Derry City vs 
Dundalk• Premier Division, Ireland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:03 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.02 | 4.15 | 4.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.86 | 4.03 | 6.9% |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 3.75 | 3.85 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.86 | 4.05 | 7.4% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.80 | 7.8% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.75 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 10.6% |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.26 | 15.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 4.02 | 4.15 | 3.0% |
| Average | 1.80 | 3.72 | 3.86 | 8.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:01 UTC
Derry City
6W 2D 2L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against
| 19 Oct | H | St Patrick's Athl. | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Drogheda United | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Galway United | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Galway United | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Waterford | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Sep | A | Shelbourne | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Dundalk | 4-2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Shamrock Rovers | 3-3 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | Bohemians | 3-5 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | UCD | 2-1 | W |
Dundalk
2W 2D 6L · goals 21:22 · per match 2.1 for, 2.2 against
| 17 Oct | A | Sligo Rovers | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Oct | H | Bohemians | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Shelbourne | 2-3 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | St Patrick's Athl. | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Waterford | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Derry City | 2-4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Drogheda United | 3-2 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | Galway United | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Castlebar Celtic | 8-0 | W |
| 7 Aug | A | Shamrock Rovers | 2-3 | L |
Head to head
28 meetings · goals 44:40 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Derry City
| 6 Sep 2026FAI Cup | FAI Cup | Derry City4-2Dundalk |
| 29 May 2026Premier Division | Premier Division | Dundalk2-1Derry City |
| 10 Apr 2026Premier Division | Premier Division | Dundalk2-2Derry City |
| 13 Feb 2026Premier Division | Premier Division | Derry City2-2Dundalk |
| 18 Oct 2024Premier Division | Premier Division | Dundalk0-2Derry City |
| 9 Aug 2024Premier Division | Premier Division | Derry City1-1Dundalk |
| 31 May 2024Premier Division | Premier Division | Dundalk0-0Derry City |
| 5 Apr 2024Premier Division | Premier Division | Derry City4-1Dundalk |
| 1 Sep 2023Premier Division | Premier Division | Dundalk1-3Derry City |
| 15 May 2023Premier Division | Premier Division | Derry City3-0Dundalk |
Premier Division tablePremier Divisionupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC
In the Premier Division table, Derry City sit 5th with 44 points from 34 games, while Dundalk are 6th with 42 points from 34.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 65 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 60:41 | +19 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 53:28 | +25 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 |
| 5 | Derry City | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 46:44 | +2 | 44 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 51:56 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 | Galway United | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:51 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 | Waterford | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 48:58 | -10 | 37 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:60 | -34 | 24 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 2.35 | 4.7% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 6.0% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.25 | 6.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.27 | 6.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 2.27 | 6.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 2.21 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.61 | 2.38 | 4.1% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.29 | 6.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.32 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 2.26 | 8.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Average | 1.55 | 2.30 | 7.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Derry City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dundalk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.69 | 3.81, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Derry City win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier Division table: Derry City are 5th (44 pts, 46-44 goals), Dundalk 6th (42 pts, 51-56).
Over their last five matches, Derry City averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Dundalk averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Derry City or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 3.72 | 3.86 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.95 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.36 | 2.91 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.55 | 2.30 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 2.35 | 4.09 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.11 | 2.72 | 3.83 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.72 | 13.8 | 32.8 |
| HT X | 4.89 | 6.26 | 8.89 |
| HT 2 | 19.9 | 14.3 | 6.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 16.0 | 2.42 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.60 |
| 2.5 | 1.59 | 2.29 |
| 3.5 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| 4.5 | 4.33 | 1.18 |
| 5.5 | 8.25 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 16.1 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 34.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.06 | 6.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 4.06 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.56 |
| 2.25 | 1.40 | 2.68 |
| 2.75 | 1.73 | 2.03 |
| 3 | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| 3.25 | 2.18 | 1.61 |
| 3.75 | 2.85 | 1.34 |
| 4 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.25 | 4.01 | 1.17 |
| 4.75 | 5.45 | 1.08 |
| 5 | 7.70 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.67 | 1.43 |
| -1 | 2.39 | 1.54 |
| -0.75 | 1.97 | 1.76 |
| -0.5 | 1.81 | 1.98 |
| -0.25 | 1.55 | 2.31 |
| 0 | 1.34 | 2.98 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
| -3 | 9.70 | 1.01 |
| -2.75 | 7.70 | 1.02 |
| -2.5 | 5.93 | 1.09 |
| -2.25 | 5.55 | 1.10 |
| -2 | 5.12 | 1.12 |
| -1.75 | 3.67 | 1.24 |
| -1.5 | 2.99 | 1.34 |
| +0.25 | 1.27 | 3.45 |
| +0.5 | 1.26 | 3.73 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 4.97 |
| +1 | 1.05 | 7.53 |
| +1.25 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 8.47 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.07 | 5.41 |
| 7.5 | 1.23 | 3.45 |
| 8.5 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
| 9.5 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
| 10.5 | 2.24 | 1.58 |
| 11.5 | 3.03 | 1.30 |
| 12.5 | 4.39 | 1.13 |
| 13.5 | 6.71 | 1.02 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.08 | 5.17 |
| 7 | 1.09 | 4.92 |
| 7.25 | 1.16 | 3.98 |
| 7.75 | 1.26 | 3.22 |
| 8 | 1.29 | 3.04 |
| 8.25 | 1.39 | 2.67 |
| 8.75 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
| 9 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
| 9.25 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
| 9.75 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| 10 | 1.96 | 1.82 |
| 10.25 | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| 10.75 | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| 11 | 2.58 | 1.46 |
| 11.25 | 2.93 | 1.32 |
| 11.75 | 3.46 | 1.22 |
| 12 | 4.04 | 1.16 |
| 12.25 | 4.22 | 1.14 |
| 12.75 | 5.13 | 1.08 |
| 13 | 6.28 | 1.04 |
| 13.25 | 6.50 | 1.03 |
Next Premier Division matches
| 23 Oct | Bohemians – Shelbourne |
| 23 Oct | Waterford – Drogheda United |
| 23 Oct | Galway United – St Patrick's Athl. |
| 23 Oct | Shamrock Rovers – Sligo Rovers |