Surkhon vs Xorazm• Super League, Uzbekistan

#120.6:0.40-0LiveToday · Stadion Surkhon, Termez0.6:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.171XBX3.29PIN23.281XBMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets45Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.17	3.29	3.28	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.14	3.30	3.24	7.9%
BetVictor	2.15	3.25	3.10	9.5%
Bet365	2.15	3.10	3.10	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.07	3.14	3.12	12.2%
William Hill	2.10	3.00	3.10	13.2%
Best of all books	2.17	3.30	3.28	6.9%
Average	2.13	3.18	3.16	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SurkhonXorazm

Last 10#12Table position#151.17Points per game0.967Form pts · last 520.6Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5078Defence rating2280Form rating2036H2H rating6454Goals model4657Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:50 UTC

Surkhon

3W 3D 4L · goals 5:7 · per match 0.5 for, 0.7 against

10 Oct	A	Qizilqum	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Kokand-1912	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Neftchi	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Bunyodkor	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	PFK Guliston	0-1	L
25 Aug	H	Olmaliq	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Pakhtakor	0-0	D
13 Aug	H	Sogdiana	1-3	L
7 Aug	H	Navbahor	0-1	L
3 Aug	A	Kokand-1912	1-0	W

Xorazm

1W 3D 6L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

7 Oct	A	Neftchi	2-2	D
21 Sep	H	Qizilqum	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Olmaliq	1-2	L
10 Sep	H	Sogdiana	0-0	D
3 Sep	A	Olmaliq	0-1	L
25 Aug	A	Andijan	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Lokomotiv	1-3	L
14 Aug	A	Dinamo Samarqand	2-2	D
7 Aug	H	Mash'al	2-0	W
2 Aug	A	Navbahor	1-5	L

Head to head

1Surkhon wins

1draws

2Xorazm wins

4 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Surkhon

28 Jul 2026Super League	Super League	Xorazm1-0Surkhon
8 Aug 2025Super League	Super League	Xorazm2-2Surkhon
16 Mar 2025Super League	Super League	Surkhon0-2Xorazm
6 Aug 2024Cup	Cup	Surkhon3-1Xorazm

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 15 Oct 18:21 UTC

In the Super League table, Surkhon sit 12th with 27 points from 23 games, while Xorazm are 15th with 22 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pakhtakor	23	15	7	1	42:21	+21	52
2	Neftchi	23	16	4	3	52:19	+33	52
3	Navbahor	23	13	6	4	41:23	+18	45
4	Olmaliq	24	11	6	7	34:31	+3	39
5	Lokomotiv	23	11	5	7	39:30	+9	38
6	Nasaf	23	10	7	6	35:22	+13	37
7	Buxoro	23	11	4	8	35:31	+4	37
8	Qizilqum	24	10	3	11	24:30	-6	33
9	Andijan	24	9	3	12	29:32	-3	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	23	8	6	9	34:36	-2	30
11	Sogdiana	23	8	4	11	40:46	-6	28
12	Surkhon	23	7	6	10	19:28	-9	27
13	Kokand-1912	23	5	8	10	22:30	-8	23
14	Bunyodkor	23	7	1	15	23:39	-16	22
15	Xorazm	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22
16	Mash'al	24	1	1	22	11:48	-37	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.13X29%3.18229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.10 → 2.13 +1.4%X3.21 → 3.18 -0.9%23.21 → 3.16 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.94	1.86	5.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.96	1.79	6.9%
BetVictor	1.89	1.79	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	1.96	1.86	4.8%
Average	1.93	1.81	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Average	1.72	1.96	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Surkhon 45%Draw 45%Xorazm 10%

The statistical model rates Surkhon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Xorazm at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.18 | 3.16, which imply roughly 46.9% for a Surkhon win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Surkhon are 12th (27 pts, 19-28 goals), Xorazm 15th (22 pts, 20-34).

Over their last five matches, Surkhon averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Xorazm averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Surkhon or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	3.18	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.60	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.72	2.09	3.74

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.36	3.43

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.38	14.3	33.3
HT X	5.23	4.87	7.13
HT 2	26.7	15.2	5.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	8.10	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.20
1.5	1.29	3.15
2.5	1.93	1.81
3.5	3.22	1.27
4.5	6.05	1.06
5.5	13.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.70
1	1.04	7.14
1.25	1.15	4.21
1.75	1.35	2.88
2	1.45	2.52
2.25	1.70	2.02
2.75	2.17	1.61
3	2.63	1.42
3.25	2.93	1.33
3.75	3.96	1.17
4	5.36	1.09
4.25	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.47	1.49
-0.5	2.17	1.67
-0.25	1.84	1.88
0	1.56	2.33
+0.25	1.40	2.70
+0.5	1.34	3.14

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.26	1.05
-1.75	4.93	1.13
-1.5	3.89	1.21
-1.25	3.53	1.24
-1	3.16	1.31
+0.75	1.21	3.82
+1	1.10	5.68
+1.25	1.08	6.04
+1.5	1.07	6.45
+1.75	1.01	8.50