FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#52.8:1.41-0FTToday · Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn1.0:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.33B365X7.07PIN29.401XBMargin11.2%Books8Markets58Rating73 · 28Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.22	6.80	7.80	9.5%
1xBet	1.17	6.85	9.40	10.7%
Betano	1.20	6.30	8.25	11.3%
Bet365	1.33	5.50	5.50	11.6%
William Hill	1.20	6.00	8.50	11.8%
Betfair	1.18	6.50	8.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.16	6.85	8.90	12.0%
Pinnacle	1.17	7.07	7.55	12.9%
Best of all books	1.33	7.07	9.40	-0.0%
Average	1.20	6.48	8.05	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FCI Levadia IINõmme Kalju II

Last 10#5Table position#101.52Points per game0.7211Form pts · last 512.8Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 52.474Attack rating2663Defence rating3777Form rating2371H2H rating2970Goals model3073Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 16:00 UTC

FCI Levadia II

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:18 · per match 2.0 for, 1.8 against

9 Oct	A	Nõmme United II	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Maardu	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	FC Tallinn	5-1	W
10 Sep	H	Tartu Welco	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Flora II	6-2	W
29 Aug	A	Maardu	2-4	L
23 Aug	H	FC Tallinn	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Tartu Welco	2-4	L
15 Aug	A	Viimsi	0-5	L
8 Aug	A	Nõmme United II	2-1	W

Nõmme Kalju II

1W 1D 8L · goals 7:24 · per match 0.7 for, 2.4 against

11 Oct	A	Maardu	0-0	D
21 Sep	H	Nõmme United II	2-3	L
14 Sep	A	Tartu Welco	0-3	L
10 Sep	H	Flora II	1-5	L
6 Sep	A	Elva	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	FC Tallinn	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Tartu Welco	2-4	L
20 Aug	H	Tallinna Kalev	0-3	L
17 Aug	A	Nõmme United II	0-2	L
10 Aug	A	Flora II	0-3	L

Head to head

12FCI Levadia II wins

5draws

7Nõmme Kalju II wins

24 meetings · goals 43:27 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for FCI Levadia II

18 Jul 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II0-2FCI Levadia II
11 May 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II1-0FCI Levadia II
7 Mar 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II2-0Nõmme Kalju II
31 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FCI Levadia II4-1Nõmme Kalju II
20 Oct 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II0-0Nõmme Kalju II
15 Sep 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II3-3Nõmme Kalju II
30 Jun 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II3-2FCI Levadia II
28 Apr 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II0-1FCI Levadia II
18 Oct 2018Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	FCI Levadia II3-2Nõmme Kalju II
21 Jul 2018Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Nõmme Kalju II0-3FCI Levadia II

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 14 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, FCI Levadia II sit 5th with 47 points from 31 games, while Nõmme Kalju II are 10th with 23 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	85:39	+46	65
2	Viimsi	31	16	5	10	58:32	+26	53
3	Flora II	31	14	6	11	73:55	+18	48
4	Elva	31	14	6	11	47:48	-1	48
5	FCI Levadia II	31	15	2	14	62:55	+7	47
6	Maardu	29	12	6	11	47:59	-12	42
7	Tallinna Kalev	30	10	7	13	53:57	-4	37
8	Nõmme United II	31	10	6	15	50:63	-13	36
9	FC Tallinn	31	9	8	14	41:66	-25	35
10	Nõmme Kalju II	32	6	5	21	38:80	-42	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.20X14%6.48211%8.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.20 -11.8%X5.40 → 6.48 +20.0%25.65 → 8.05 +42.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.11	5.80	7.3%
Bet365	1.14	5.00	7.7%
Betfair	1.11	5.50	8.3%
Best of all books	1.14	5.80	5.0%
Average	1.12	5.43	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.33	3.10	7.4%
1xBet	1.30	3.12	9.0%
William Hill	1.30	3.10	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.30	3.04	9.8%
Best of all books	1.33	3.12	7.2%
Average	1.31	3.09	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FCI Levadia II 50%Draw 50%Nõmme Kalju II 0%

The statistical model rated FCI Levadia II at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Nõmme Kalju II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.20 | 6.48 | 8.05, which imply roughly 83.3% for a FCI Levadia II win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: FCI Levadia II are 5th (47 pts, 62-55 goals), Nõmme Kalju II 10th (23 pts, 38-80).

Over their last five matches, FCI Levadia II averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Nõmme Kalju II averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : FCI Levadia II or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.20	6.48	8.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.71	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.31	3.09

1st half

1	X	2
1.52	3.40	6.06

2nd half

1	X	2
1.38	4.13	6.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.67	19.0	41.5
HT X	4.88	13.0	18.8
HT 2	12.5	19.9	12.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	34.0	2.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	70.0
1.5	1.02	15.0
2.5	1.12	5.43
3.5	1.31	3.07
4.5	1.73	1.97
5.5	2.49	1.45
6.5	3.60	1.23

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.10	5.05
3.75	1.34	2.78
4	1.46	2.46
4.25	1.55	2.21
4.75	1.83	1.82
5	2.01	1.66
5.25	2.22	1.53
5.75	2.74	1.35
6	3.28	1.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.10	1.62
-2.25	1.97	1.74
-2	1.76	1.93
-1.75	1.64	2.11
-1.5	1.56	2.25
-1.25	1.47	2.48

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	4.70	1.14
-3.75	4.50	1.19
-3.5	3.32	1.27
-3.25	3.55	1.27
-3	2.82	1.36
-2.75	2.53	1.47
-1	1.34	2.98
-0.75	1.27	3.42
-0.5	1.35	3.10
-0.25	1.15	4.63
0	1.07	6.68
+0.25	1.15	5.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
11.5	1.88	1.92