Navbahor vs Pakhtakor• Super League, Uzbekistan

#32.4:1.21-1FT17/10 · Markaziy Stadium, Namangan2.4:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38B365X3.381XB23.07PINMargin at best4.2%Books6Markets46Rating50 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.27	3.38	3.00	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.22	3.30	3.07	7.9%
BetVictor	2.30	3.25	2.80	10.0%
Bet365	2.38	3.30	2.55	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.17	3.22	2.86	12.1%
William Hill	2.15	3.00	2.90	14.3%
Best of all books	2.38	3.38	3.07	4.2%
Average	2.25	3.24	2.86	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NavbahorPakhtakor

Last 10#3Table position#21.92Points per game2.219Form pts · last 5112.4Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5040Defence rating6046Form rating5462H2H rating3837Goals model6350Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 23:30 UTC

Navbahor

7W 3D 0L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	Pakhtakor	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Olmaliq	2-2	D
17 Sep	H	Dinamo Samarqand	3-2	W
11 Sep	A	Buxoro	4-1	W
4 Sep	H	Lokomotiv	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Nasaf	1-0	W
26 Aug	A	Mash'al	2-0	W
21 Aug	H	Nasaf	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Bunyodkor	4-3	W
7 Aug	A	Surkhon	1-0	W

Pakhtakor

5W 4D 1L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

12 Oct	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Bunyodkor	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	Mash'al	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Al-Ahli Jeddah	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Olmaliq	3-1	W
4 Sep	H	Andijan	3-0	W
29 Aug	A	Neftchi	0-1	L
25 Aug	A	Dinamo Samarqand	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Surkhon	0-0	D
16 Aug	A	Nasaf	2-1	W

Head to head

5Navbahor wins

10draws

18Pakhtakor wins

33 meetings · goals 29:45 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Navbahor

10 Mar 2026Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor0-2Navbahor
29 Nov 2025Super League	Super League	Navbahor1-1Pakhtakor
6 Jul 2025Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor2-0Navbahor
9 Nov 2024Super League	Super League	Navbahor5-2Pakhtakor
30 Aug 2024Cup	Cup	Pakhtakor0-0Navbahor
16 Jun 2024Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor0-0Navbahor
10 Aug 2023Super League	Super League	Navbahor1-2Pakhtakor
17 Mar 2023Super League	Super League	Pakhtakor2-1Navbahor
2 Sep 2022Cup	Cup	Navbahor2-1Pakhtakor
28 Aug 2022Super League	Super League	Navbahor1-1Pakhtakor

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 21 Oct 16:30 UTC

In the Super League table, Navbahor sit 3rd with 46 points from 24 games, while Pakhtakor are 2nd with 53 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	24	17	4	3	56:21	+35	55
2	Pakhtakor	24	15	8	1	43:22	+21	53
3	Navbahor	24	13	7	4	42:24	+18	46
4	Buxoro	24	12	4	8	37:32	+5	40
5	Olmaliq	24	11	6	7	34:31	+3	39
6	Lokomotiv	24	11	6	7	39:30	+9	39
7	Nasaf	24	10	8	6	35:22	+13	38
8	Qizilqum	24	10	3	11	24:30	-6	33
9	Andijan	24	9	3	12	29:32	-3	30
10	Dinamo Samarqand	24	8	6	10	35:38	-3	30
11	Sogdiana	24	8	5	11	41:47	-6	29
12	Surkhon	24	7	7	10	19:28	-9	28
13	Kokand-1912	24	5	8	11	24:34	-10	23
14	Bunyodkor	24	7	2	15	24:40	-16	23
15	Xorazm	24	5	8	11	20:34	-14	23
16	Mash'al	24	1	1	22	11:48	-37	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.26X28%3.24232%2.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.36 → 2.23 -5.5%X3.24 → 3.24 0.0%22.71 → 2.90 +7.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.87	5.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.90	1.84	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
BetVictor	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Average	1.90	1.83	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.68	2.02	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Navbahor 35%Draw 35%Pakhtakor 30%

The statistical model rated Navbahor at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Pakhtakor at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.24 | 2.87, which imply roughly 44.2% for a Navbahor win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Super League table: Navbahor are 3rd (46 pts, 42-24 goals), Pakhtakor 2nd (53 pts, 43-22).

Over their last five matches, Navbahor averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Pakhtakor averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Navbahor or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.24	2.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.56	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.13	3.52

2nd half

1	X	2
2.58	2.37	3.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	14.5	31.0
HT X	5.43	5.10	6.83
HT 2	27.3	15.2	4.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	9.65	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.98
1.5	1.25	3.30
2.5	1.90	1.83
3.5	3.16	1.27
4.5	6.05	1.06
5.5	13.0	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.13	4.51
1.75	1.32	2.98
2	1.43	2.59
2.25	1.66	2.08
2.75	2.13	1.64
3	2.56	1.44
3.25	2.87	1.35
3.75	3.90	1.19
4	5.31	1.10
4.25	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.58	1.43
-0.5	2.21	1.65
-0.25	1.93	1.81
0	1.69	2.09
+0.25	1.46	2.51
+0.5	1.36	3.01

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.98	1.01
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.75	5.60	1.08
-1.5	4.32	1.15
-1.25	3.89	1.19
-1	3.42	1.26
+0.75	1.25	3.44
+1	1.10	5.47
+1.25	1.08	5.71
+1.5	1.07	6.46
+1.75	1.02	8.20
+2	1.01	9.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.83	1.83

Next Super League matches

22 Oct

Bunyodkor – Mash'al

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

17 Oct	Dinamo Samarqand 1-2 Buxoro
17 Oct	Lokomotiv 0-0 Nasaf
16 Oct	Bunyodkor 1-1 Sogdiana
16 Oct	Kokand-1912 2-4 Neftchi
16 Oct	Surkhon 0-0 Xorazm
15 Oct	Andijan 0-1 Qizilqum