Pakhtakor vs Neftchi• Super League, Uzbekistan

#22.4:0.814:00Today · Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent2.2:2.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20PINX3.40B36523.12PINMargin at best6.9%Books9Markets48Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.20	3.40	3.10	7.1%
Pinnacle	2.20	3.30	3.12	7.8%
Betano	2.18	3.35	3.00	9.1%
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.00	9.3%
Dafabet	2.15	3.30	3.00	10.1%
Bet365	2.10	3.40	2.88	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.24	2.96	12.3%
William Hill	2.15	3.10	2.90	13.3%
SBO	2.06	3.08	2.78	17.0%
Best of all books	2.20	3.40	3.12	6.9%
Average	2.14	3.29	2.97	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PakhtakorNeftchi

Last 10#2Table position#12.21Points per game2.299Form pts · last 572.4Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 52.252Attack rating4873Defence rating2757Form rating4360H2H rating4044Goals model5659Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

Pakhtakor

4W 5D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Navbahor	1-1	D
12 Oct	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Bunyodkor	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	Mash'al	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Al-Ahli Jeddah	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Olmaliq	3-1	W
4 Sep	H	Andijan	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Neftchi	0-1	L
25 Aug	A	Dinamo Samarqand	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Surkhon	0-0	D

Neftchi

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

20 Oct	H	Lokomotiv	2-4	L
16 Oct	A	Kokand-1912	4-2	W
12 Oct	A	Al-Nassr	1-3	L
7 Oct	H	Xorazm	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Lokomotiv	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Surkhon	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Nasaf	2-6	L
29 Aug	H	Pakhtakor	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sogdiana	3-0	W

Head to head

14Pakhtakor wins

3draws

9Neftchi wins

26 meetings · goals 40:19 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Pakhtakor

29 Aug 2026Cup	Cup	Neftchi1-0Pakhtakor
9 Apr 2026Super League	Super League	Neftchi0-1Pakhtakor
15 Mar 2026Super Cup	Super Cup	Neftchi1-0Pakhtakor
13 Sep 2025Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor2-1Neftchi
19 Apr 2025Super League	Super League	Neftchi0-4Pakhtakor
13 Sep 2024Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor0-0Neftchi
1 Jul 2024Super League	Super League	Neftchi0-2Pakhtakor
5 Aug 2023Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor0-1Neftchi
18 Jun 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Pakhtakor1-2Neftchi
10 Mar 2023Super League	Super League	Neftchi2-1Pakhtakor

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Super League table, Pakhtakor sit 2nd with 53 points from 24 games, while Neftchi are 1st with 55 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	24	17	4	3	56:21	+35	55
2	Pakhtakor	24	15	8	1	43:22	+21	53
3	Navbahor	24	13	7	4	42:24	+18	46
4	Buxoro	24	12	4	8	37:32	+5	40
5	Olmaliq	24	11	6	7	34:31	+3	39
6	Lokomotiv	24	11	6	7	39:30	+9	39
7	Nasaf	24	10	8	6	35:22	+13	38
8	Qizilqum	24	10	3	11	24:30	-6	33
9	Andijan	24	9	3	12	29:32	-3	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	24	8	6	10	35:38	-3	30
11	Sogdiana	24	8	5	11	41:47	-6	29
12	Surkhon	24	7	7	10	19:28	-9	28
13	Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26:41	-15	26
14	Kokand-1912	24	5	8	11	24:34	-10	23
15	Xorazm	24	5	8	11	20:34	-14	23
16	Mash'al	25	1	1	23	12:50	-38	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X27%3.31230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.17 → 2.15 -0.9%X3.36 → 3.31 -1.5%22.92 → 3.00 +2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.76	2.02	6.3%
1xBet	1.76	2.00	6.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.76	2.07	5.1%
Average	1.73	2.02	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Average	1.58	2.20	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pakhtakor 45%Draw 45%Neftchi 10%

The statistical model rates Pakhtakor at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Neftchi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.31 | 3.00, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Pakhtakor win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Pakhtakor are 2nd (53 pts, 43-22 goals), Neftchi 1st (55 pts, 56-21).

Over their last five matches, Pakhtakor averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Neftchi averaged 2.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pakhtakor or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.29	2.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.59	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	2.20	3.46

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.51	3.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.43	13.6	28.0
HT X	5.50	5.52	6.83
HT 2	23.8	13.9	4.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	12.3	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.1
1.5	1.20	3.73
2.5	1.73	2.02
3.5	2.73	1.39
4.5	4.79	1.13
5.5	8.90	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.82
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.33	2.99
2.25	1.53	2.31
2.75	1.93	1.79
3	2.18	1.61
3.25	2.51	1.45
3.75	3.30	1.25
4	4.41	1.15
4.25	4.76	1.12
4.75	6.40	1.05
5	8.82	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.48	1.46
-0.5	2.16	1.66
-0.25	1.88	1.86
0	1.59	2.24
+0.25	1.43	2.59
+0.5	1.35	3.06

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2	7.48	1.03
-1.75	5.10	1.10
-1.5	3.98	1.18
-1.25	3.51	1.23
-1	3.19	1.30
+0.75	1.21	3.60
+1	1.10	5.37
+1.25	1.08	5.76
+1.5	1.06	6.15
+1.75	1.02	8.20
+2	1.02	9.20
+2.5	1.01	9.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.85	1.95
9.5	2.10	1.67

Next Super League matches

23 Oct

Buxoro – Surkhon

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

22 Oct	Bunyodkor 2-1 Mash'al
17 Oct	Navbahor 1-1 Pakhtakor
17 Oct	Dinamo Samarqand 1-2 Buxoro
17 Oct	Lokomotiv 0-0 Nasaf
16 Oct	Surkhon 0-0 Xorazm
16 Oct	Bunyodkor 1-1 Sogdiana