Lokomotiv vs Nasaf• Super League, Uzbekistan

#62.2:1.00-0FT17/10 · Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent3.0:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.731XBX3.40BVC22.481XBMargin at best6.4%Books6Markets49Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.77	3.26	2.52	6.5%
1xBet	2.73	3.34	2.48	6.9%
BetVictor	2.63	3.40	2.38	9.5%
Bet365	2.62	3.30	2.30	11.9%
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.40	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.60	3.18	2.36	12.3%
Best of all books	2.77	3.40	2.52	5.2%
Average	2.66	3.26	2.41	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LokomotivNasaf

Last 10#6Table position#71.63Points per game1.5810Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 51.042Attack rating5850Defence rating5045Form rating5529H2H rating7152Goals model4841Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

Lokomotiv

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	H	Nasaf	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Sogdiana	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Neftchi	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Bunyodkor	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Mash'al	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Navbahor	1-1	D
26 Aug	H	Bunyodkor	4-1	W
20 Aug	A	Xorazm	3-1	W
15 Aug	A	Kokand-1912	1-2	L
7 Aug	H	Dinamo Samarqand	2-1	W

Nasaf

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

14 Oct	H	Al Wahda FC	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Dinamo Samarqand	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Andijan	4-1	W
16 Sep	A	Khalidiya	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Bunyodkor	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	Neftchi	6-2	W
30 Aug	A	Navbahor	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Qizilqum	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Navbahor	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Pakhtakor	1-2	L

Head to head

13Lokomotiv wins

3draws

10Nasaf wins

26 meetings · goals 33:29 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Lokomotiv

23 Apr 2026Super League	Super League	Nasaf2-3Lokomotiv
1 Nov 2024Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv0-1Nasaf
2 Jun 2024Super League	Super League	Nasaf3-0Lokomotiv
3 Sep 2022Cup	Cup	Nasaf1-0Lokomotiv
29 Aug 2022Super League	Super League	Nasaf0-0Lokomotiv
2 Apr 2022Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv0-1Nasaf
27 Nov 2021Super League	Super League	Nasaf1-3Lokomotiv
30 Jul 2021Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv2-0Nasaf
3 Dec 2020Super League	Super League	Nasaf0-0Lokomotiv
27 Aug 2020Super League	Super League	Lokomotiv0-4Nasaf

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 21 Oct 16:30 UTC

In the Super League table, Lokomotiv sit 6th with 39 points from 24 games, while Nasaf are 7th with 38 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	24	17	4	3	56:21	+35	55
2	Pakhtakor	24	15	8	1	43:22	+21	53
3	Navbahor	24	13	7	4	42:24	+18	46
4	Buxoro	24	12	4	8	37:32	+5	40
5	Olmaliq	24	11	6	7	34:31	+3	39
6	Lokomotiv	24	11	6	7	39:30	+9	39
7	Nasaf	24	10	8	6	35:22	+13	38
8	Qizilqum	24	10	3	11	24:30	-6	33
9	Andijan	24	9	3	12	29:32	-3	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	24	8	6	10	35:38	-3	30
11	Sogdiana	24	8	5	11	41:47	-6	29
12	Surkhon	24	7	7	10	19:28	-9	28
13	Kokand-1912	24	5	8	11	24:34	-10	23
14	Bunyodkor	24	7	2	15	24:40	-16	23
15	Xorazm	24	5	8	11	20:34	-14	23
16	Mash'al	24	1	1	22	11:48	-37	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.66X28%3.26238%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	2.02	4.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.73	2.03	7.1%
BetVictor	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.83	2.10	2.3%
Average	1.73	2.04	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.57	2.21	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotiv 10%Draw 45%Nasaf 45%

The statistical model rated Lokomotiv at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nasaf at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.66 | 3.26 | 2.41, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Lokomotiv are 6th (39 pts, 39-30 goals), Nasaf 7th (38 pts, 35-22).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiv averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Nasaf averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nasaf.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.66	3.26	2.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.40	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.98	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
3.19	2.20	2.95

2nd half

1	X	2
2.90	2.47	2.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.20	13.5	25.7
HT X	6.37	5.37	5.87
HT 2	28.0	14.2	3.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	12.3	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.2
1.5	1.19	3.83
2.5	1.73	2.04
3.5	2.71	1.40
4.5	4.91	1.12
5.5	8.90	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.10	5.20
1.75	1.25	3.45
2	1.33	3.01
2.25	1.54	2.33
2.75	1.91	1.81
3	2.23	1.58
3.25	2.51	1.46
3.75	3.22	1.27
4	4.22	1.15
4.25	4.56	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.65	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.45
-0.25	2.31	1.56
0	1.97	1.78
+0.25	1.67	2.08
+0.5	1.53	2.47
+0.75	1.36	2.86

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.40	1.02
-1.75	6.80	1.04
-1.5	5.41	1.10
-1.25	4.81	1.12
-1	4.52	1.15
-0.75	3.22	1.29
+1	1.20	3.86
+1.25	1.16	4.21
+1.5	1.13	4.72
+1.75	1.07	5.90
+2	1.01	9.50
+2.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.73	2.00
9	2.00	1.80

Next Super League matches

22 Oct

Bunyodkor – Mash'al

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

17 Oct	Navbahor 1-1 Pakhtakor
17 Oct	Dinamo Samarqand 1-2 Buxoro
16 Oct	Bunyodkor 1-1 Sogdiana
16 Oct	Kokand-1912 2-4 Neftchi
16 Oct	Surkhon 0-0 Xorazm
15 Oct	Andijan 0-1 Qizilqum