Sandefjord vs Lillestrom• Eliteserien, Norway

#121.4:1.015:00Tomorrow · Jotun Arena, Sandefjord1.4:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.721XBX3.80BFR22.49PINMargin at best3.2%Books6Markets67Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.65	3.65	2.58	3.9%
1xBet	2.72	3.61	2.48	4.8%
Marathonbet	2.65	3.52	2.42	7.5%
Bet365	2.50	3.60	2.45	8.6%
BetVictor	2.50	3.60	2.40	9.4%
William Hill	2.60	3.30	2.45	9.6%
Best of all books	2.72	3.65	2.58	2.9%
Average	2.60	3.55	2.46	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SandefjordLillestrom

Last 10#12Table position#61.09Points per game1.508Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3346Form rating5450H2H rating5048Goals model5252Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Sandefjord

4W 3D 3L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

10 Oct	A	Rosenborg	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Flint	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Start	3-0	W
14 Sep	A	Bodo/Glimt	2-3	L
4 Sep	H	Viking	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Brann	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Eidanger	15-0	W
16 Aug	A	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2-1	W
7 Aug	H	KFUM Oslo	0-1	L
1 Aug	A	Fredrikstad	0-1	L

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

15 Oct	A	Sparta Praha	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Molde	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Bærum	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Viking	0-3	L
17 Sep	H	Torreense	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Valerenga	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Brann	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Aurskog Finstadbru	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Fredrikstad	1-4	L
27 Aug	H	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2-1	W

Head to head

3Sandefjord wins

3draws

11Lillestrom wins

17 meetings · goals 20:35 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Sandefjord

16 May 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Lillestrom3-1Sandefjord
23 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lillestrom1-2Sandefjord
23 Nov 2024Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Lillestrom0-3Sandefjord
21 Apr 2024Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sandefjord0-1Lillestrom
16 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lillestrom2-2Sandefjord
3 Dec 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sandefjord1-0Lillestrom
16 Jul 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Lillestrom4-2Sandefjord
27 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lillestrom2-1Sandefjord
21 Aug 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Lillestrom3-0Sandefjord
21 May 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sandefjord1-4Lillestrom

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Sandefjord sit 12th with 24 points from 22 games, while Lillestrom are 6th with 33 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58:20	+38	56
2	Viking	23	18	2	3	59:22	+37	56
3	Tromso	22	11	6	5	41:30	+11	39
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	+12	37
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	+9	34
6	Lillestrom	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33
7	Brann	22	9	2	11	39:34	+5	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28:36	-8	29
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	22	7	7	8	28:31	-3	28
10	KFUM Oslo	22	8	4	10	27:36	-9	28
11	Ham-Kam	23	7	5	11	33:48	-15	26
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24
13	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39:51	-12	24
14	Valerenga	22	6	5	11	35:45	-10	23
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23:47	-24	19
16	Start	22	4	4	14	24:48	-24	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.62X26%3.54238%2.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.60	2.39	4.3%
1xBet	1.60	2.36	4.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.31	7.0%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.39	4.3%
Average	1.58	2.33	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.47	2.50	8.0%
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.46	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.47	2.50	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sandefjord 45%Draw 45%Lillestrom 10%

The statistical model rates Sandefjord at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lillestrom at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.54 | 2.42, which imply roughly 38.2% for a Sandefjord win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Sandefjord are 12th (24 pts, 22-28 goals), Lillestrom 6th (33 pts, 30-31).

Over their last five matches, Sandefjord averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lillestrom averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sandefjord or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.60	3.55	2.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.46	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.92	1.79

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
3.11	2.35	2.93

2nd half

1	X	2
2.80	2.65	2.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.28	13.5	23.7
HT X	6.57	6.03	6.23
HT 2	25.0	13.5	3.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	16.5	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.1
1.5	1.16	4.73
2.5	1.58	2.33
3.5	2.34	1.53
4.5	4.15	1.20
5.5	7.60	1.05
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.17	4.01
2	1.22	3.56
2.25	1.40	2.79
2.75	1.70	2.09
3	1.88	1.83
3.25	2.11	1.64
3.75	2.66	1.37
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.80	1.12
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.54	1.49
-0.25	2.25	1.61
0	1.93	1.85
+0.25	1.67	2.10
+0.5	1.52	2.45
+0.75	1.38	2.84

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	6.12	1.08
-1.5	4.77	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.16
-1	4.07	1.20
-0.75	3.04	1.34
+1	1.24	3.71
+1.25	1.19	3.97
+1.5	1.16	4.33
+1.75	1.10	5.53
+2	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.93
8.5	1.25	3.32
9.5	1.47	2.47
10.5	1.80	1.92
11.5	2.20	1.58
12.5	2.82	1.35
13.5	3.84	1.19
14.5	5.10	1.11
15.5	6.80	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.25	1.38	2.75
9.75	1.50	2.34
10	1.60	2.25
10.25	1.67	2.05
10.75	1.86	1.82
11	2.01	1.76
11.25	2.11	1.62
11.75	2.38	1.46
12	2.33	1.55
12.25	2.77	1.36