FC Tallinn vs 
Tartu Welco• Esiliiga A, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:11 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 4.70 | 1.48 | 10.1% |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.53 | 10.2% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.44 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 4.89 | 4.30 | 1.49 | 10.8% |
| Betano | 4.60 | 4.35 | 1.50 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 4.30 | 1.48 | 12.1% |
| Pinnacle | 4.62 | 4.05 | 1.51 | 12.6% |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 13.4% |
| Best of all books | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.53 | 6.4% |
| Average | 4.66 | 4.40 | 1.49 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 06:01 UTC
FC Tallinn
4W 1D 5L · goals 16:29 · per match 1.6 for, 2.9 against
| 15 Oct | H | Tartu Welco | 0-7 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Flora II | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Laagri | 0-10 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Harju JK Laagri U21 | 5-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Elva | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | FCI Levadia II | 1-5 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Maardu | 4-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Viimsi | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 0-2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | FCI Levadia II | 1-2 | L |
Tartu Welco
7W 2D 1L · goals 28:9 · per match 2.8 for, 0.9 against
| 15 Oct | A | FC Tallinn | 7-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Elva | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Viimsi | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | FCI Levadia II | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Tallinna Kalev | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Viimsi | 1-3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Nõmme Kalju II | 4-2 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | FCI Levadia II | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Flora II | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
13 meetings · goals 16:33 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for FC Tallinn
| 18 Jul 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco0-2FC Tallinn |
| 13 Jun 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco4-0FC Tallinn |
| 1 May 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | FC Tallinn0-2Tartu Welco |
| 21 Sep 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco2-2FC Tallinn |
| 23 Aug 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | FC Tallinn0-2Tartu Welco |
| 5 Jul 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | FC Tallinn1-5Tartu Welco |
| 29 Mar 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco3-1FC Tallinn |
| 26 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | FC Tallinn5-3Tartu Welco |
| 3 Nov 2024Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco1-1FC Tallinn |
| 20 Aug 2024Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | FC Tallinn1-3Tartu Welco |
Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 19 Oct 17:00 UTC
In the Esiliiga A table, FC Tallinn sit 9th with 35 points from 32 games, while Tartu Welco are 1st with 71 points from 33.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 96:42 | +54 | 71 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 58:32 | +26 | 54 |
| 3 | Elva | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 47:48 | -1 | 49 |
| 4 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 62:55 | +7 | 47 |
| 6 | Maardu | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:59 | -12 | 43 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | -4 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 53:67 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 41:73 | -32 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 38:80 | -42 | 24 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 6.7% |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 3.60 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 3.34 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 3.34 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.28 | 3.60 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.25 | 3.44 | 8.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 2.90 | 8.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 2.95 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 2.88 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| Average | 1.34 | 2.93 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated FC Tallinn at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Tartu Welco at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.66 | 4.40 | 1.49, which imply roughly 22.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Esiliiga A table: FC Tallinn are 9th (35 pts, 41-73 goals), Tartu Welco 1st (71 pts, 96-42).
Over their last five matches, FC Tallinn averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Tartu Welco averaged 2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Tartu Welco.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.66 | 4.40 | 1.49 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.31 | 1.14 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.63 | 1.24 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.34 | 2.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 2.72 | 1.88 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.27 | 3.16 | 1.75 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 7.83 | 14.9 | 15.3 |
| HT X | 11.8 | 8.63 | 4.91 |
| HT 2 | 32.0 | 14.8 | 2.12 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | 30.0 | 1.43 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 26.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.07 | 8.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.25 | 3.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.67 | 2.06 |
| 4.5 | 2.49 | 1.45 |
| 5.5 | 4.25 | 1.20 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.06 | 6.35 |
| 2.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 3 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
| 3.25 | 1.49 | 2.35 |
| 3.75 | 1.79 | 1.87 |
| 4 | 1.98 | 1.68 |
| 4.25 | 2.21 | 1.54 |
| 4.75 | 2.74 | 1.35 |
| 5 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.35 | 1.49 |
| +0.75 | 2.12 | 1.59 |
| +1 | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| +1.25 | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| +1.5 | 1.58 | 2.14 |
| +1.75 | 1.45 | 2.43 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -1 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -0.25 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 0 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| +0.25 | 2.79 | 1.34 |
| +2 | 1.32 | 2.89 |
| +2.5 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| +3 | 1.11 | 5.40 |
| +3.5 | 1.08 | 6.10 |