Valerenga vs Brann• Eliteserien, Norway

#141.4:2.215:00Tomorrow · Intility Arena, Oslo0.6:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.41PINX4.00PIN22.69PINMargin at best3.7%Books6Markets69Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:07 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.41	4.00	2.69	3.7%
1xBet	2.41	3.94	2.64	4.8%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.84	2.57	7.5%
Bet365	2.30	3.90	2.55	8.3%
BetVictor	2.30	3.80	2.50	9.8%
William Hill	2.30	3.70	2.50	10.5%
Best of all books	2.41	4.00	2.69	3.7%
Average	2.35	3.86	2.57	7.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ValerengaBrann

Last 10#14Table position#71.05Points per game1.325Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 50.62.2Goals against · last 51.470Attack rating3039Defence rating6133Form rating6720H2H rating8039Goals model6140Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Valerenga

2W 3D 5L · goals 24:24 · per match 2.4 for, 2.4 against

12 Oct	A	KFUM Oslo	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fredrikstad	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Skeid	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Lillestrom	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Molde	3-4	L
23 Aug	A	Christiania BK	7-2	W
16 Aug	A	Aalesund	5-5	D
8 Aug	H	Bodo/Glimt	1-2	L
31 Jul	H	Ham-Kam	0-3	L

Brann

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

15 Oct	H	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Viking	0-2	L
2 Oct	A	Start	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Bodo/Glimt	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Os	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Start	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Lillestrom	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Sandefjord	0-0	D
27 Aug	H	PAOK	3-2	W
23 Aug	A	Fyllingen	4-0	W

Head to head

10Valerenga wins

3draws

8Brann wins

21 meetings · goals 35:34 · last 10: 3W 0D 7L for Valerenga

26 Jul 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Brann2-3Valerenga
13 Sep 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Brann3-2Valerenga
3 May 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga2-4Brann
22 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Brann2-1Valerenga
27 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Brann3-0Valerenga
8 Oct 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga1-2Brann
12 Jul 2023NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Valerenga3-2Brann
22 Apr 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Brann3-1Valerenga
3 Mar 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Valerenga1-3Brann
31 Oct 2021Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga1-0Brann

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Valerenga sit 14th with 23 points from 22 games, while Brann are 7th with 29 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58:20	+38	56
2	Viking	23	18	2	3	59:22	+37	56
3	Tromso	22	11	6	5	41:30	+11	39
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	+12	37
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	+9	34
6	Lillestrom	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33
7	Brann	22	9	2	11	39:34	+5	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28:36	-8	29
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	22	7	7	8	28:31	-3	28
10	KFUM Oslo	22	8	4	10	27:36	-9	28
11	Ham-Kam	23	7	5	11	33:48	-15	26
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24
13	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39:51	-12	24
14	Valerenga	22	6	5	11	35:45	-10	23
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23:47	-24	19
16	Start	22	4	4	14	24:48	-24	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.35X24%3.86236%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.45 → 2.35 -4.1%X3.79 → 3.86 +1.8%22.47 → 2.58 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	3.01	4.7%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.35	2.95	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
William Hill	1.36	3.00	6.9%
1xBet	1.33	3.04	8.1%
BetVictor	1.30	3.20	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.98	8.7%
Best of all books	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Average	1.34	3.04	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Valerenga 10%Draw 45%Brann 45%

The statistical model rates Valerenga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brann at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.86 | 2.58, which imply roughly 25.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Valerenga are 14th (23 pts, 35-45 goals), Brann 7th (29 pts, 39-34).

Over their last five matches, Valerenga averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Brann averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Brann.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.35	3.86	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.54	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.34	3.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.54	2.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.84	2.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.66	13.3	22.3
HT X	6.40	7.03	6.87
HT 2	22.3	13.3	4.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	24.0	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.08	6.60
2.5	1.35	2.95
3.5	1.91	1.84
4.5	3.04	1.33
5.5	5.36	1.12
6.5	11.0	1.05
7.5	21.0	1.01
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.5
1.75	1.08	5.65
2	1.10	5.20
2.25	1.21	3.58
2.75	1.40	2.57
3	1.53	2.34
3.25	1.74	2.03
3.75	2.12	1.65
4	2.46	1.48
4.25	2.70	1.36
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.55	1.13
5.25	4.85	1.11
6	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.67	1.42
-0.5	2.32	1.58
-0.25	2.05	1.73
0	1.81	1.98
+0.25	1.59	2.23
+0.5	1.49	2.54

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.10	1.04
-1.75	5.15	1.12
-1.5	4.00	1.19
-1.25	3.69	1.22
-1	3.40	1.28
+0.75	1.35	2.99
+1	1.22	3.89
+1.25	1.18	4.19
+1.5	1.15	4.53
+1.75	1.09	5.80
+2	1.02	8.30
+2.5	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.11	4.95
9.5	1.23	3.41
10.5	1.46	2.50
11.5	1.77	1.98
12.5	2.12	1.64
13.5	2.65	1.39
14.5	3.44	1.23
15.5	4.50	1.14
16.5	6.00	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
10.25	1.36	2.83
10.75	1.47	2.42
11	1.56	2.32
11.25	1.64	2.12
11.75	1.81	1.87
12	1.94	1.84
12.25	2.02	1.69
12.75	2.26	1.51
13	2.45	1.50
13.25	2.63	1.41