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Molde vs Fredrikstad• Eliteserien, Norway

#33.2:1.218:15Today · Aker Stadion, Molde1.2:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.461XBX5.19PIN27.02PINMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets84Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.425.197.023.9%
1xBet1.464.986.214.7%
Dafabet1.445.006.205.6%
Bet3651.444.756.505.9%
Betano1.454.706.006.9%
Marathonbet1.424.856.057.6%
Betfair1.405.006.008.1%
BetVictor1.404.606.009.8%
William Hill1.404.606.009.8%
Best of all books1.465.197.022.0%
Average1.434.856.226.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoldeFredrikstad
Last 10#3Table position#91.74Points per game1.2610Form pts · last 563.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.673Attack rating2757Defence rating4377Form rating2338H2H rating6273Goals model2762Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:10 UTC

Molde

8W 1D 1L · goals 42:11 · per match 4.2 for, 1.1 against

18 OctHStart6-1W
11 OctALillestrom2-2D
4 OctHKristiansund BK3-0W
19 SepHAalesund1-2L
16 SepATrygg/Lade5-0W
13 SepAHam-Kam5-1W
6 SepHKFUM Oslo2-0W
30 AugAValerenga4-3W
22 AugAMidsund11-0W
16 AugHTromso3-2W

Fredrikstad

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

17 OctAViking2-3L
11 OctHTromso1-1D
20 SepAValerenga1-1D
16 SepAStjørdals-Blink1-0W
13 SepHSarpsborg 08 FF1-1D
4 SepHBodo/Glimt1-2L
30 AugALillestrom4-1W
22 AugAEidsvold IF7-1W
16 AugHKristiansund BK1-0W
8 AugAStart1-0W

Head to head

1Molde wins
2draws
2Fredrikstad wins

5 meetings · goals 9:7 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Molde

13 Sep 2025EliteserienEliteserienMolde1-2Fredrikstad
12 Jul 2025EliteserienEliteserienFredrikstad4-2Molde
7 Dec 2024NM CupenNM CupenFredrikstad0-0Molde
14 Sep 2024EliteserienEliteserienMolde6-1Fredrikstad
13 Jul 2024EliteserienEliteserienFredrikstad0-0Molde

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 24 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Molde sit 3rd with 40 points from 23 games, while Fredrikstad are 9th with 29 points from 23.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Viking23182359:22+3756
2Bodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756
3Molde23124752:35+1740
4Rosenborg24124846:31+1540
5Tromso23117542:31+1140
6Lillestrom23113932:31+136
7Brann23921240:37+329
8Valerenga24851139:46-729
9Fredrikstad23851028:36-829
10KFUM Oslo23851028:37-929
11Sarpsborg 08 FF2377928:34-628
12Ham-Kam24751233:51-1826
13Sandefjord23661122:30-824
14Aalesund2359939:51-1224
15Kristiansund BK23541423:47-2419
16Start23441525:54-2916

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.43X19%4.85215%6.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 06:301 1.43X 4.852 6.22
11.49 → 1.43 -4.0%X4.51 → 4.85 +7.5%25.46 → 6.22 +13.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.422.934.6%
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
1xBet1.422.766.7%
Betano1.422.756.8%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
Marathonbet1.372.6610.6%
Best of all books1.442.933.6%
Average1.412.786.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
William Hill1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.552.308.0%
Betano1.552.308.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.552.268.8%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.572.454.5%
Average1.542.327.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Molde 45%Draw 45%Fredrikstad 10%

The statistical model rates Molde at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fredrikstad at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.85 | 6.22, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Molde win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Molde are 3rd (40 pts, 52-35 goals), Fredrikstad 9th (29 pts, 28-36).

Over their last five matches, Molde averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Fredrikstad averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Molde or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.434.856.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.721.16

Draw no bet

12
1.164.76

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.32

1st half

1X2
1.852.685.45

2nd half

1X2
1.713.065.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0115.843.6
HT X4.468.1014.0
HT 217.816.910.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3922.52.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.8
1.51.115.93
2.51.412.78
3.52.031.75
4.53.291.31
5.56.001.11
6.510.31.04
7.516.31.02
8.531.3–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.75
1.751.115.10
21.144.72
2.251.273.32
2.751.492.49
31.612.22
3.251.831.93
3.752.281.58
42.681.42
4.252.921.34
4.753.821.21
54.971.13
5.255.251.11
69.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.391.53
-1.52.101.69
-1.251.881.89
-11.642.20
-0.751.502.48
-0.51.442.77
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.301.07
-3.256.601.11
-35.711.10
-2.754.231.18
-2.53.461.26
-2.253.231.32
-22.921.38
-0.251.293.46
01.154.82
+0.251.135.25
+0.51.126.25
+0.751.057.02
+1.51.0211.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.22
7.51.134.27
8.51.283.09
9.51.512.34
10.51.871.85
11.52.351.51
12.53.031.29
13.53.991.15
14.54.651.09
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.075.05
81.163.62
8.751.302.97
91.352.72
9.251.422.54
9.751.582.20
101.662.09
10.251.791.96
10.751.981.72
112.121.65
11.252.241.54
11.752.561.40
122.701.35
133.421.18
144.471.10

Next Eliteserien matches

25 OctViking – Tromso
25 OctKristiansund BK – KFUM Oslo
25 OctLillestrom – Brann
25 OctStart – Sandefjord
25 OctSarpsborg 08 FF – Aalesund

All Eliteserien fixtures and the table

Latest Eliteserien results

24 OctHam-Kam 0-3 Rosenborg
24 OctBodo/Glimt 0-1 Valerenga
18 OctTromso 1-1 KFUM Oslo
18 OctValerenga 3-1 Brann
18 OctMolde 6-1 Start
18 OctSandefjord 0-2 Lillestrom