · per match 2.7 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Croatia	7-0	W
29 Sep	A	Czechia	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Spain	2-3	L
18 Jul	A	France	6-4	W
15 Jul	H	Argentina	1-2	L
11 Jul	A	Norway	2-1	W
6 Jul	A	Mexico	3-2	W
1 Jul	H	Congo DR	2-1	W
27 Jun	A	Panama	2-0	W
23 Jun	H	Ghana	0-0	D

Czechia

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Spain	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	England	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Croatia	1-2	L
25 Jun	H	Mexico	0-3	L
18 Jun	H	South Africa	1-1	D
12 Jun	A	South Korea	1-2	L
5 Jun	H	Guatemala	3-1	W
31 May	H	Kosovo	2-1	W
31 Mar	H	Denmark	1-1	D
26 Mar	H	Rep. Of Ireland	2-2	D

Head to head

3England wins

0draws

1Czechia wins

4 meetings · goals 9:2 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for England

29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Czechia0-2England
22 Jun 2021Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Czechia0-1England
11 Oct 2019Euro Championship	Euro Championship	Czechia2-1England
22 Mar 2019Euro Championship	Euro Championship	England5-0Czechia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

In the UEFA Nations League table, England sit 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, while Czechia are 4th with 0 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	10:4	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	11:3	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	3:12	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg185%1.11X10%9.2825%20.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.20 → 1.11 -7.5%X6.37 → 9.28 +45.7%215.9 → 20.2 +26.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.55	2.50	4.5%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
1xBet	1.51	2.35	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.35	8.8%
Best of all books	1.55	2.55	3.7%
Average	1.50	2.44	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Betano	2.37	1.55	6.7%
1xBet	2.21	1.61	7.4%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.21	1.59	8.1%
Best of all books	2.37	1.73	-0.0%
Average	2.20	1.63	6.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

England 50%Draw 50%Czechia 0%

The statistical model rated England at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Czechia at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.11 | 9.28 | 20.24, which imply roughly 90.1% for a England win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Nations League table: England are 2nd (6 pts, 11-3 goals), Czechia 4th (0 pts, 2-7).

Over their last five matches, England averaged 3.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Czechia averaged 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : England and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

England

4-2-3-1

Coach: T. Tuchel

Goalkeeper

1J. Pickford

Defence

2T. Alexander-Arnold
4J. Quansah
6M. Guéhi
3L. Hall

Midfield

8E. Anderson
16M. Lewis-Skelly
21E. Eze
10J. Bellingham
17M. Rogers

Attack

9H. Kane

Substitutes (11)

13J. Trafford
15J. Branthwaite
19D. Calvert-Lewin
12T. Chalobah
18J. Garner
20M. Gibbs-White
11A. Gordon
22R. Lewis
14R. Ngumoha
7B. Saka
23J. Steele

Czechia

4-2-3-1

Coach: Santi

Goalkeeper

16L. Horníček

Defence

5V. Coufal
14M. Vitík
4R. Hranáč
7J. Sláma

Midfield

21A. Král
8M. Sadílek
13L. Ambros
15P. Šulc
20O. Lingr

Attack

9R. Naderi

Substitutes (12)

23A. Kinský
1M. Kovář
2O. Kričfaluši
19R. Macek
18M. Radosta
22M. Sáček
11V. Sejk
12M. Šubert
6D. Vašulín
3O. Zmrzlý
17P. Bucha
10A. Hložek

Match Statistics

EnglandCzechia

554Passes accurate275

11Shots insidebox0

6Shots outsidebox5

6Blocked Shots2

16Free Kicks10

3Shots on Goal0

8Shots off Goal3

608Total passes336

17Total Shots5

1Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks2

0Goalkeeper Saves1

10Fouls17

0Red Cards0

64%Ball Possession36%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.20	6.37	15.9

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.62	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	10.8

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.20	1.63

1st half

1	X	2
1.58	2.73	10.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	14.8	5.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.15	4.73
2.5	1.51	2.44
3.5	2.33	1.63
4.5	3.73	1.24
5.5	6.57	1.07
6.5	11.5	1.04
7.5	16.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	13.5
1.75	1.16	4.21
2	1.20	3.78
2.25	1.37	2.91
2.75	1.65	2.19
3	1.82	1.95
3.25	2.07	1.77
3.75	2.61	1.48
4	3.14	1.32
4.25	3.39	1.27
4.75	4.48	1.15
5	5.85	1.08
5.25	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.77	1.42
-2.5	2.44	1.53
-2.25	2.17	1.71
-2	1.93	1.91
-1.75	1.73	2.14
-1.5	1.59	2.34

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.20	1.03
-4	6.60	1.05
-3.75	4.87	1.12
-3.5	4.15	1.18
-3.25	3.67	1.23
-3	3.42	1.26
-1.25	1.41	2.80
-1	1.26	3.42
-0.75	1.23	3.58
-0.25	1.09	6.20
0	1.03	10.0

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