Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#71.0:2.41-2FTToday · Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn2.6:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25WHX4.10B36522.50BTNMargin at best8.8%Books8Markets41Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 12:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.22	4.00	2.49	10.2%
Betfair	2.20	4.00	2.50	10.5%
Betano	2.22	3.90	2.50	10.7%
Bet365	2.05	4.20	2.55	11.8%
1xBet	2.23	3.92	2.39	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.23	3.92	2.39	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.25	3.85	2.38	12.4%
William Hill	2.25	3.70	2.40	13.1%
Best of all books	2.25	4.20	2.55	7.5%
Average	2.21	3.94	2.45	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tallinna KalevFCI Levadia II

Last 10#7Table position#51.23Points per game1.522Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.62.4Goals against · last 50.628Attack rating7220Defence rating8013Form rating8729H2H rating7154Goals model4632Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 06:01 UTC

Tallinna Kalev

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	Viimsi	1-2	L
24 Sep	A	Elva	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Flora II	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Maardu	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Nõmme United II	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Tartu Welco	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Flora II	0-5	L
24 Aug	H	Maardu	1-3	L
20 Aug	A	Nõmme Kalju II	3-0	W
15 Aug	H	Elva	1-0	W

FCI Levadia II

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

14 Oct	H	Nõmme Kalju II	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Nõmme United II	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Maardu	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	FC Tallinn	5-1	W
10 Sep	H	Tartu Welco	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Flora II	6-2	W
29 Aug	A	Maardu	2-4	L
23 Aug	H	FC Tallinn	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Tartu Welco	2-4	L
15 Aug	A	Viimsi	0-5	L

Head to head

10Tallinna Kalev wins

3draws

10FCI Levadia II wins

23 meetings · goals 48:49 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Tallinna Kalev

11 Jul 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II3-2Tallinna Kalev
31 May 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tallinna Kalev1-2FCI Levadia II
23 Apr 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II3-2Tallinna Kalev
21 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FCI Levadia II1-4Tallinna Kalev
11 Sep 2021Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tallinna Kalev2-2FCI Levadia II
20 Aug 2021Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tallinna Kalev5-0FCI Levadia II
21 May 2021Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II3-4Tallinna Kalev
19 Oct 2017Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II0-2Tallinna Kalev
29 Jul 2017Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tallinna Kalev2-0FCI Levadia II
6 May 2017Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II3-4Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 19 Oct 17:00 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, Tallinna Kalev sit 7th with 37 points from 30 games, while FCI Levadia II are 5th with 47 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	33	22	5	6	96:42	+54	71
2	Viimsi	32	16	6	10	58:32	+26	54
3	Elva	32	14	7	11	47:48	-1	49
4	Flora II	31	14	6	11	73:55	+18	48
5	FCI Levadia II	31	15	2	14	62:55	+7	47
6	Maardu	30	12	7	11	47:59	-12	43
7	Tallinna Kalev	30	10	7	13	53:57	-4	37
8	Nõmme United II	32	10	6	16	53:67	-14	36
9	FC Tallinn	32	9	8	15	41:73	-32	35
10	Nõmme Kalju II	33	6	6	21	38:80	-42	24

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.21X23%3.94237%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.23 +1.4%X4.05 → 3.92 -3.2%22.45 → 2.42 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.25	3.75	6.7%
Betfair	1.20	4.00	8.3%
1xBet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.25	4.00	5.0%
Average	1.22	3.73	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.20	4.00	8.3%
1xBet	1.22	3.70	9.0%
William Hill	1.22	3.60	9.7%
Marathonbet	1.22	3.58	9.9%
Best of all books	1.22	4.00	7.0%
Average	1.21	3.72	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tallinna Kalev 10%Draw 45%FCI Levadia II 45%

The statistical model rated Tallinna Kalev at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FCI Levadia II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.94 | 2.45, which imply roughly 25.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Tallinna Kalev are 7th (37 pts, 53-57 goals), FCI Levadia II 5th (47 pts, 62-55).

Over their last five matches, Tallinna Kalev averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; FCI Levadia II averaged 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FCI Levadia II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.94	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.53	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.21	3.72

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	2.68	2.77

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	3.02	2.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	13.4	17.6
HT X	6.70	8.23	7.33
HT 2	16.4	13.4	3.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	33.5	1.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	41.0
1.5	1.04	9.00
2.5	1.22	3.73
3.5	1.59	2.17
4.5	2.26	1.53
5.5	3.65	1.23

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.04	6.95
2.75	1.24	3.34
3	1.31	2.96
3.25	1.44	2.49
3.75	1.70	1.97
4	1.89	1.76
4.25	2.07	1.62
4.75	2.57	1.40
5	3.08	1.28

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.53	1.41
-0.5	2.22	1.55
-0.25	1.98	1.73
0	1.79	1.92
+0.25	1.60	2.11
+0.5	1.50	2.34

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.40	1.07
-2	6.15	1.06
-1.5	3.74	1.19
-1.25	3.42	1.23
-1	3.08	1.28
+0.75	1.36	2.73
+1	1.23	3.42
+1.5	1.16	4.10
+2	1.04	6.85
+2.5	1.05	7.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
11	1.95	1.85

Latest Esiliiga A results

19 Oct	FC Tallinn 0-3 Viimsi
18 Oct	Nõmme Kalju II 0-0 Elva
18 Oct	Tartu Welco 4-3 Nõmme United II
15 Oct	FC Tallinn 0-7 Tartu Welco
14 Oct	FCI Levadia II 1-0 Nõmme Kalju II
10 Oct	Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Viimsi