Sogndal vs Raufoss• 1. Division, Norway

#141.2:1.82-1FTToday · Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal1.0:2.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.49PINX4.90DAF26.40BTNMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets101Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	4.65	6.02	5.2%
Dafabet	1.47	4.90	5.40	7.0%
BetVictor	1.44	4.80	5.75	7.7%
Betano	1.44	4.40	6.40	7.8%
1xBet	1.45	4.60	5.81	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	4.60	5.75	8.6%
Bet365	1.45	4.75	5.25	9.1%
Betfair	1.40	4.60	5.50	11.3%
SBO	1.42	4.43	5.13	12.5%
William Hill	1.44	4.20	5.00	13.3%
Best of all books	1.49	4.90	6.40	3.1%
Average	1.44	4.59	5.60	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SogndalRaufoss

Last 10#14Table position#160.92Points per game0.772Form pts · last 511.2Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.255Attack rating4555Defence rating4533Form rating6738H2H rating6275Goals model2550Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 03:10 UTC

Sogndal

1W 4D 5L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	A	Egersund	3-3	D
14 Oct	H	ODD Ballklubb	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Asane	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Stabaek	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Sotra	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Strommen	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Haugesund	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Stromsgodset	2-3	L
26 Aug	A	Moss	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Fjøra	8-0	W

Raufoss

2W 1D 7L · goals 11:30 · per match 1.1 for, 3.0 against

21 Oct	A	Sogndal	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	hodd	1-5	L
14 Oct	A	Bryne	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Moss	1-2	L
6 Oct	H	Start	1-5	L
20 Sep	H	Stromsgodset	0-2	L
16 Sep	A	Elverum	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	ODD Ballklubb	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Kongsvinger	1-9	L
30 Aug	H	Sandnes ULF	0-3	L

Head to head

8Sogndal wins

5draws

6Raufoss wins

19 meetings · goals 32:29 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Sogndal

21 Jun 20261. Division	1. Division	Raufoss3-1Sogndal
21 Mar 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Sogndal1-1Raufoss
22 Oct 20251. Division	1. Division	Raufoss1-3Sogndal
31 May 20251. Division	1. Division	Sogndal2-2Raufoss
2 Sep 20241. Division	1. Division	Raufoss4-1Sogndal
22 May 20241. Division	1. Division	Sogndal1-1Raufoss
16 Mar 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Raufoss1-5Sogndal
23 Aug 20231. Division	1. Division	Raufoss3-0Sogndal
6 May 20231. Division	1. Division	Sogndal2-1Raufoss
26 Mar 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Sogndal0-0Raufoss

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 21 Oct 19:00 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Sogndal sit 14th with 24 points from 26 games, while Raufoss are 16th with 20 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	76:33	+43	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	81:42	+39	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	78:45	+33	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	64:34	+30	52
5	ODD Ballklubb	27	13	6	8	54:41	+13	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	37:38	-1	39
7	hodd	27	11	5	11	47:53	-6	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	68:67	+1	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	42:53	-11	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	48:59	-11	33
11	Lyn	27	9	4	14	41:57	-16	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	40:56	-16	29
13	Sandnes ULF	27	7	5	15	37:54	-17	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42:59	-17	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	37:61	-24	23
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29:69	-40	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.39X19%4.92215%6.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.54 → 1.44 -6.5%X4.48 → 4.59 +2.5%24.86 → 5.60 +15.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.39	2.99	5.4%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.33	3.10	7.4%
Betano	1.35	2.95	8.0%
Betfair	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Best of all books	1.39	3.10	4.2%
Average	1.35	2.96	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Betano	1.47	2.52	7.7%
1xBet	1.49	2.44	8.1%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.40	8.8%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.47	2.51	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sogndal 10%Draw 45%Raufoss 45%

The statistical model rated Sogndal at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Raufoss at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.92 | 6.23, which imply roughly 20.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Sogndal are 14th (24 pts, 42-59 goals), Raufoss 16th (20 pts, 29-69).

Over their last five matches, Sogndal averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Raufoss averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Raufoss.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.59	5.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.60	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.51

1st half

1	X	2
1.88	2.67	5.21

2nd half

1	X	2
1.72	3.12	4.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.05	15.0	37.4
HT X	4.54	7.93	12.8
HT 2	16.2	15.7	9.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	25.0	2.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.09	6.32
2.5	1.35	2.96
3.5	1.91	1.84
4.5	3.02	1.34
5.5	5.31	1.13
6.5	9.70	1.06
7.5	17.3	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.5
1.75	1.09	5.35
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.22	3.48
2.75	1.41	2.53
3	1.52	2.34
3.25	1.74	2.02
3.75	2.13	1.65
4	2.45	1.48
4.25	2.55	1.44
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.40	1.14
5.25	4.70	1.12
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.34	1.55
-1.5	2.07	1.71
-1.25	1.87	1.90
-1	1.65	2.20
-0.75	1.49	2.49
-0.5	1.45	2.73

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	10.0	1.01
-3.75	6.40	1.12
-3.5	5.70	1.10
-3.25	4.50	1.19
-3	5.50	1.08
-2.75	3.86	1.21
-2.5	3.14	1.30
-2.25	3.04	1.35
-2	2.76	1.41
-0.25	1.28	3.44
0	1.16	4.77
+0.25	1.11	5.43
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	6.84
+1	1.02	8.75
+1.5	1.01	9.35

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.03	6.65
8.5	1.15	4.13
9.5	1.32	2.89
10.5	1.55	2.29
11.5	1.85	1.87
12.5	2.36	1.51
13.5	3.22	1.26
14.5	4.56	1.12
15.5	6.77	1.02
16.5	7.24	1.01

27 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.03	6.40
8	1.04	6.15
8.25	1.10	4.89
8.75	1.17	3.94
9	1.18	3.76
9.25	1.26	3.22
9.75	1.37	2.72
10	1.44	2.59
10.25	1.51	2.35
10.75	1.67	2.07
11	1.74	2.00
11.25	1.85	1.85
11.75	2.07	1.67
12	2.11	1.69
12.25	2.33	1.52
12.75	2.66	1.39
13	2.96	1.31
13.25	3.10	1.28
13.75	3.64	1.20
14	4.22	1.14
14.25	4.38	1.13
14.75	5.28	1.08
15	6.38	1.03
15.25	6.58	1.03
15.75	5.66	1.06
16	6.85	1.02
16.25	7.05	1.02

Next 1. Division matches

24 Oct

Raufoss – Ranheim

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

18 Oct	ODD Ballklubb 1-2 Strommen
18 Oct	Ranheim 4-2 Bryne
18 Oct	Lyn 1-0 Moss
18 Oct	hodd 5-1 Raufoss
18 Oct	Kongsvinger 4-0 Sandnes ULF
18 Oct	Asane 0-1 Stabaek