Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund• Eliteserien, Norway

#111.6:2.216:00Today · Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg2.2:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.89DAFX4.20BFR23.77PINMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets81Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.90	4.06	3.83	3.4%
1xBet	1.87	4.08	3.74	4.7%
Dafabet	1.89	4.10	3.60	5.1%
Betfair	1.85	4.20	3.50	6.4%
Bet365	1.85	4.00	3.60	6.8%
Betano	1.83	4.00	3.65	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.98	3.64	7.5%
William Hill	1.85	3.75	3.50	9.3%
BetVictor	1.80	4.00	3.40	10.0%
Best of all books	1.90	4.20	3.83	2.6%
Average	1.85	4.02	3.61	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesund

Last 10#11Table position#141.22Points per game1.047Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 52.22.2Goals against · last 51.642Attack rating5842Defence rating5836Form rating6460H2H rating4046Goals model5448Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:10 UTC

Sarpsborg 08 FF

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	H	Rosenborg	0-3	L
11 Oct	A	Aalesund	4-2	W
30 Sep	A	Follo	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	KFUM Oslo	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Fredrikstad	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Valerenga	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Tromso	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Sparta Sarpsborg	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Sandefjord	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Viking	1-2	L

Aalesund

5W 2D 3L · goals 35:19 · per match 3.5 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	A	Kristiansund BK	4-1	W
11 Oct	H	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2-4	L
19 Sep	A	Molde	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Førde	4-3	W
13 Sep	A	KFUM Oslo	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Start	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Viking	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Langevag	13-0	W
16 Aug	H	Valerenga	5-5	D
9 Aug	A	Ham-Kam	1-1	D

Head to head

8Sarpsborg 08 FF wins

1draws

2Aalesund wins

11 meetings · goals 25:12 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Sarpsborg 08 FF

11 Oct 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Aalesund2-4Sarpsborg 08 FF
22 Oct 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Aalesund3-2Sarpsborg 08 FF
29 May 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF3-1Aalesund
11 Sep 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Aalesund1-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
22 May 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2Aalesund
13 Sep 2020Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Aalesund0-1Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 Aug 2020Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF4-0Aalesund
19 Nov 2017Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0Aalesund
5 Apr 2017Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Aalesund1-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
26 Aug 2016Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Aalesund2-2Sarpsborg 08 FF

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 24 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 11th with 28 points from 23 games, while Aalesund are 14th with 24 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viking	23	18	2	3	59:22	+37	56
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	18	2	4	58:21	+37	56
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	52:35	+17	40
4	Rosenborg	24	12	4	8	46:31	+15	40
5	Tromso	23	11	7	5	42:31	+11	40
6	Lillestrom	23	11	3	9	32:31	+1	36
7	Brann	23	9	2	12	40:37	+3	29
8	Valerenga	24	8	5	11	39:46	-7	29
9	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28:36	-8	29
10	KFUM Oslo	23	8	5	10	28:37	-9	29
11	Sarpsborg 08 FF	23	7	7	9	28:34	-6	28
12	Ham-Kam	24	7	5	12	33:51	-18	26
13	Sandefjord	23	6	6	11	22:30	-8	24
14	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39:51	-12	24
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23:47	-24	19
16	Start	23	4	4	15	25:54	-29	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.85X23%4.01226%3.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.85 +1.6%X3.97 → 4.01 +1.0%23.62 → 3.62 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.39	3.08	4.4%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
1xBet	1.38	2.93	6.6%
Betano	1.36	2.95	7.4%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.39	3.10	4.2%
Average	1.36	3.00	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
William Hill	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.36	2.90	8.0%
Betano	1.36	2.90	8.0%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.84	8.7%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.37	2.90	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF 45%Draw 45%Aalesund 10%

The statistical model rates Sarpsborg 08 FF at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aalesund at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 4.01 | 3.62, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Sarpsborg 08 FF win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Sarpsborg 08 FF are 11th (28 pts, 28-34 goals), Aalesund 14th (24 pts, 39-51).

Over their last five matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Aalesund averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	4.02	3.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.91	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.90

1st half

1	X	2
2.27	2.56	3.77

2nd half

1	X	2
2.09	2.93	3.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.77	13.6	26.6
HT X	5.30	7.20	9.04
HT 2	17.7	13.8	5.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	24.0	2.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	16.3
1.5	1.09	6.53
2.5	1.36	3.00
3.5	1.90	1.86
4.5	3.05	1.35
5.5	5.30	1.14
6.5	9.25	1.05
7.5	13.8	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.75
1.75	1.09	5.70
2	1.12	5.28
2.25	1.23	3.63
2.75	1.42	2.61
3	1.53	2.40
3.25	1.73	2.05
3.75	2.12	1.67
4	2.46	1.51
4.25	2.70	1.39
4.75	3.54	1.23
5	4.57	1.15
5.25	4.84	1.13
6	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.70	1.44
-1	2.41	1.54
-0.75	2.04	1.74
-0.5	1.83	1.96
-0.25	1.62	2.22
0	1.41	2.77

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.8	1.03
-3	9.75	1.02
-2.5	5.57	1.12
-2.25	5.05	1.13
-2	4.63	1.16
-1.75	3.49	1.25
-1.5	3.00	1.36
+0.25	1.32	3.20
+0.5	1.28	3.67
+0.75	1.18	4.33
+1	1.09	6.18
+1.25	1.07	6.61
+1.5	1.08	6.71
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.07	4.90
8.5	1.15	3.99
9.5	1.30	2.97
10.5	1.55	2.27
11.5	1.88	1.84
12.5	2.34	1.51
13.5	2.99	1.30
14.5	3.91	1.16
15.5	4.52	1.09

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.08	4.72
9	1.18	3.42
9.75	1.33	2.83
10	1.37	2.62
10.25	1.45	2.44
10.75	1.60	2.14
11	1.69	2.04
11.25	1.80	1.90
11.75	2.03	1.74
12	2.12	1.65
12.25	2.26	1.54
12.75	2.56	1.40
13	2.68	1.36
13.25	2.88	1.32
14	3.37	1.19
15	4.35	1.10

Next Eliteserien matches

25 Oct	Viking – Tromso
25 Oct	Kristiansund BK – KFUM Oslo
25 Oct	Lillestrom – Brann
25 Oct	Start – Sandefjord
25 Oct	Molde – Fredrikstad

All Eliteserien fixtures and the table

Latest Eliteserien results

24 Oct	Ham-Kam 0-3 Rosenborg
24 Oct	Bodo/Glimt 0-1 Valerenga
18 Oct	Tromso 1-1 KFUM Oslo
18 Oct	Valerenga 3-1 Brann
18 Oct	Molde 6-1 Start
18 Oct	Sandefjord 0-2 Lillestrom