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St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne• Premier Division, Ireland

#21.8:0.41-2FTToday · Richmond Park, Dublin2.0:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.61PINX4.22PIN25.38PINMargin at best4.4%Books6Markets84Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.614.225.384.4%
1xBet1.614.054.986.9%
Marathonbet1.594.055.057.4%
Bet3651.603.805.008.8%
BetVictor1.573.905.009.3%
William Hill1.573.905.009.3%
Best of all books1.614.225.384.4%
Average1.593.995.077.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
Last 10#2Table position#41.84Points per game1.3010Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 51.447Attack rating5378Defence rating2263Form rating3771H2H rating2968Goals model3265Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC

St Patrick's Athl.

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

19 SepASligo Rovers1-0W
14 SepADundalk4-0W
11 SepHShamrock Rovers2-0W
5 SepHBohemians1-1D
28 AugHWaterford0-2L
21 AugADrogheda United2-0W
16 AugHShamrock Rovers3-2W
9 AugAShelbourne2-1W
2 AugHDerry City1-1D
24 JulHDundalk1-1D

Shelbourne

2W 4D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

9 OctHSligo Rovers5-1W
25 SepAGalway United1-1D
18 SepADundalk3-2W
14 SepHDrogheda United1-2L
11 SepHDerry City0-1L
4 SepAShamrock Rovers0-0D
28 AugAGalway United1-1D
13 AugHAjax2-2D
9 AugHSt Patrick's Athl.1-2L
6 AugAAjax1-3L

Head to head

10St Patrick's Athl. wins
3draws
9Shelbourne wins

22 meetings · goals 31:23 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for St Patrick's Athl.

9 Aug 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne1-2St Patrick's Athl.
15 May 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.0-1Shelbourne
6 Mar 2026Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne2-3St Patrick's Athl.
1 Nov 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne0-0St Patrick's Athl.
17 Aug 2025FAI CupFAI CupSt Patrick's Athl.2-0Shelbourne
16 Jun 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.0-1Shelbourne
9 May 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne2-1St Patrick's Athl.
4 Apr 2025Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.0-0Shelbourne
30 Sep 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionShelbourne2-3St Patrick's Athl.
20 May 2024Premier DivisionPremier DivisionSt Patrick's Athl.1-2Shelbourne

Premier Division tablePremier Divisionupdated 16 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the Premier Division table, St Patrick's Athl. sit 2nd with 59 points from 32 games, while Shelbourne are 4th with 43 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:33+2165
2St Patrick's Athl.32178752:25+2759
3Bohemians33178858:40+1859
4Shelbourne3310131047:46+143
5Derry City32914945:42+341
6Dundalk3310111250:55-541
7Galway United329111242:48-638
8Waterford327131244:54-1034
9Drogheda United338101539:54-1534
10Sligo Rovers33582025:59-3423

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.59X23%3.98218%5.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 17:501 1.59X 3.992 5.07
11.55 → 1.59 +2.6%X3.99 → 3.99 0.0%25.20 → 5.07 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.742.163.8%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.712.067.0%
Marathonbet1.712.067.0%
BetVictor1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.742.163.8%
Average1.712.086.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.752.007.1%
William Hill1.752.007.1%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.016.9%
Average1.732.007.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

St Patrick's Athl. 45%Draw 45%Shelbourne 10%

The statistical model rated St Patrick's Athl. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Shelbourne at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.98 | 5.12, which imply roughly 62.9% for a St Patrick's Athl. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier Division table: St Patrick's Athl. are 2nd (59 pts, 52-25 goals), Shelbourne 4th (43 pts, 47-46).

Over their last five matches, St Patrick's Athl. averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Shelbourne averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : St Patrick's Athl. or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

St Patrick's Athl.

3-5-2

Coach: S. Kenny

Goalkeeper

  • 94J. Anang

Defence

  • 4J. Redmond
  • 2S. Hoare
  • 24L. Turner

Midfield

  • 7Z. Elbouzedi
  • 6J. Lennon
  • 10K. Leavy
  • 19B. Baggley
  • 11J. McClelland

Attack

  • 21A. Olusanya
  • 9A. Keena
Substitutes (9)
  • 3A. Breslin
  • 23J. Brown
  • 27R. Edmondson
  • 8C. Forrester
  • 33S. McHale
  • 16D. Nugent
  • 17R. Palmer
  • 1D. Rogers
  • 48R. Sheridan

Shelbourne

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Russell

Goalkeeper

  • 19E. Beach

Defence

  • 24M. Untergrabner
  • 16O. Casey
  • 4K. Ledwidge
  • 18James Barry Norris

Midfield

  • 21Jack Henry-Francis
  • 23K. McInroy
  • 22S. Moore
  • 27E. Caffrey
  • 17D. Kelly

Attack

  • 11M. Odubeko
Substitutes (10)
  • 31C. Walsh
  • 55James Roche
  • 10J. Martin
  • 6J. Lunney
  • 36W. Jarvis
  • 2S. Gannon
  • 14A. Coote
  • 9S. Boyd
  • 15S. Bone
  • 44Daniel Ring

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.593.995.07

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.261.21

Draw no bet

12
1.223.90

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.732.00

1st half

1X2
2.092.355.31

2nd half

1X2
1.942.634.68

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3716.040.0
HT X4.436.3011.2
HT 223.017.08.63

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4913.32.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.9
1.51.204.01
2.51.712.08
3.52.711.40
4.55.061.14
5.510.11.03
6.521.01.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.20
1.251.095.35
1.751.233.43
21.303.02
2.251.522.42
2.751.871.84
32.161.62
3.252.431.49
3.753.201.26
44.251.15
4.254.601.13
4.756.201.06
58.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.601.44
-1.252.321.56
-12.021.75
-0.751.732.01
-0.51.592.31
-0.251.402.74
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.701.01
-2.756.401.08
-2.55.021.13
-2.254.531.15
-24.271.19
-1.753.141.32
01.233.78
+0.251.194.28
+0.51.184.80
+0.751.086.38
+11.029.20
+1.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.69
7.51.213.56
8.51.452.54
9.51.791.96
10.52.241.57
11.52.941.31
12.54.181.14
13.56.321.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.44
71.085.19
7.251.154.16
7.751.243.36
81.273.18
8.251.362.77
8.751.502.36
91.592.26
9.251.682.06
9.751.881.82
102.031.73
10.252.121.64
10.752.421.48
112.671.39
11.252.821.35
11.753.321.24
123.841.18
12.254.011.16
12.754.861.10
135.911.05
13.256.121.04