OddsFilter

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.• Premier Division, Ireland

#42.0:2.018:45Today · The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry1.8:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.12PINX3.34PIN22.321XBMargin at best5.1%Books5Markets45Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.123.342.305.5%
1xBet2.973.302.327.1%
Marathonbet2.963.302.307.6%
Dafabet3.053.252.258.0%
Betano3.003.202.308.1%
Best of all books3.123.342.325.1%
Average3.023.282.297.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Last 10#4Table position#21.28Points per game1.8411Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 50.453Attack rating4717Defence rating8340Form rating6064H2H rating3647Goals model5346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 00:41 UTC

Derry City

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

18 SepHGalway United1-0W
14 SepAWaterford2-2D
11 SepAShelbourne1-0W
6 SepHDundalk4-2W
30 AugHShamrock Rovers3-3D
21 AugABohemians3-5L
14 AugAUCD2-1W
7 AugHSligo Rovers2-0W
2 AugASt Patrick's Athl.1-1D
30 JulHHNK Rijeka0-1L

St Patrick's Athl.

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

19 SepASligo Rovers1-0W
14 SepADundalk4-0W
11 SepHShamrock Rovers2-0W
5 SepHBohemians1-1D
28 AugHWaterford0-2L
21 AugADrogheda United2-0W
16 AugHShamrock Rovers3-2W
9 AugAShelbourne2-1W
2 AugHDerry City1-1D
24 JulHDundalk1-1D

Head to head

14Derry City wins
10draws
7St Patrick's Athl. wins

31 meetings · goals 38:25 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Derry City

2 Aug 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.1-1Derry City
22 May 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City0-0St Patrick's Athl.
16 Mar 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.0-0Derry City
29 Aug 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City2-2St Patrick's Athl.
23 Jun 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.0-1Derry City
5 May 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionDerry City1-0St Patrick's Athl.
3 Mar 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.2-0Derry City
25 Oct 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.1-0Derry City
21 Jul 2024FAI CupFAI CupDerry City3-0St Patrick's Athl.
17 May 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.0-1Derry City

Premier Division tablePremier Divisionupdated 8 Oct 22:51 UTC

In the Premier Division table, Derry City sit 4th with 41 points from 32 games, while St Patrick's Athl. are 2nd with 59 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers32188652:32+2062
2St Patrick's Athl.32178752:25+2759
3Bohemians32178757:38+1959
4Derry City32914945:42+341
5Dundalk3310111250:55-541
6Shelbourne329131042:45-340
7Galway United329111242:48-638
8Waterford327131244:54-1034
9Drogheda United338101539:54-1534
10Sligo Rovers32581924:54-3023

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%3.02X28%3.31241%2.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:017 Oct 02:211 3.02X 3.312 2.31
12.98 → 3.02 +1.3%X3.40 → 3.31 -2.6%22.26 → 2.31 +2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.931.885.0%
1xBet1.901.847.0%
Marathonbet1.901.847.0%
Betano1.911.837.0%
Best of all books1.931.885.0%
Average1.911.856.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.702.047.8%
Marathonbet1.702.018.6%
Best of all books1.702.057.6%
Average1.702.038.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Derry City 10%Draw 45%St Patrick's Athl. 45%

The statistical model rates Derry City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and St Patrick's Athl. at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.02 | 3.31 | 2.31, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier Division table: Derry City are 4th (41 pts, 45-42 goals), St Patrick's Athl. 2nd (59 pts, 52-25).

Over their last five matches, Derry City averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; St Patrick's Athl. averaged 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or St Patrick's Athl..

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.023.282.29

Double chance

1XX212
1.591.371.30

Draw no bet

12
2.121.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.702.03

1st half

1X2
3.642.112.93

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.179.101.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.068.43
1.51.273.33
2.51.911.85
3.53.161.30
4.55.901.09
5.510.31.03
6.511.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.50
11.027.90
1.251.134.50
1.751.322.93
21.432.61
2.251.672.12
2.752.131.64
32.571.45
3.252.831.33
3.753.861.18
45.301.09
4.255.651.08
59.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.091.37
-0.252.521.48
02.171.66
+0.251.781.94
+0.51.622.28
+0.751.412.65
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.071.02
-1.56.051.06
-1.255.601.08
-15.101.10
-0.753.641.23
+11.243.55
+1.251.204.01
+1.51.144.40
+1.751.085.70
+21.018.60
+2.51.028.90