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Drogheda United vs Derry City• Premier Division, Ireland

#91.6:1.82-0FTToday · United Park, Drogheda2.0:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.35PINX3.41PIN22.25B365Margin at best3.6%Books6Markets80Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.263.402.283.9%
1xBet3.193.362.187.0%
Marathonbet3.183.362.167.5%
William Hill3.103.202.209.0%
BetVictor3.133.252.159.2%
Bet3653.103.102.2010.0%
Best of all books3.263.402.283.9%
Average3.163.282.207.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Drogheda UnitedDerry City
Last 10#9Table position#51.03Points per game1.289Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 52.044Attack rating5653Defence rating4743Form rating5762H2H rating3848Goals model5250Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 18:51 UTC

Drogheda United

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

8 OctAShamrock Rovers1-3L
1 OctATrabzonspor1-0W
18 SepABohemians1-2L
14 SepAShelbourne2-1W
11 SepHSligo Rovers2-0W
4 SepHGalway United1-2L
28 AugHDundalk2-3L
21 AugHSt Patrick's Athl.0-2L
15 AugACollege Corinthians3-0W
7 AugAGalway United0-0D

Derry City

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

10 OctAGalway United2-0W
18 SepHGalway United1-0W
14 SepAWaterford2-2D
11 SepAShelbourne1-0W
6 SepHDundalk4-2W
30 AugHShamrock Rovers3-3D
21 AugABohemians3-5L
14 AugAUCD2-1W
7 AugHSligo Rovers2-0W
2 AugASt Patrick's Athl.1-1D

Head to head

6Drogheda United wins
12draws
10Derry City wins

28 meetings · goals 26:40 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Drogheda United

26 Jun 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City2-0Drogheda United
8 May 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDrogheda United1-0Derry City
20 Mar 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City2-2Drogheda United
26 Sep 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDrogheda United1-1Derry City
16 Aug 2025FAI CupFAI CupDerry City1-1Drogheda United
27 Jun 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City3-0Drogheda United
16 May 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDrogheda United1-1Derry City
11 Apr 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City1-3Drogheda United
10 Nov 2024FAI CupFAI CupDrogheda United2-0Derry City
27 Sep 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDrogheda United2-1Derry City

Premier Division tablePremier Divisionupdated 16 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the Premier Division table, Drogheda United sit 9th with 34 points from 33 games, while Derry City are 5th with 41 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:33+2165
2St Patrick's Athl.32178752:25+2759
3Bohemians33178858:40+1859
4Shelbourne3310131047:46+143
5Derry City32914945:42+341
6Dundalk3310111250:55-541
7Galway United329111242:48-638
8Waterford327131244:54-1034
9Drogheda United338101539:54-1534
10Sligo Rovers33582025:59-3423

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.16X28%3.28242%2.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 14:501 3.18X 3.262 2.20
12.89 → 3.18 +10.0%X3.38 → 3.26 -3.6%22.26 → 2.20 -2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.091.793.7%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
1xBet2.011.756.9%
Marathonbet2.011.756.9%
BetVictor1.971.728.9%
Best of all books2.091.793.7%
Average2.031.756.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.956.8%
William Hill1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.781.938.0%
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
Marathonbet1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.801.956.8%
Average1.791.937.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Drogheda United 45%Draw 45%Derry City 10%

The statistical model rated Drogheda United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Derry City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.16 | 3.28 | 2.19, which imply roughly 31.6% for a Drogheda United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier Division table: Drogheda United are 9th (34 pts, 39-54 goals), Derry City 5th (41 pts, 45-42).

Over their last five matches, Drogheda United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Derry City averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Drogheda United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Drogheda United

3-5-2

Coach: K. Doherty

Goalkeeper

  • 44Fynn Michael Cordell Talley

Defence

  • 5Leo Burney
  • 22C. Keeley
  • 4A. Quinn

Midfield

  • 2E. Agbaje
  • 17S. Farrell
  • 10B. Kavanagh
  • 8Ethan O'Brien
  • 3C. Kane

Attack

  • 11T. Oluwa
  • 24W. Davis
Substitutes (9)
  • 15A. Bates
  • 9K. Ancelin
  • 18J. Bolger
  • 31K. Cruise
  • 14M. Doyle
  • 6J. Godden
  • 36theo hennessy
  • 32D. Mare
  • 25R. Markey

Derry City

4-3-3

Coach: Mark Connolly

Goalkeeper

  • 13Tom Norcott

Defence

  • 23C. Dummigan
  • 4J. Stott
  • 3Patrick McClean
  • 19B. Fleming

Midfield

  • 22C. Barr
  • 17N. Twisk
  • 14E. Chapman

Attack

  • 21Kévin Santos
  • 29T. Smith
  • 7M. Duffy
Substitutes (9)
  • 11G. Whyte
  • 15J. Clarke
  • 32T. Doherty
  • 25Christy Grogan
  • 24Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
  • 1B. Maher
  • 10D. Markey
  • 12D. Burns
  • 34C. O'Donnell

Match Statistics

Drogheda UnitedDerry City
0.92Expected Goals1.35
76Passes accurate514
1Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox21
1Blocked Shots13
7Free Kicks7
2Shots on Goal5
5Goalkeeper Saves0
1Shots off Goal12
164Total passes616
4Total Shots30
3Yellow Cards2
4Corner Kicks11
0Offsides2
7Fouls7
0Red Cards0
21%Ball Possession79%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.163.282.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.331.31

Draw no bet

12
2.271.57

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.93

1st half

1X2
3.732.132.86

2nd half

1X2
3.392.372.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1715.128.7
HT X7.034.935.33
HT 235.014.33.49

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.229.881.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.00
1.51.303.23
2.52.031.75
3.53.541.25
4.57.171.07
5.515.81.02
6.534.0–
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.027.80
1.251.154.25
1.751.382.78
21.512.40
2.251.771.98
2.752.301.57
32.771.39
3.253.141.27
3.754.401.14
46.251.06
4.256.701.05
4.758.481.02
59.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.271.35
-0.252.711.42
02.311.58
+0.251.861.87
+0.51.652.20
+0.751.452.56
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.951.01
-1.57.131.05
-1.256.671.07
-16.121.08
-0.754.011.21
+11.283.39
+1.251.233.85
+1.51.174.25
+1.751.105.65
+21.018.80
+2.251.019.38
+2.51.019.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.74
7.51.213.53
8.51.452.52
9.51.801.91
10.52.251.56
11.52.991.31
12.54.161.15
13.56.261.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.48
71.085.23
7.251.144.19
7.751.233.38
81.263.20
8.251.352.78
8.751.502.37
91.582.27
9.251.672.06
9.751.871.83
102.011.75
10.252.111.64
10.752.401.48
112.651.39
11.252.801.35
11.753.291.25
123.801.18
12.253.981.16
12.754.821.10
135.851.05
13.256.061.04