Nasaf vs Sogdiana• Super League, Uzbekistan

#53.0:0.82-1FT24/10 · Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi1.8:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.481XBX4.35PIN26.51PINMargin at best5.9%Books5Markets54Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	4.35	6.51	6.4%
1xBet	1.48	4.30	6.19	7.0%
Dafabet	1.45	4.30	5.60	10.1%
Marathonbet	1.41	4.10	5.90	12.3%
William Hill	1.44	3.80	5.50	13.9%
Best of all books	1.48	4.35	6.51	5.9%
Average	1.45	4.17	5.94	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NasafSogdiana

Last 10#5Table position#111.64Points per game1.168Form pts · last 523.0Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.663Attack rating3867Defence rating3372Form rating2860H2H rating4067Goals model3365Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 22:01 UTC

Nasaf

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Lokomotiv	0-0	D
14 Oct	H	Al Wahda FC	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Dinamo Samarqand	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Andijan	4-1	W
16 Sep	A	Khalidiya	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Bunyodkor	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	Neftchi	6-2	W
30 Aug	A	Navbahor	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Qizilqum	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Navbahor	0-1	L

Sogdiana

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

20 Oct	H	Andijan	1-2	L
16 Oct	A	Bunyodkor	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Lokomotiv	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Olmaliq	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Xorazm	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Mash'al	5-2	W
30 Aug	H	Jayxun	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Neftchi	0-3	L
18 Aug	H	Qizilqum	2-1	W
13 Aug	A	Surkhon	3-1	W

Head to head

22Nasaf wins

5draws

4Sogdiana wins

31 meetings · goals 57:23 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Nasaf

6 Mar 2026Super League	Super League	Sogdiana0-2Nasaf
2 Aug 2025Super League	Super League	Sogdiana1-2Nasaf
9 Mar 2025Super League	Super League	Nasaf1-0Sogdiana
9 Nov 2024Super League	Super League	Nasaf0-1Sogdiana
16 Jun 2024Super League	Super League	Sogdiana1-0Nasaf
23 Nov 2023Super League	Super League	Nasaf0-0Sogdiana
28 May 2023Super League	Super League	Sogdiana1-2Nasaf
9 Oct 2022Super League	Super League	Nasaf1-1Sogdiana
12 May 2022Super League	Super League	Sogdiana1-2Nasaf
20 Nov 2021Super League	Super League	Sogdiana1-1Nasaf

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 25 Oct 21:01 UTC

In the Super League table, Nasaf sit 5th with 41 points from 25 games, while Sogdiana are 11th with 29 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	25	18	4	3	59:22	+37	58
2	Pakhtakor	25	15	8	2	44:25	+19	53
3	Navbahor	24	13	7	4	42:24	+18	46
4	Olmaliq	25	12	6	7	36:32	+4	42
5	Nasaf	25	11	8	6	37:23	+14	41
6	Buxoro	25	12	5	8	37:32	+5	41
7	Lokomotiv	25	11	7	7	40:31	+9	40
8	Qizilqum	25	10	4	11	25:31	-6	34
9	Andijan	25	9	4	12	30:33	-3	31
10	Dinamo Samarqand	25	8	7	10	36:39	-3	31
11	Sogdiana	25	8	5	12	42:49	-7	29
12	Surkhon	25	7	8	10	19:28	-9	29
13	Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26:41	-15	26
14	Kokand-1912	25	5	8	12	25:36	-11	23
15	Xorazm	24	5	8	11	20:34	-14	23
16	Mash'al	25	1	1	23	12:50	-38	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.45X22%4.17215%5.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.45 -0.7%X4.09 → 4.17 +2.0%25.86 → 5.94 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.25	5.1%
1xBet	1.64	2.17	7.1%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.62	2.20	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.74	1.94	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nasaf 50%Draw 50%Sogdiana 0%

The statistical model rated Nasaf at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Sogdiana at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.17 | 5.94, which imply roughly 69% for a Nasaf win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super League table: Nasaf are 5th (41 pts, 37-23 goals), Sogdiana 11th (29 pts, 42-49).

Over their last five matches, Nasaf averaged 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Sogdiana averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nasaf or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	4.17	5.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.46	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
1.91	2.40	5.67

2nd half

1	X	2
1.76	2.71	5.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.03	15.4	43.0
HT X	4.10	6.45	13.2
HT 2	19.7	17.5	11.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	14.3	3.14

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.7
1.5	1.16	4.33
2.5	1.62	2.20
3.5	2.51	1.46
4.5	4.50	1.14
5.5	7.87	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.08	5.50
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.28	3.34
2.25	1.45	2.54
2.75	1.78	1.96
3	2.01	1.72
3.25	2.25	1.56
3.75	2.90	1.33
4	3.72	1.21
4.25	4.01	1.17
4.75	5.35	1.09
5	7.22	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.58	1.43
-1.5	2.24	1.59
-1.25	1.98	1.76
-1	1.72	2.02
-0.75	1.55	2.32
-0.5	1.45	2.71

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3	6.61	1.05
-2.75	4.75	1.12
-2.5	3.84	1.19
-2.25	3.51	1.23
-2	3.26	1.29
-0.25	1.28	3.17
0	1.13	4.60
+0.25	1.11	5.06
+0.75	1.03	7.30

Next Super League matches

26 Oct

Xorazm – Navbahor

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

25 Oct	Dinamo Samarqand 1-1 Andijan
25 Oct	Qizilqum 1-1 Lokomotiv
23 Oct	Buxoro 0-0 Surkhon
23 Oct	Pakhtakor 1-3 Neftchi
22 Oct	Bunyodkor 2-1 Mash'al
17 Oct	Navbahor 1-1 Pakhtakor