Tartu Welco vs 
Nõmme United II• Esiliiga A, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.75 | 4.68 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 4.75 | 4.50 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.89 | 4.16 | 12.5% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 13.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.47 | 4.89 | 4.68 | 9.8% |
| Average | 1.46 | 4.72 | 4.46 | 12.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC
Tartu Welco
7W 2D 1L · goals 28:9 · per match 2.8 for, 0.9 against
| 15 Oct | A | FC Tallinn | 7-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Elva | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Viimsi | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | FCI Levadia II | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Tallinna Kalev | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Viimsi | 1-3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Nõmme Kalju II | 4-2 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | FCI Levadia II | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Flora II | 2-1 | W |
Nõmme United II
4W 1D 5L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against
| 9 Oct | H | FCI Levadia II | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-2 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Viimsi | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Tallinna Kalev | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Maardu | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | Elva | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Viimsi | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | FC Tallinn | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Aug | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | FCI Levadia II | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 9:5 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Tartu Welco
| 1 Aug 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Nõmme United II2-1Tartu Welco |
| 21 Jun 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco5-2Nõmme United II |
| 3 Apr 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Nõmme United II1-3Tartu Welco |
Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 19 Oct 17:00 UTC
In the Esiliiga A table, Tartu Welco sit 1st with 71 points from 33 games, while Nõmme United II are 8th with 36 points from 32.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 96:42 | +54 | 71 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 58:32 | +26 | 54 |
| 3 | Elva | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 47:48 | -1 | 49 |
| 4 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 62:55 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 | Maardu | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:59 | -12 | 43 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | -4 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 53:67 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 41:73 | -32 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 38:80 | -42 | 24 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 3.90 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.20 | 3.90 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.20 | 3.90 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 3.30 | 9.0% |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 3.10 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 3.20 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.30 | 3.30 | 7.2% |
| Average | 1.28 | 3.20 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Tartu Welco at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Nõmme United II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.75 | 4.48, which imply roughly 69% for a Tartu Welco win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Tartu Welco are 1st (71 pts, 96-42 goals), Nõmme United II 8th (36 pts, 53-67).
Over their last five matches, Tartu Welco averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Nõmme United II averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 4.72 | 4.46 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 2.35 | 1.12 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.28 | 3.20 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 2.87 | 4.21 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.27 | 4.11 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.25 | 16.5 | 25.0 |
| HT X | 5.30 | 9.00 | 12.0 |
| HT 2 | 12.5 | 16.5 | 7.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 46.0 | 2.49 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 46.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.05 | 9.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.20 | 3.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.51 | 2.28 |
| 4.5 | 2.18 | 1.57 |
| 5.5 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 6.5 | 5.25 | 1.11 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 3.25 | 1.38 | 2.66 |
| 3.75 | 1.63 | 2.09 |
| 4 | 1.78 | 1.87 |
| 4.25 | 1.98 | 1.69 |
| 4.75 | 2.45 | 1.44 |
| 5 | 2.89 | 1.32 |
| 5.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 6 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.43 | 1.46 |
| -1.5 | 2.15 | 1.60 |
| -1.25 | 1.93 | 1.74 |
| -1 | 1.72 | 1.94 |
| -0.75 | 1.56 | 2.17 |
| -0.5 | 1.45 | 2.46 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 6.25 | 1.06 |
| -3 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
| -2.5 | 3.48 | 1.22 |
| -2.25 | 3.03 | 1.30 |
| -2 | 2.91 | 1.32 |
| -0.25 | 1.34 | 2.79 |
| 0 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
Latest Esiliiga A results
| 19 Oct | Tallinna Kalev 1-2 FCI Levadia II |
| 18 Oct | Nõmme Kalju II 0-0 Elva |
| 15 Oct | FC Tallinn 0-7 Tartu Welco |
| 14 Oct | FCI Levadia II 1-0 Nõmme Kalju II |
| 10 Oct | Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Viimsi |
| 10 Oct | Flora II 1-2 FC Tallinn |