Buxoro vs Surkhon• Super League, Uzbekistan

#41.8:2.414:00Today · Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara0.6:0.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05PINX3.321XB23.761XBMargin at best5.5%Books10Markets51Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 04:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.99	3.32	3.76	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.05	3.21	3.59	7.8%
Betano	2.05	3.25	3.40	9.0%
BetVictor	2.00	3.25	3.50	9.3%
Dafabet	2.01	3.25	3.40	9.9%
Bet365	1.95	3.25	3.50	10.6%
Betfair	1.95	3.30	3.40	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.90	3.16	3.58	12.2%
William Hill	1.95	3.00	3.50	13.2%
SBO	1.98	2.93	3.10	16.9%
Best of all books	2.05	3.32	3.76	5.5%
Average	1.98	3.19	3.47	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BuxoroSurkhon

Last 10#4Table position#121.67Points per game1.176Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 50.475Attack rating2514Defence rating8643Form rating5715H2H rating8570Goals model3040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

Buxoro

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Dinamo Samarqand	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Andijan	3-2	W
19 Sep	A	Bunyodkor	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Navbahor	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Qizilqum	2-3	L
24 Aug	A	Kokand-1912	1-1	D
18 Aug	H	Neftchi	4-1	W
13 Aug	H	Olmaliq	2-0	W
6 Aug	A	Pakhtakor	2-2	D
1 Aug	H	Lokomotiv	2-1	W

Surkhon

2W 4D 4L · goals 4:7 · per match 0.4 for, 0.7 against

16 Oct	H	Xorazm	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Qizilqum	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Kokand-1912	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Neftchi	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Bunyodkor	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	PFK Guliston	0-1	L
25 Aug	H	Olmaliq	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Pakhtakor	0-0	D
13 Aug	H	Sogdiana	1-3	L
7 Aug	H	Navbahor	0-1	L

Head to head

1Buxoro wins

3draws

7Surkhon wins

11 meetings · goals 6:18 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Buxoro

4 Apr 2026Super League	Super League	Surkhon3-1Buxoro
30 Nov 2025Super League	Super League	Buxoro0-1Surkhon
4 Jul 2025Super League	Super League	Surkhon0-0Buxoro
20 Aug 2023Super League	Super League	Buxoro1-1Surkhon
31 Mar 2023Super League	Super League	Surkhon2-0Buxoro
9 Apr 2022Cup	Cup	Surkhon2-0Buxoro
25 Apr 2021Cup	Cup	Surkhon5-2Buxoro
25 Nov 2020Super League	Super League	Surkhon1-1Buxoro
22 Aug 2020Super League	Super League	Buxoro1-0Surkhon
13 Sep 2019Super League	Super League	Buxoro0-2Surkhon

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Super League table, Buxoro sit 4th with 40 points from 24 games, while Surkhon are 12th with 28 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	24	17	4	3	56:21	+35	55
2	Pakhtakor	24	15	8	1	43:22	+21	53
3	Navbahor	24	13	7	4	42:24	+18	46
4	Buxoro	24	12	4	8	37:32	+5	40
5	Olmaliq	24	11	6	7	34:31	+3	39
6	Lokomotiv	24	11	6	7	39:30	+9	39
7	Nasaf	24	10	8	6	35:22	+13	38
8	Qizilqum	24	10	3	11	24:30	-6	33
9	Andijan	24	9	3	12	29:32	-3	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	24	8	6	10	35:38	-3	30
11	Sogdiana	24	8	5	11	41:47	-6	29
12	Surkhon	24	7	7	10	19:28	-9	28
13	Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26:41	-15	26
14	Kokand-1912	24	5	8	11	24:34	-10	23
15	Xorazm	24	5	8	11	20:34	-14	23
16	Mash'al	25	1	1	23	12:50	-38	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.98X28%3.21226%3.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.94 → 1.98 +2.1%X3.24 → 3.21 -0.9%23.63 → 3.51 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	2.02	1.74	7.0%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.01	1.74	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.80	1.88	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Buxoro 10%Draw 45%Surkhon 45%

The statistical model rates Buxoro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Surkhon at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.98 | 3.21 | 3.51, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Buxoro are 4th (40 pts, 37-32 goals), Surkhon 12th (28 pts, 19-28).

Over their last five matches, Buxoro averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Surkhon averaged 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Surkhon.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.19	3.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.72	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.46	2.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	2.06	4.07

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.35	3.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.11	13.8	34.3
HT X	4.82	4.90	7.62
HT 2	25.0	14.8	5.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	8.65	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.03
1.5	1.31	3.10
2.5	2.01	1.74
3.5	3.42	1.26
4.5	6.63	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.60
1	1.04	7.00
1.25	1.17	4.11
1.75	1.38	2.74
2	1.51	2.38
2.25	1.76	1.95
2.75	2.29	1.55
3	2.80	1.37
3.25	3.11	1.29
3.75	4.27	1.15
4	5.96	1.07
4.25	6.30	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.90	1.36
-0.75	2.28	1.57
-0.5	2.00	1.76
-0.25	1.70	2.03
0	1.43	2.62
+0.25	1.31	3.06

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.70	1.01
-2.5	7.70	1.03
-2.25	7.20	1.03
-2	6.81	1.05
-1.75	4.62	1.13
-1.5	3.60	1.21
-1.25	3.29	1.28
+0.75	1.13	4.61
+1	1.04	7.50
+1.25	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.82

Next Super League matches

23 Oct

Pakhtakor – Neftchi

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

22 Oct	Bunyodkor 2-1 Mash'al
17 Oct	Navbahor 1-1 Pakhtakor
17 Oct	Dinamo Samarqand 1-2 Buxoro
17 Oct	Lokomotiv 0-0 Nasaf
16 Oct	Surkhon 0-0 Xorazm
16 Oct	Bunyodkor 1-1 Sogdiana