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Norway vs Portugal• UEFA Nations League, World

3.0:2.01-2FT27/09 · Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.34MARX3.91PIN22.97PINMargin at best2.0%Books8Markets46Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 20:10 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.733.582.593.2%
Marathonbet2.703.542.564.3%
Betano2.653.452.624.9%
Pinnacle2.663.482.594.9%
Betfair2.633.602.456.6%
Bet3652.603.502.457.8%
William Hill2.623.302.508.5%
BetVictor2.553.402.459.4%
Best of all books2.733.602.622.6%
Average2.643.482.536.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NorwayPortugal
Last 106Form pts · last 5123.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.075Attack rating250Defence rating10050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC

Norway

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

1 OctAWales1-2L
27 SepHPortugal1-2L
24 SepHDenmark3-2W
11 JulHEngland1-2L
5 JulABrazil2-1W
30 JunAIvory Coast2-1W
26 JunHFrance1-4L
23 JunHSenegal3-2W
16 JunAIraq4-1W
7 JunAMorocco1-1D

Portugal

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

1 OctADenmark4-2W
27 SepANorway2-1W
24 SepHWales1-0W
6 JulHSpain0-1L
2 JulHCroatia2-1W
27 JunAColombia0-0D
23 JunHUzbekistan5-0W
17 JunHCongo DR1-1D
10 JunHNigeria2-1W
6 JunHChile2-1W

Head to head

0Norway wins
0draws
1Portugal wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Norway

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueNorway1-2Portugal

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spain330010:4+69
2England320111:3+86
3Croatia31023:12-93
4Czechia30032:7-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.32X25%3.72234%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Sep 00:0127 Sep 14:111 2.28X 3.752 2.84
12.64 → 2.28 -13.6%X3.48 → 3.75 +7.8%22.53 → 2.84 +12.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.732.213.1%
Betano1.702.223.9%
Marathonbet1.702.184.7%
Pinnacle1.702.165.1%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
Best of all books1.732.222.8%
Average1.682.175.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Betano1.532.407.0%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
William Hill1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.542.357.5%
Marathonbet1.542.328.0%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.542.455.8%
Average1.532.377.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Norway 35%Draw 35%Portugal 30%

The statistical model rated Norway at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Portugal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.72 | 2.79, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Norway win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Norway averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Portugal averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Norway.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Norway

4-3-3

Coach: S. Solbakken

Goalkeeper

  • 1Ø. Nyland

Defence

  • 14J. Ryerson
  • 3K. Ajer
  • 17T. Heggem
  • 7F. Aursnes

Midfield

  • 10M. Ødegaard
  • 8S. Berge
  • 6P. Berg

Attack

  • 21A. Schjelderup
  • 9E. Haaland
  • 20A. Nusa
Substitutes (12)
  • 2O. Bjørtuft
  • 5F. Sjøvold
  • 12S. Tangvik
  • 19T. Aasgaard
  • 15O. Didrik Blomberg
  • 22Oscar Bobb
  • 23E. Botheim
  • 11J. Strand Larsen
  • 4L. Østigård
  • 16M. Pedersen
  • 13E. Selvik
  • 18K. Thorstvedt

Portugal

4-4-2

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Goalkeeper

  • 1Diogo Costa

Defence

  • 20João Cancelo
  • 3Rúben Dias
  • 13Renato Veiga
  • 19Nuno Mendes

Midfield

  • 14Francisco Conceição
  • 6João Palhinha
  • 15João Neves
  • 18Pedro Neto

Attack

  • 11João Félix
  • 9Gonçalo Ramos
Substitutes (12)
  • 8Gonçalo Inácio
  • 17Rafael Leão
  • 21Rúben Neves
  • 7Cristiano Ronaldo
  • 10Bernardo Silva
  • 12Rui Silva
  • 22Samuel Soares
  • 5Nuno Tavares
  • 16Trincão
  • 23Vitinha
  • 4Tomás Araújo
  • 2Diogo Dalot

Match Statistics

NorwayPortugal
488Passes accurate284
16Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox5
7Blocked Shots3
12Free Kicks8
6Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
9Shots off Goal5
569Total passes353
22Total Shots12
3Yellow Cards6
7Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
8Fouls12
0Red Cards0
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.643.482.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.521.471.29

Draw no bet

12
1.921.80

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.37

1st half

1X2
3.132.283.02

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9814.61.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.2
1.51.204.24
2.51.682.17
3.52.611.45
4.54.821.15
5.59.291.04
6.518.51.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–10.2
1.251.105.67
1.751.243.79
21.303.29
2.251.512.54
2.751.861.94
32.091.70
3.252.361.55
3.753.111.34
43.941.18
4.254.251.15
4.755.751.07
57.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.591.49
-0.252.271.62
01.951.86
+0.251.672.16
+0.51.522.48
+0.751.382.94
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.51.02
-1.756.621.07
-1.55.211.13
-1.254.691.16
-14.281.20
-0.753.141.35
+11.233.96
+1.251.184.30
+1.51.164.66
+1.751.086.10
+21.018.90
+2.51.039.47

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