Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#100.6:2.60-0FT18/10 · Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn0.8:2.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.881XBX4.83PIN21.50WHMargin at best7.9%Books4Markets45Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.88	4.70	1.45	10.7%
Marathonbet	4.70	4.70	1.44	12.0%
William Hill	4.50	4.20	1.50	12.7%
Pinnacle	4.30	4.87	1.45	12.8%
Best of all books	4.88	4.87	1.50	7.7%
Average	4.59	4.62	1.46	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nõmme Kalju IIElva

Last 10#10Table position#30.73Points per game1.531Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 52.243Attack rating5746Defence rating540Form rating10062H2H rating3830Goals model7048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

Nõmme Kalju II

1W 1D 8L · goals 7:22 · per match 0.7 for, 2.2 against

14 Oct	A	FCI Levadia II	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Maardu	0-0	D
21 Sep	H	Nõmme United II	2-3	L
14 Sep	A	Tartu Welco	0-3	L
10 Sep	H	Flora II	1-5	L
6 Sep	A	Elva	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	FC Tallinn	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Tartu Welco	2-4	L
20 Aug	H	Tallinna Kalev	0-3	L
17 Aug	A	Nõmme United II	0-2	L

Elva

5W 2D 3L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

9 Oct	A	Tartu Welco	0-4	L
24 Sep	H	Tallinna Kalev	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	FC Tallinn	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Flora II	2-1	W
10 Sep	A	Viimsi	0-5	L
6 Sep	H	Nõmme Kalju II	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Nõmme United II	1-0	W
24 Aug	H	Flora II	0-0	D
20 Aug	H	Maardu	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Tallinna Kalev	0-1	L

Head to head

2Nõmme Kalju II wins

4draws

6Elva wins

12 meetings · goals 13:19 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Nõmme Kalju II

6 Sep 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Elva1-0Nõmme Kalju II
5 Jul 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II2-2Elva
2 May 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Elva2-4Nõmme Kalju II
4 Oct 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Elva0-1Nõmme Kalju II
30 Aug 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II1-1Elva
11 May 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Elva2-1Nõmme Kalju II
8 Mar 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II0-2Elva
24 Aug 2022Cup	Cup	Elva0-0Nõmme Kalju II
15 Sep 2018Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Elva3-2Nõmme Kalju II
4 Aug 2018Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II1-3Elva

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 19 Oct 17:00 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, Nõmme Kalju II sit 10th with 24 points from 33 games, while Elva are 3rd with 49 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	33	22	5	6	96:42	+54	71
2	Viimsi	32	16	6	10	58:32	+26	54
3	Elva	32	14	7	11	47:48	-1	49
4	Flora II	31	14	6	11	73:55	+18	48
5	FCI Levadia II	31	15	2	14	62:55	+7	47
6	Maardu	30	12	7	11	47:59	-12	43
7	Tallinna Kalev	30	10	7	13	53:57	-4	37
8	Nõmme United II	32	10	6	16	53:67	-14	36
9	FC Tallinn	32	9	8	15	41:73	-32	35
10	Nõmme Kalju II	33	6	6	21	38:80	-42	24

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.57X21%4.26254%1.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.75 → 4.59 -3.4%X4.55 → 4.61 +1.3%21.49 → 1.46 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Best of all books	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Average	1.28	3.08	10.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
Best of all books	1.40	2.69	8.6%
Average	1.39	2.65	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nõmme Kalju II 10%Draw 45%Elva 45%

The statistical model rated Nõmme Kalju II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Elva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.57 | 4.26 | 1.66, which imply roughly 23.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (24 pts, 38-80 goals), Elva 3rd (49 pts, 47-48).

Over their last five matches, Nõmme Kalju II averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Elva averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Elva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.60	4.62	1.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.36	1.12	1.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
4.52	2.72	1.89

2nd half

1	X	2
4.39	3.05	1.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.40	16.5	14.0
HT X	11.5	7.70	5.00
HT 2	29.0	16.5	2.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.62	32.0	1.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	23.0
1.5	1.08	6.50
2.5	1.28	3.08
3.5	1.81	1.87
4.5	2.78	1.34
5.5	4.60	1.14

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.07	5.80
2.75	1.34	2.81
3	1.42	2.51
3.25	1.62	2.10
3.75	1.99	1.69
4	2.27	1.51
4.25	2.51	1.42
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.50	1.44
+0.75	2.19	1.57
+1	1.93	1.75
+1.25	1.68	1.98
+1.5	1.54	2.21
+1.75	1.40	2.56

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.20	1.03
-1	8.80	1.01
-0.25	4.14	1.16
0	3.76	1.19
+0.25	2.89	1.32
+2	1.27	3.14
+2.5	1.19	3.78
+3	1.05	6.40
+3.5	1.06	6.90

Latest Esiliiga A results

18 Oct	Tartu Welco 4-3 Nõmme United II
15 Oct	FC Tallinn 0-7 Tartu Welco
14 Oct	FCI Levadia II 1-0 Nõmme Kalju II
10 Oct	Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Viimsi
10 Oct	Flora II 1-2 FC Tallinn
9 Oct	Tartu Welco 4-0 Elva