Malta vs 
Gibraltar• UEFA Nations League, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 00:11 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.96 | 12.3 | 2.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.90 | 12.3 | 4.3% |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 4.60 | 10.5 | 11.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.34 | 4.96 | 12.3 | 2.9% |
| Average | 1.30 | 4.82 | 11.7 | 6.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:31 UTC
Malta
4W 1D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against
| 1 Oct | H | Gibraltar | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Liechtenstein | 2-0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Andorra | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Jun | A | Azerbaijan | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Jun | A | Slovakia | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Mar | A | Luxembourg | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Mar | H | Luxembourg | 0-2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Poland | 2-3 | L |
| 14 Nov | A | Finland | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1-4 | L |
Gibraltar
2W 3D 5L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against
| 1 Oct | A | Malta | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Andorra | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Sep | H | Sao Tome and Principe | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Jun | H | Cayman Islands | 4-1 | W |
| 3 Jun | H | British Virgin Islands | 4-0 | W |
| 31 Mar | A | Latvia | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Mar | H | Latvia | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Nov | A | Czechia | 0-6 | L |
| 14 Nov | H | Montenegro | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Croatia | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 3:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Malta
| 6 Sep 2023Friendlies | Friendlies | Malta1-0Gibraltar |
| 7 Oct 2020Friendlies | Friendlies | Malta2-0Gibraltar |
UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.84 | 3.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 1.81 | 4.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.84 | 3.1% |
| Average | 2.04 | 1.83 | 3.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 1.43 | 8.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Malta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gibraltar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.25 | 5.24 | 12.31, which imply roughly 80% for a Malta win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Malta averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gibraltar averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Malta and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Malta
4-2-3-1Coach: E. De Leo
Goalkeeper
- 1H. Bonello
Defence
- 21J. Corbalan
- 5K. Shaw
- 13E. Pepe
- 3R. Camenzuli
Midfield
- 6M. Guillaumier
- 23A. Satariano
- 7J. Mbong
- 10T. Teuma
- 20I. Chouaref
Attack
- 11I. Cardona
Substitutes (12)
- 15M. Beerman
- 16R. Al Tumi
- 2J. Borg
- 19K. Ewurum
- 9J. Grech
- 8P. Mbong
- 22Z. Muscat
- 18B. Paiber
- 14A. Zammit
- 17C. Zammit Lonardelli
- 12J. Sissons
- 4Gabriel Bohrer Mentz
Gibraltar
4-3-3Coach: S. Wiseman
Goalkeeper
- 23J. Hankins
Defence
- 8K. Ronan
- 6B. Lopes
- 2E. Jolley
- 3J. Valarino
Midfield
- 5D. Bent
- 22G. Torrilla
- 11J. Scanlon
Attack
- 7Carlos Peliza Richards
- 10T. De Barr
- 4N. Pozo
Substitutes (12)
- 16H. Stevens
- 21A. Pons
- 20E. Britto
- 9D. Borge
- 1B. Banda
- 18J. Bartolo
- 14J. Garro
- 12J. Gomez
- 13Victor Huart Guerra
- 17L. Jessop
- 19L. Mason
- 15Ethan Llambias
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 4.82 | 11.7 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 3.46 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.05 | 8.50 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.62 | 1.44 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | 2.32 | 9.82 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 7.80 | 5.15 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.31 | 3.08 |
| 2.5 | 2.04 | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 3.34 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 13.5 | 1.02 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.04 | 7.37 |
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 4.16 |
| 1.75 | 1.40 | 2.77 |
| 2 | 1.51 | 2.42 |
| 2.25 | 1.78 | 2.05 |
| 2.75 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
| 3 | 2.73 | 1.41 |
| 3.25 | 3.03 | 1.33 |
| 3.75 | 4.09 | 1.17 |
| 4 | 5.45 | 1.09 |
| 4.25 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 10.5 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.25 | 2.95 | 1.36 |
| -2 | 2.62 | 1.44 |
| -1.75 | 2.22 | 1.67 |
| -1.5 | 2.01 | 1.81 |
| -1.25 | 1.72 | 2.13 |
| -1 | 1.44 | 2.61 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.75 | 7.78 | 1.02 |
| -3.5 | 6.73 | 1.06 |
| -3.25 | 5.77 | 1.08 |
| -3 | 5.50 | 1.09 |
| -2.75 | 4.06 | 1.19 |
| -2.5 | 3.44 | 1.26 |
| -0.75 | 1.34 | 2.99 |
| -0.25 | 1.15 | 4.64 |
| 0 | 1.04 | 7.60 |