Tartu Welco vs 
Tallinna Kalev• Esiliiga A, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:20 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.50 | 3.80 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.40 | 3.82 | 8.8% |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.64 | 4.47 | 3.87 | 9.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 15:00 UTC
Tartu Welco
7W 2D 1L · goals 30:11 · per match 3.0 for, 1.1 against
| 18 Oct | H | Nõmme United II | 4-3 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | FC Tallinn | 7-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Elva | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Viimsi | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | FCI Levadia II | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Tallinna Kalev | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Viimsi | 1-3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Nõmme Kalju II | 4-2 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | FCI Levadia II | 4-2 | W |
Tallinna Kalev
1W 3D 6L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against
| 19 Oct | H | FCI Levadia II | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Viimsi | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Elva | 2-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Flora II | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Maardu | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Sep | A | Nõmme United II | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Tartu Welco | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Flora II | 0-5 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Maardu | 1-3 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
11 meetings · goals 9:28 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for Tartu Welco
| 5 Sep 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tallinna Kalev1-1Tartu Welco |
| 9 May 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tallinna Kalev2-0Tartu Welco |
| 5 Mar 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco3-0Tallinna Kalev |
| 15 Jul 2023Cup | Cup | Tartu Welco0-4Tallinna Kalev |
| 31 Oct 2021Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco2-3Tallinna Kalev |
| 12 Aug 2021Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco0-1Tallinna Kalev |
| 27 May 2021Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tallinna Kalev2-1Tartu Welco |
| 26 Oct 2017Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tallinna Kalev4-1Tartu Welco |
| 23 Jul 2017Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco0-3Tallinna Kalev |
| 13 May 2017Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tallinna Kalev3-0Tartu Welco |
Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 21 Oct 01:30 UTC
In the Esiliiga A table, Tartu Welco sit 1st with 71 points from 33 games, while Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 37 points from 31.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 96:42 | +54 | 71 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61:32 | +29 | 57 |
| 3 | FCI Levadia II | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 64:56 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 47:48 | -1 | 49 |
| 5 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | +18 | 48 |
| 6 | Maardu | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:59 | -12 | 43 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 53:67 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 41:76 | -35 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 38:80 | -42 | 24 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.20 | 4.50 | 5.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 4.50 | 7.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.20 | 4.50 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.19 | 4.50 | 6.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 3.48 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 3.75 | 8.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.27 | 3.75 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.25 | 3.62 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Tartu Welco at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tallinna Kalev at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 4.47 | 3.87, which imply roughly 61% for a Tartu Welco win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Tartu Welco are 1st (71 pts, 96-42 goals), Tallinna Kalev 7th (37 pts, 54-59).
Over their last five matches, Tartu Welco averaged 4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Tallinna Kalev averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 4.47 | 3.87 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.20 | 2.10 | 1.14 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.25 | 3.62 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 2.88 | 3.80 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.45 | 12.5 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 5.50 | 9.00 | 10.0 |
| HT 2 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 6.00 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 50.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.04 | 10.3 |
| 2.5 | 1.19 | 4.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.48 |
| 4.5 | 2.23 | 1.62 |
| 5.5 | 3.38 | 1.29 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.29 | 3.15 |
Next Esiliiga A matches
| 22 Oct | Flora II – Nõmme United II |
| 24 Oct | Nõmme Kalju II – FC Tallinn |