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Moldova vs Slovakia• UEFA Nations League, World

1.0:1.30-4FT06/10 · Zimbru, Chisinau1.7:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.351XBX4.751XB21.431XBMargin at best3.0%Books7Markets55Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 12:33 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet6.424.451.543.0%
Marathonbet6.354.401.524.3%
Pinnacle6.104.281.506.4%
Bet3656.004.331.506.4%
William Hill5.504.001.509.8%
Betfair6.004.201.449.9%
BetVictor6.004.001.4510.6%
Best of all books6.424.451.543.0%
Average6.054.241.497.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoldovaSlovakia
Last 106Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.71.3Goals against · last 50.738Attack rating6333Defence rating6736Form rating640H2H rating10050Goals model5039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 16:21 UTC

Moldova

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

2 OctAKazakhstan2-1W
29 SepHFaroe Islands1-1D
26 SepASlovakia0-2L
9 JunAArmenia1-1D
5 JunHBulgaria2-2D
30 MarACyprus2-3L
26 MarHLithuania0-2L
16 NovAIsrael1-4L
13 NovHItaly0-2L
14 OctAEstonia1-1D

Slovakia

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

2 OctAFaroe Islands1-1D
29 SepHKazakhstan2-1W
26 SepHMoldova2-0W
5 JunHMontenegro2-2D
1 JunHMalta2-1W
31 MarHRomania2-0W
26 MarHKosovo3-4L
17 NovAGermany0-6L
14 NovHNorthern Ireland1-0W
13 OctHLuxembourg2-0W

Head to head

0Moldova wins
0draws
1Slovakia wins

1 meeting · goals 0:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Moldova

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueSlovakia2-0Moldova

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spain330010:4+69
2England320111:3+86
3Croatia31023:12-93
4Czechia30032:7-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.85X21%4.55267%1.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Oct 15:026 Oct 18:311 7.85X 4.552 1.39
16.05 → 7.85 +29.8%X4.24 → 4.55 +7.3%21.49 → 1.39 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.852.043.1%
Marathonbet1.822.014.7%
Pinnacle1.822.014.7%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
BetVictor1.731.968.8%
Best of all books1.852.052.8%
Average1.792.015.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.871.857.5%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
Marathonbet1.871.838.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.861.858.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moldova 10%Draw 45%Slovakia 45%

The statistical model rated Moldova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Slovakia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.85 | 4.55 | 1.39, which imply roughly 22% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Moldova averaged 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Slovakia averaged 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Slovakia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Moldova

5-3-2

Coach: L. Popescu

Goalkeeper

  • 12D. Celeadnic

Defence

  • 21I. Revenco
  • 4V. Baboglo
  • 18I. Iovu
  • 6M. Gherasimencov
  • 2O. Reabciuk

Midfield

  • 14Vladimir Fratea
  • 22V. Raţă
  • 9S. Perciun

Attack

  • 20N. Cleșcenco
  • 15Petru Popescu
Substitutes (12)
  • 5C. Cucoș
  • 13S. Cojocari
  • 17O. David
  • 8C. Dros
  • 19D. Dumbrăvanu
  • 16D. Forov
  • 23A. Kozhukhar
  • 10D. Mandrîcenco
  • 7N. Moțpan
  • 3M. Ștefan
  • 11V. Stînă
  • 1E. Tîmbur

Slovakia

4-3-3

Coach: V. Weiss

Goalkeeper

  • 23D. Greif

Defence

  • 2I. Mesík
  • 14M. Škriniar
  • 21A. Obert
  • 16D. Hancko

Midfield

  • 10T. Suslov
  • 22S. Lobotka
  • 8O. Duda

Attack

  • 18I. Schranz
  • 15D. Strelec
  • 17L. Haraslín
Substitutes (12)
  • 3D. Vavro
  • 4M. Valjent
  • 12J. Surovčík
  • 7L. Sauer
  • 5Ľ. Šatka
  • 19T. Rigo
  • 20E. Prekop
  • 6P. Pokorný
  • 13A. Kaprálik
  • 1M. Dúbravka
  • 11T. Bobček
  • 9R. Boženík

Match Statistics

MoldovaSlovakia
375Passes accurate440
7Shots insidebox11
10Shots outsidebox3
5Blocked Shots5
8Free Kicks14
5Shots on Goal6
2Goalkeeper Saves5
7Shots off Goal3
2Offsides4
430Total passes502
17Total Shots14
2Yellow Cards0
8Corner Kicks3
15Fouls9
0Red Cards0
46%Ball Possession54%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
6.054.241.49

Double chance

1XX212
2.521.121.20

Draw no bet

12
4.581.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.85

1st half

1X2
5.932.341.99

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.3013.81.41

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.8
1.51.233.86
2.51.792.01
3.52.861.37
4.55.531.11
5.59.881.03
6.513.01.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.75–9.70
1–10.2
1.251.115.27
1.751.293.35
21.372.91
2.251.592.32
2.751.971.77
32.331.56
3.252.591.43
3.753.551.23
44.801.12
4.255.151.10
4.757.881.04
58.251.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.551.48
+0.752.251.63
+11.951.84
+1.251.692.14
+1.51.532.43
+1.751.372.90
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.512.01.02
-110.51.01
-0.758.101.03
-0.254.961.13
04.741.16
+0.253.181.32
+21.233.79
+2.251.174.19
+2.51.154.57
+2.751.075.85
+31.018.80
+3.51.038.63

Latest UEFA Nations League results

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6 OctSwitzerland 3-0 FYR Macedonia
6 OctScotland 1-2 Slovenia