Belarus vs 
San Marino• UEFA Nations League, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 8.40 | 26.0 | 3.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.14 | 8.40 | 26.0 | 3.5% |
| Average | 1.14 | 8.40 | 26.0 | 3.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 16:01 UTC
Belarus
4W 4D 2L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against
| 3 Oct | H | San Marino | 4-0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Finland | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Albania | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Jun | H | Burkina Faso | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Jun | H | Syria | 4-1 | W |
| 29 Mar | A | Armenia | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Mar | A | Cyprus | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Nov | H | Greece | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Nov | A | Denmark | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Oct | A | Scotland | 1-2 | L |
San Marino
0W 1D 9L · goals 4:32 · per match 0.4 for, 3.2 against
| 3 Oct | A | Belarus | 0-4 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Albania | 0-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Finland | 0-7 | L |
| 9 Jun | A | Azerbaijan | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Jun | H | Bangladesh | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Andorra | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Mar | H | Faroe Islands | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Romania | 1-7 | L |
| 13 Nov | A | Czechia | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Cyprus | 0-4 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 7:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Belarus
| 18 Nov 2018UEFA Nations League | UEFA Nations League | San Marino0-2Belarus |
| 8 Sep 2018UEFA Nations League | UEFA Nations League | Belarus5-0San Marino |
UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 1.42 | 7.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.70 | 1.42 | 7.5% |
| Average | 2.70 | 1.42 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Belarus at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and San Marino at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.06 | 11.37 | 36.08, which imply roughly 94.3% for a Belarus win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Belarus averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; San Marino averaged 0 scored and 5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Belarus or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Belarus
4-4-2Coach: V. Goncharenko
Goalkeeper
- 1P. Pavlyuchenko
Defence
- 6R. Begunov
- 20Z. Volkov
- 13K. Gomanov
- 2K. Pechenin
Midfield
- 22A. Kontsevoy
- 9M. Ebong
- 14E. Yablonskiy
- 10V. Gromyko
Attack
- 23T. Melnichenko
- 8T. Simanenka
Substitutes (12)
- 4V. Bocherov
- 12A. Kudravets
- 16A. Kovalev
- 5V. Kalinin
- 11G. Barkovskiy
- 15D. Galyata
- 21F. Lapoukhov
- 17V. Lisakovich
- 19A. Lukashov
- 18E. Malashevich
- 7A. Shumanskiy
- 3I. Tikhomirov
San Marino
4-4-2Coach: R. Cevoli
Goalkeeper
- 1E. Colombo
Defence
- 2G. Benvenuti
- 5M. Cevoli
- 15M. Pasolini
- 3S. Giocondi
Midfield
- 10S. Zannoni
- 8L. Capicchioni
- 17A. Golinucci
- 21L. Lazzari
Attack
- 11N. Giacopetti
- 9N. Nanni
Substitutes (12)
- 22M. Mularoni
- 6D. Rossi
- 12A. Tosi
- 23M. De Angelis
- 4F. Fabbri
- 14Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz
- 20G. Bugli
- 18Balda Enea Della
- 13Lyes Hoël
- 16C. Meloni
- 7Nicholas Protti
- 19S. Pancotti
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | 8.40 | 26.0 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 6.15 | 1.09 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.70 | 1.42 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 3.10 | 15.5 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.70 |
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.40 |
| 3.5 | 2.42 | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 4.00 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 7.60 | 1.04 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.18 | 4.18 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.70 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.86 |
| 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 3 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| 3.25 | 2.18 | 1.75 |
| 3.75 | 2.68 | 1.40 |
| 4 | 3.40 | 1.26 |
| 4.25 | 3.68 | 1.22 |
| 5 | 6.20 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.75 | 2.56 | 1.56 |
| -2.5 | 2.22 | 1.72 |
| -2.25 | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| -2 | 1.70 | 2.15 |
| -1.75 | 1.58 | 2.52 |
| -1.5 | 1.41 | 2.65 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 6.80 | 1.06 |
| -4 | 6.00 | 1.08 |
| -3.75 | 4.44 | 1.16 |
| -3.5 | 3.60 | 1.23 |
| -3.25 | 3.30 | 1.28 |
| -3 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| -1.25 | 1.28 | 3.30 |
| -1 | 1.14 | 4.80 |
| 0 | 1.01 | 13.5 |