San Miguel vs 
Deportivo Madryn• Primera Nacional, Argentina
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 16:14 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 7.00 | 3.80 | 1.51 | 6.8% |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 3.60 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| Pinnacle | 6.70 | 3.92 | 1.49 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 8.00 | 3.90 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 3.75 | 1.42 | 8.9% |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.60 | 1.53 | 9.8% |
| 1xBet | 6.90 | 3.62 | 1.46 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 3.60 | 1.47 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 6.55 | 3.62 | 1.45 | 11.9% |
| SBO | 3.41 | 2.76 | 1.95 | 16.8% |
| Best of all books | 8.00 | 3.92 | 1.53 | 3.4% |
| Average | 6.66 | 3.62 | 1.52 | 8.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 11:10 UTC
San Miguel
0W 4D 6L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against
| 26 Oct | A | Defensores De Belgrano | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Ciudad de Bolívar | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Almirante Brown | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | H | Atletico Mitre | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | CA Estudiantes | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | All Boys | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Los Andes | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Godoy Cruz | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Deportivo Moron | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Chaco For Ever | 0-3 | L |
Deportivo Madryn
5W 2D 3L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against
| 24 Oct | H | San Telmo | 4-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Acassuso | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Chaco For Ever | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Oct | A | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Central Norte | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Racing Cordoba | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Defensores De Belgrano | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Ciudad de Bolívar | 3-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Almirante Brown | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Godoy Cruz | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 4: 0W 3D 1L for San Miguel
| 14 Jun 2026Primera Nacional | Primera Nacional | Deportivo Madryn2-2San Miguel |
| 5 Jul 2025Primera Nacional | Primera Nacional | San Miguel1-1Deportivo Madryn |
| 2 Mar 2025Primera Nacional | Primera Nacional | Deportivo Madryn2-1San Miguel |
| 3 Nov 2024Primera Nacional | Primera Nacional | Deportivo Madryn0-0San Miguel |
Primera Nacional tableGroup 1updated 2 Nov 01:40 UTC
In the Primera Nacional table, San Miguel sit 18th with 33 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Madryn are 4th with 60 points from 36.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Godoy Cruz | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:33 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 38:31 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 53:37 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 52:31 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45:27 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 30:26 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35:34 | +1 | 49 |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39:37 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 27:26 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 41 |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 32:45 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 36 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 38 |
| 16 | All Boys | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 25:35 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 | San Miguel | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 27:42 | -15 | 33 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 7.0% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 1.57 | 7.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 1.56 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 1.57 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.27 | 1.54 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 1.51 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 1.51 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.40 | 1.57 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.29 | 1.54 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.60 | 1.44 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 1.50 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 1.48 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.60 | 1.50 | 5.1% |
| Average | 2.43 | 1.49 | 8.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated San Miguel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Madryn at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.66 | 3.62 | 1.53, which imply roughly 27.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera Nacional table: San Miguel are 18th (33 pts, 27-42 goals), Deportivo Madryn 4th (60 pts, 52-31).
Over their last five matches, San Miguel averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Deportivo Madryn averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Madryn.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.66 | 3.62 | 1.53 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 1.10 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 4.65 | 1.17 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.43 | 1.49 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.81 | 2.04 | 2.17 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.69 | 2.35 | 1.87 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 10.8 | 18.0 | 29.8 |
| HT X | 11.7 | 4.68 | 4.07 |
| HT 2 | 65.4 | 17.0 | 2.48 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.43 | 7.10 | 1.49 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.30 |
| 1.5 | 1.43 | 2.63 |
| 2.5 | 2.29 | 1.54 |
| 3.5 | 4.44 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 8.72 | 1.03 |
| 5.5 | 13.4 | 1.02 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.05 | 6.50 |
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 1.75 | 1.53 | 2.28 |
| 2 | 1.76 | 1.95 |
| 2.25 | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| 2.75 | 2.67 | 1.39 |
| 3 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| 3.25 | 3.95 | 1.17 |
| 3.75 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
| 4 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.78 | 1.45 |
| +0.5 | 2.28 | 1.65 |
| +0.75 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| +1 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| +1.25 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.45 | 2.52 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 9.30 | 1.01 |
| -1.25 | 8.85 | 1.01 |
| -1 | 7.71 | 1.06 |
| -0.75 | 7.12 | 1.07 |
| -0.5 | 3.56 | 1.30 |
| -0.25 | 5.30 | 1.11 |
| 0 | 4.05 | 1.28 |
| +1.75 | 1.29 | 3.13 |
| +2 | 1.15 | 4.41 |
| +2.25 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| +2.5 | 1.10 | 5.20 |
| +2.75 | 1.04 | 6.80 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.03 | 6.60 |
| 6.5 | 1.17 | 3.87 |
| 7.5 | 1.44 | 2.51 |
| 8.5 | 1.84 | 1.89 |
| 9.5 | 2.32 | 1.54 |
| 10.5 | 2.94 | 1.31 |
| 11.5 | 4.26 | 1.14 |
| 12.5 | 6.58 | 1.03 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | 1.04 | 6.31 |
| 6 | 1.04 | 6.01 |
| 6.25 | 1.11 | 4.64 |
| 6.75 | 1.20 | 3.66 |
| 7 | 1.22 | 3.44 |
| 7.25 | 1.32 | 2.94 |
| 7.75 | 1.46 | 2.46 |
| 8 | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| 8.25 | 1.64 | 2.12 |
| 8.75 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| 9 | 1.97 | 1.77 |
| 9.25 | 2.09 | 1.66 |
| 9.75 | 2.39 | 1.49 |
| 10 | 2.65 | 1.41 |
| 10.25 | 2.81 | 1.35 |
| 10.75 | 3.33 | 1.24 |
| 11 | 3.88 | 1.17 |
| 11.25 | 4.07 | 1.15 |
| 11.75 | 4.99 | 1.09 |
| 12 | 6.14 | 1.04 |
| 12.25 | 6.36 | 1.03 |
Next Primera Nacional matches
| 2 Nov | All Boys – CA Estudiantes |
| 2 Nov | Atletico DE Rafaela – Patronato |
| 2 Nov | Chacarita Juniors – Nueva Chicago |