Georgia vs Ukraine• UEFA Nations League, World

0.0:1.00-0FT28/09 · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.801XBX3.20BVC22.80PINMargin at best2.7%Books9Markets50Rating27 · 74Exp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Sep 20:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.73	3.28	2.77	3.2%
Marathonbet	2.70	3.25	2.74	4.3%
Betano	2.65	3.30	2.72	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.67	3.18	2.77	5.0%
Bet365	2.55	3.25	2.62	8.2%
BetVictor	2.55	3.13	2.60	9.6%
Betfair	2.55	3.25	2.50	10.0%
William Hill	2.50	3.10	2.62	10.4%
SBO	2.44	2.95	2.49	15.0%
Best of all books	2.73	3.30	2.77	3.0%
Average	2.59	3.19	2.65	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GeorgiaUkraine

Last 105Form pts · last 570.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating1000Form rating10020H2H rating800Goals model10027Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 15:21 UTC

Georgia

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

2 Oct	A	Hungary	0-1	L
28 Sep	H	Ukraine	0-0	D
25 Sep	H	Northern Ireland	0-1	L
5 Jun	H	Bahrain	2-0	W
2 Jun	H	Romania	1-1	D
29 Mar	A	Lithuania	2-0	W
26 Mar	H	Israel	2-2	D
18 Nov	A	Bulgaria	1-2	L
15 Nov	H	Spain	0-4	L
14 Oct	A	Türkiye	1-4	L

Ukraine

5W 1D 4L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

2 Oct	H	Northern Ireland	0-3	L
28 Sep	A	Georgia	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Hungary	1-0	W
7 Jun	A	Denmark	1-2	L
31 May	A	Poland	2-0	W
31 Mar	H	Albania	1-0	W
26 Mar	H	Sweden	1-3	L
16 Nov	H	Iceland	2-0	W
13 Nov	A	France	0-4	L
13 Oct	H	Azerbaijan	2-1	W

Head to head

0Georgia wins

1draws

1Ukraine wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Georgia

16 Nov 2024UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Georgia1-1Ukraine
11 Oct 2024UEFA Nations League	UEFA Nations League	Ukraine1-0Georgia

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	10:4	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	11:3	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	3:12	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.71X31%3.07235%2.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.59 → 2.71 +4.6%X3.19 → 3.07 -3.8%22.65 → 2.71 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.15	1.77	3.0%
Betano	2.15	1.75	3.7%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.74	4.6%
Pinnacle	2.11	1.73	5.2%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.77	3.0%
Average	2.09	1.73	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.82	1.91	7.3%
1xBet	1.80	1.92	7.6%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
BetVictor	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.92	6.7%
Average	1.81	1.90	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Georgia 0%Draw 50%Ukraine 50%

The statistical model rated Georgia at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Ukraine at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.07 | 2.71, which imply roughly 32.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Georgia averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ukraine averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ukraine and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Georgia

4-3-3

Coach: R. Svanadze

Goalkeeper

1G. Mamardashvili

Defence

2O. Kakabadze
5S. Goglichidze
3L. Dvali
4L. Lochoshvili

Midfield

6G. Kochorashvili
10G. Chakvetadze
8O. Kiteishvili

Attack

19G. Tsitaishvili
22G. Mikautadze
7K. Kvaratskhelia

Substitutes (12)

23L. Gugeshashvili
9Z. Davitashvili
13D. Kereselidze
16S. Kharebashvili
17G. Kvernadze
12S. Lobzhanidze
15G. Mamageishvili
14A. Mekvabishvili
20S. Sazonov
21J. Tabidze
18I. Yegoian
11B. Zivzivadze

Ukraine

3-4-1-2

Coach: Andrea Maldera

Goalkeeper

12A. Trubin

Defence

5V. Bondar
3E. Sarapiy
4T. Mykhavko

Midfield

20O. Zubkov
17O. Pikhalyonok
19E. Nazaryna
2B. Mykhailichenko
21M. Khlan

Attack

8M. Ponomarenko
11V. Vanat

Substitutes (12)

18O. Ocheretko
23D. Riznyk
10M. Shaparenko
14D. Sikan
15V. Tsygankov
16V. Veleten
9R. Yaremchuk
7A. Yarmolenko
1H. Ermakov
13I. Zabarnyi
6V. Brazhko
22M. Matvienko

Match Statistics

GeorgiaUkraine

454Passes accurate500

4Shots insidebox3

10Shots outsidebox4

3Blocked Shots0

14Free Kicks11

5Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves5

6Shots off Goal5

1Offsides0

520Total passes558

14Total Shots7

2Yellow Cards4

4Corner Kicks0

13Fouls14

0Red Cards0

49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	3.19	2.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.46	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.87

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
3.25	2.05	3.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.03	8.75	2.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.68
1.5	1.34	3.09
2.5	2.09	1.73
3.5	3.75	1.25
4.5	7.78	1.06
5.5	15.3	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.88
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.18	4.11
1.75	1.43	2.71
2	1.57	2.33
2.25	1.84	1.95
2.75	2.42	1.56
3	2.97	1.36
3.25	3.33	1.27
3.75	4.64	1.13
4	6.60	1.06
4.25	6.95	1.04
5	11.5	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.20	1.34
-0.5	2.59	1.49
-0.25	2.24	1.64
0	1.88	1.93
+0.25	1.61	2.28
+0.5	1.47	2.65

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	11.5	1.02
-2	10.5	1.02
-1.75	7.68	1.04
-1.5	5.64	1.11
-1.25	5.11	1.14
-1	4.59	1.18
+0.75	1.32	3.28
+1	1.17	4.71
+1.25	1.13	5.16
+1.5	1.12	5.56
+1.75	1.05	7.90
+2	1.01	11.5
+2.5	1.02	10.8

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.25	3.75
7.5	1.45	2.60
8.5	1.82	1.96
9.5	2.37	1.55
10.5	3.25	1.31

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