Molde vs Start• Eliteserien, Norway

#42.8:1.615:00Tomorrow · Aker Stadion, Molde1.6:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.341XBX5.75BVC28.50BVCMargin at best3.8%Books6Markets84Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.34	5.68	7.95	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.33	5.85	7.81	5.1%
Marathonbet	1.31	5.50	7.70	7.5%
Bet365	1.33	5.25	7.00	8.5%
BetVictor	1.25	5.75	8.50	9.2%
William Hill	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
Best of all books	1.34	5.85	8.50	3.5%
Average	1.32	5.50	7.66	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoldeStart

Last 10#4Table position#161.68Points per game0.7310Form pts · last 592.8Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 52.064Attack rating3656Defence rating4463Form rating3893H2H rating780Goals model2072Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Molde

7W 1D 2L · goals 37:12 · per match 3.7 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Lillestrom	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Kristiansund BK	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Aalesund	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Trygg/Lade	5-0	W
13 Sep	A	Ham-Kam	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	KFUM Oslo	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Valerenga	4-3	W
22 Aug	A	Midsund	11-0	W
16 Aug	H	Tromso	3-2	W
9 Aug	A	Kristiansund BK	1-2	L

Start

6W 0D 4L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	H	Ham-Kam	2-4	L
6 Oct	A	Raufoss	5-1	W
2 Oct	H	Brann	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Sandefjord	0-3	L
16 Sep	A	Vindbjart	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Brann	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	Aalesund	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	KFUM Oslo	4-1	W
22 Aug	A	Flekkefjord	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Fredrikstad	0-1	L

Head to head

4Molde wins

3draws

0Start wins

7 meetings · goals 18:8 · last 7: 4W 3D 0L for Molde

19 Apr 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Start1-1Molde
5 Aug 2020Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde5-0Start
24 Jun 2020Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Start2-3Molde
29 Oct 2018Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Start1-3Molde
27 May 2018Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde3-1Start
17 Jul 2016Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde2-2Start
10 Apr 2016Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Start1-1Molde

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Molde sit 4th with 37 points from 22 games, while Start are 16th with 16 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58:20	+38	56
2	Viking	23	18	2	3	59:22	+37	56
3	Tromso	22	11	6	5	41:30	+11	39
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	+12	37
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	+9	34
6	Lillestrom	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33
7	Brann	22	9	2	11	39:34	+5	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28:36	-8	29
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	22	7	7	8	28:31	-3	28
10	KFUM Oslo	22	8	4	10	27:36	-9	28
11	Ham-Kam	23	7	5	11	33:48	-15	26
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24
13	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39:51	-12	24
14	Valerenga	22	6	5	11	35:45	-10	23
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23:47	-24	19
16	Start	22	4	4	14	24:48	-24	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.31X17%5.49212%7.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.31 → 1.31 0.0%X5.46 → 5.49 +0.5%27.48 → 7.62 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.34	3.24	5.5%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.24	4.4%
Average	1.32	3.10	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.57	2.26	7.9%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.22	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.58	2.25	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Molde 45%Draw 45%Start 10%

The statistical model rates Molde at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Start at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 5.49 | 7.62, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Molde win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Molde are 4th (37 pts, 46-34 goals), Start 16th (16 pts, 24-48).

Over their last five matches, Molde averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Start averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Molde or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.32	5.51	7.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	3.26	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
1.69	2.88	6.58

2nd half

1	X	2
1.56	3.31	6.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.78	18.3	45.0
HT X	4.39	9.43	17.7
HT 2	17.7	19.8	13.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	27.5	3.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.8
1.5	1.07	6.60
2.5	1.32	3.10
3.5	1.86	1.89
4.5	2.87	1.36
5.5	5.05	1.13
6.5	11.0	1.05
7.5	20.0	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.07	5.80
2	1.09	5.35
2.25	1.19	3.74
2.75	1.37	2.71
3	1.47	2.48
3.25	1.67	2.12
3.75	2.05	1.72
4	2.32	1.53
4.25	2.52	1.41
4.75	3.20	1.26
5	4.10	1.16
5.25	4.39	1.14
6	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.53	1.46
-2	2.27	1.56
-1.75	1.98	1.79
-1.5	1.80	1.98
-1.25	1.59	2.22
-1	1.42	2.64

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.50	1.01
-4	7.90	1.02
-3.75	6.40	1.12
-3.5	4.92	1.13
-3.25	4.52	1.15
-3	4.18	1.18
-2.75	3.34	1.28
-2.5	2.76	1.39
-0.75	1.36	2.91
-0.5	1.32	3.30
-0.25	1.19	3.99
0	1.09	5.83
+0.25	1.10	6.10
+0.5	1.10	6.80
+0.75	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.95
8.5	1.25	3.32
9.5	1.46	2.48
10.5	1.82	1.92
11.5	2.22	1.57
12.5	2.82	1.35
13.5	3.84	1.19
14.5	5.00	1.11
15.5	6.80	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.25	1.38	2.74
9.75	1.50	2.34
10	1.60	2.25
10.25	1.69	2.04
10.75	1.87	1.81
11	2.03	1.75
11.25	2.12	1.62
11.75	2.38	1.46
12.25	2.78	1.37