Norway vs 
Portugal• UEFA Nations League, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 20:10 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.73 | 3.58 | 2.59 | 3.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 3.54 | 2.56 | 4.3% |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.62 | 4.9% |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 3.48 | 2.59 | 4.9% |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 6.6% |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.45 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 8.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.73 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 2.6% |
| Average | 2.64 | 3.48 | 2.53 | 6.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Norway
5W 1D 4L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against
| 1 Oct | A | Wales | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Portugal | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Denmark | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Jul | H | England | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Jul | A | Brazil | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Jun | A | Ivory Coast | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Jun | H | France | 1-4 | L |
| 23 Jun | H | Senegal | 3-2 | W |
| 16 Jun | A | Iraq | 4-1 | W |
| 7 Jun | A | Morocco | 1-1 | D |
Portugal
7W 2D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against
| 1 Oct | A | Denmark | 4-2 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Norway | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Wales | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Jul | H | Spain | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Jul | H | Croatia | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Jun | A | Colombia | 0-0 | D |
| 23 Jun | H | Uzbekistan | 5-0 | W |
| 17 Jun | H | Congo DR | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Jun | H | Nigeria | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Jun | H | Chile | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Norway
| 27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League | UEFA Nations League | Norway1-2Portugal |
UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.21 | 3.1% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.22 | 3.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 2.18 | 4.7% |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 2.16 | 5.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.64 | 2.08 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.22 | 2.8% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.17 | 5.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.45 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 2.35 | 7.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 2.32 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.54 | 2.45 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.37 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Norway at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Portugal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.72 | 2.79, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Norway win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Norway averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Portugal averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Norway.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Norway
4-3-3Coach: S. Solbakken
Goalkeeper
- 1Ø. Nyland
Defence
- 14J. Ryerson
- 3K. Ajer
- 17T. Heggem
- 7F. Aursnes
Midfield
- 10M. Ødegaard
- 8S. Berge
- 6P. Berg
Attack
- 21A. Schjelderup
- 9E. Haaland
- 20A. Nusa
Substitutes (12)
- 2O. Bjørtuft
- 5F. Sjøvold
- 12S. Tangvik
- 19T. Aasgaard
- 15O. Didrik Blomberg
- 22Oscar Bobb
- 23E. Botheim
- 11J. Strand Larsen
- 4L. Østigård
- 16M. Pedersen
- 13E. Selvik
- 18K. Thorstvedt
Portugal
4-4-2Coach: Jorge Jesus
Goalkeeper
- 1Diogo Costa
Defence
- 20João Cancelo
- 3Rúben Dias
- 13Renato Veiga
- 19Nuno Mendes
Midfield
- 14Francisco Conceição
- 6João Palhinha
- 15João Neves
- 18Pedro Neto
Attack
- 11João Félix
- 9Gonçalo Ramos
Substitutes (12)
- 8Gonçalo Inácio
- 17Rafael Leão
- 21Rúben Neves
- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 10Bernardo Silva
- 12Rui Silva
- 22Samuel Soares
- 5Nuno Tavares
- 16Trincão
- 23Vitinha
- 4Tomás Araújo
- 2Diogo Dalot
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.64 | 3.48 | 2.53 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.92 | 1.80 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.37 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.13 | 2.28 | 3.02 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | 14.6 | 1.92 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.2 |
| 1.5 | 1.20 | 4.24 |
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.17 |
| 3.5 | 2.61 | 1.45 |
| 4.5 | 4.82 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 9.29 | 1.04 |
| 6.5 | 18.5 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 41.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | 10.2 |
| 1.25 | 1.10 | 5.67 |
| 1.75 | 1.24 | 3.79 |
| 2 | 1.30 | 3.29 |
| 2.25 | 1.51 | 2.54 |
| 2.75 | 1.86 | 1.94 |
| 3 | 2.09 | 1.70 |
| 3.25 | 2.36 | 1.55 |
| 3.75 | 3.11 | 1.34 |
| 4 | 3.94 | 1.18 |
| 4.25 | 4.25 | 1.15 |
| 4.75 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.59 | 1.49 |
| -0.25 | 2.27 | 1.62 |
| 0 | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| +0.25 | 1.67 | 2.16 |
| +0.5 | 1.52 | 2.48 |
| +0.75 | 1.38 | 2.94 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 6.62 | 1.07 |
| -1.5 | 5.21 | 1.13 |
| -1.25 | 4.69 | 1.16 |
| -1 | 4.28 | 1.20 |
| -0.75 | 3.14 | 1.35 |
| +1 | 1.23 | 3.96 |
| +1.25 | 1.18 | 4.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.16 | 4.66 |
| +1.75 | 1.08 | 6.10 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 9.47 |