OddsFilter
Live

Belgium vs France• UEFA Nations League, World

2.0:0.00-1FT28/09 · Roi Baudouin, Brussels1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.25BTNX4.10MAR21.90PINMargin at best0.6%Books9Markets65Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Sep 20:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.823.881.953.2%
Marathonbet3.783.841.934.3%
Pinnacle3.793.781.915.2%
Betano3.753.651.955.3%
Betfair3.603.801.916.4%
Bet3653.603.601.859.6%
BetVictor3.603.601.859.6%
William Hill3.503.401.9110.3%
SBO3.313.261.8514.9%
Best of all books3.823.881.953.2%
Average3.643.651.907.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BelgiumFrance
Last 109Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating050Form rating500H2H rating1000Goals model047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 15:21 UTC

Belgium

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

2 OctHTürkiye3-0W
28 SepHFrance0-1L
25 SepAItaly2-0W
10 JulASpain1-2L
7 JulAUSA4-1W
1 JulHSenegal3-2W
27 JunANew Zealand5-1W
21 JunHIran0-0D
15 JunHEgypt1-1D
6 JunHTunisia5-0W

France

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

2 OctHItaly1-1D
28 SepABelgium1-0W
25 SepATürkiye1-0W
18 JulHEngland4-6L
14 JulHSpain0-2L
9 JulHMorocco2-0W
4 JulAParaguay1-0W
30 JunHSweden3-0W
26 JunANorway4-1W
22 JunHIraq3-0W

Head to head

0Belgium wins
0draws
6France wins

6 meetings · goals 3:10 · last 6: 0W 0D 6L for Belgium

28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueBelgium0-1France
14 Oct 2024UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueBelgium1-2France
9 Sep 2024UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueFrance2-0Belgium
1 Jul 2024Euro ChampionshipEuro ChampionshipFrance1-0Belgium
7 Oct 2021UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueBelgium2-3France
10 Jul 2018World CupWorld CupFrance1-0Belgium

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spain330010:4+69
2England320111:3+86
3Croatia31023:12-93
4Czechia30032:7-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.29X26%3.67245%2.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Sep 00:0128 Sep 17:311 3.89X 3.902 1.85
13.64 → 3.89 +6.9%X3.65 → 3.90 +6.8%21.90 → 1.85 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.752.183.0%
Betano1.752.153.7%
Marathonbet1.722.154.7%
Pinnacle1.712.145.2%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.752.183.0%
Average1.702.135.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Betano1.622.226.8%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.612.207.6%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
William Hill1.602.208.0%
Marathonbet1.612.178.2%
Best of all books1.652.225.7%
Average1.622.207.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Belgium 10%Draw 45%France 45%

The statistical model rated Belgium at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and France at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.67 | 2.10, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Belgium averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; France averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or France.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Belgium

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. van Bommel

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Lammens

Defence

  • 21T. Castagne
  • 15N. Ngoy
  • 4B. Mechele
  • 18J. Seys

Midfield

  • 6R. Lavia
  • 8Y. Tielemans
  • 19Diego Moreira
  • 7K. De Bruyne
  • 10M. Godts

Attack

  • 17C. De Ketelaere
Substitutes (12)
  • 2Z. Debast
  • 13J. De Busser
  • 16M. Keita
  • 9R. Lukaku
  • 14D. Lukebakio
  • 22M. Fernandez-Pardo
  • 11L. Openda
  • 23N. Raskin
  • 20H. Vanaken
  • 3K. De Winter
  • 12M. Vandevoordt
  • 5M. De Cuyper

France

4-3-3

Coach: Z. Zidane

Goalkeeper

  • 16M. Maignan

Defence

  • 2P. Kalulu
  • 22J. Jacquet
  • 17M. Lacroix
  • 13A. Diouf

Midfield

  • 18M. Akliouche
  • 6E. Camavinga
  • 21L. da Cunha

Attack

  • 20D. Doué
  • 19E. Lepaul
  • 12B. Barcola
Substitutes (11)
  • 9R. Cherki
  • 15L. Yoro
  • 7O. Dembélé
  • 8M. Koné
  • 5J. Koundé
  • 11M. Olise
  • 1G. Restes
  • 3A. Truffert
  • 4D. Upamecano
  • 23J. Butez
  • 14A. Rabiot

Match Statistics

BelgiumFrance
306Passes accurate629
7Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots4
8Free Kicks11
2Shots on Goal7
5Goalkeeper Saves2
8Shots off Goal7
368Total passes681
12Total Shots18
3Yellow Cards0
2Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
12Fouls9
0Red Cards0
35%Ball Possession65%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.643.651.90

Double chance

1XX212
1.861.261.25

Draw no bet

12
2.701.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.20

1st half

1X2
4.022.292.43

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3614.31.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.6
1.51.204.20
2.51.702.13
3.52.681.43
4.55.061.14
5.59.531.04
6.518.71.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.0
1.251.095.82
1.751.243.75
21.323.23
2.251.522.50
2.751.891.91
32.151.66
3.252.421.52
3.753.261.31
44.251.16
4.254.601.13
4.756.301.06
59.10–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.801.43
+0.252.191.65
+0.51.911.89
+0.751.672.14
+11.462.63
+1.251.363.01
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.7510.11.01
-1.57.871.04
-1.257.501.06
-17.201.07
-0.754.631.17
-0.53.651.27
-0.253.261.34
+1.51.293.32
+1.751.184.12
+21.095.93
+2.251.076.35
+2.51.076.75
+3.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0112.5
4.51.049.50
5.51.096.60
6.51.194.35
7.51.372.95
8.51.652.15
9.52.101.67
10.52.821.40
11.53.901.23
12.55.401.13
13.57.301.07
14.59.501.04
15.511.51.02
16.513.01.01
1 more line
LineOverUnder
91.881.93

Latest UEFA Nations League results

6 OctEngland 3-0 Czechia
6 OctCroatia 1-2 Spain
6 OctMoldova 0-4 Slovakia
6 OctEstonia 0-0 Iceland
6 OctLuxembourg 0-2 Bulgaria
6 OctSwitzerland 3-0 FYR Macedonia