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Belarus vs San Marino• UEFA Nations League, World

0.0:1.04-0FT03/10 · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest0.0:5.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.09BTNX13.6PIN245.01XBMargin at best1.3%Books1Markets49Rating83 · 17Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.148.4026.03.5%
Best of all books1.148.4026.03.5%
Average1.148.4026.03.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BelarusSan Marino
Last 108Form pts · last 500.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 55.00Attack rating083Defence rating17100Form rating0100H2H rating00Goals model083Overall rating17

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 16:01 UTC

Belarus

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

3 OctHSan Marino4-0W
29 SepAFinland0-0D
26 SepAAlbania0-2L
9 JunHBurkina Faso2-2D
5 JunHSyria4-1W
29 MarAArmenia2-1W
26 MarACyprus1-0W
18 NovHGreece0-0D
15 NovADenmark2-2D
12 OctAScotland1-2L

San Marino

0W 1D 9L · goals 4:32 · per match 0.4 for, 3.2 against

3 OctABelarus0-4L
29 SepHAlbania0-3L
26 SepHFinland0-7L
9 JunAAzerbaijan1-2L
5 JunHBangladesh1-2L
31 MarHAndorra0-0D
28 MarHFaroe Islands1-2L
18 NovARomania1-7L
13 NovACzechia0-1L
12 OctHCyprus0-4L

Head to head

2Belarus wins
0draws
0San Marino wins

2 meetings · goals 7:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Belarus

18 Nov 2018UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueSan Marino0-2Belarus
8 Sep 2018UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueBelarus5-0San Marino

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spain330010:4+69
2England320111:3+86
3Croatia31023:12-93
4Czechia30032:7-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg189%1.06X8%11.423%36.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 03:513 Oct 13:311 1.06X 11.42 36.1
11.14 → 1.06 -7.0%X8.40 → 11.4 +35.4%226.0 → 36.1 +38.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.572.405.4%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.572.405.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.701.427.5%
Best of all books2.701.427.5%
Average2.701.427.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Belarus 50%Draw 50%San Marino 0%

The statistical model rated Belarus at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and San Marino at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.06 | 11.37 | 36.08, which imply roughly 94.3% for a Belarus win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Belarus averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; San Marino averaged 0 scored and 5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Belarus or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Belarus

4-4-2

Coach: V. Goncharenko

Goalkeeper

  • 1P. Pavlyuchenko

Defence

  • 6R. Begunov
  • 20Z. Volkov
  • 13K. Gomanov
  • 2K. Pechenin

Midfield

  • 22A. Kontsevoy
  • 9M. Ebong
  • 14E. Yablonskiy
  • 10V. Gromyko

Attack

  • 23T. Melnichenko
  • 8T. Simanenka
Substitutes (12)
  • 4V. Bocherov
  • 12A. Kudravets
  • 16A. Kovalev
  • 5V. Kalinin
  • 11G. Barkovskiy
  • 15D. Galyata
  • 21F. Lapoukhov
  • 17V. Lisakovich
  • 19A. Lukashov
  • 18E. Malashevich
  • 7A. Shumanskiy
  • 3I. Tikhomirov

San Marino

4-4-2

Coach: R. Cevoli

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Colombo

Defence

  • 2G. Benvenuti
  • 5M. Cevoli
  • 15M. Pasolini
  • 3S. Giocondi

Midfield

  • 10S. Zannoni
  • 8L. Capicchioni
  • 17A. Golinucci
  • 21L. Lazzari

Attack

  • 11N. Giacopetti
  • 9N. Nanni
Substitutes (12)
  • 22M. Mularoni
  • 6D. Rossi
  • 12A. Tosi
  • 23M. De Angelis
  • 4F. Fabbri
  • 14Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz
  • 20G. Bugli
  • 18Balda Enea Della
  • 13Lyes Hoël
  • 16C. Meloni
  • 7Nicholas Protti
  • 19S. Pancotti

Match Statistics

BelarusSan Marino
413Passes accurate239
8Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox5
2Blocked Shots3
20Free Kicks15
5Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves1
8Shots off Goal3
489Total passes337
15Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards5
6Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
16Fouls20
0Red Cards0
60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.148.4026.0

Double chance

1XX212
1.016.151.09

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.701.42

1st half

1X2
1.403.1015.5

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.144.70
2.51.572.40
3.52.421.62
4.54.001.19
5.57.601.04
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.751.184.18
21.223.70
2.251.422.86
2.751.652.10
31.841.86
3.252.181.75
3.752.681.40
43.401.26
4.253.681.22
56.201.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.561.56
-2.52.221.72
-2.251.961.84
-21.702.15
-1.751.582.52
-1.51.412.65
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.56.801.06
-46.001.08
-3.754.441.16
-3.53.601.23
-3.253.301.28
-33.001.33
-1.251.283.30
-11.144.80
01.0113.5

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