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Mirassol vs Atletico-MG• Serie A, Brazil

#141.0:1.00-0FTToday · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol1.0:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.211XBX3.60BTN23.50BTNMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets93Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.153.603.502.9%
Pinnacle2.203.493.463.0%
Dafabet2.213.503.353.7%
1xBet2.213.443.344.3%
Bet3652.153.503.305.4%
BetVictor2.153.503.206.3%
Marathonbet2.143.343.247.5%
Betfair2.103.303.308.2%
William Hill2.153.203.209.0%
SBO2.183.153.0011.0%
Best of all books2.213.603.501.6%
Average2.163.403.296.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MirassolAtletico-MG
Last 10#14Table position#71.18Points per game1.477Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5055Defence rating4554Form rating4613H2H rating8851Goals model4943Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Mirassol

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

3 NovAChapecoense-sc2-1W
30 OctACorinthians0-2L
24 OctHSao Paulo1-1D
16 OctHInternacional2-0W
11 OctABahia0-1L
7 OctARB Bragantino1-1D
27 SepAUberlandia4-0W
19 SepHBotafogo2-0W
13 SepHVitoria2-2D
6 SepACoritiba2-1W

Atletico-MG

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

7 NovHGremio1-1D
5 NovABotafogo0-1L
1 NovAGremio0-2L
29 OctHCruzeiro0-1L
26 OctAFlamengo2-3L
21 OctAAtletico Torque0-2L
17 OctHCoritiba1-0W
14 OctHAtletico Torque3-0W
11 OctHSantos2-1W
8 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-2D

Head to head

0Mirassol wins
1draws
2Atletico-MG wins

3 meetings · goals 3:6 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Mirassol

16 May 2026Serie ASerie AAtletico-MG3-1Mirassol
28 Sep 2025Serie ASerie AAtletico-MG1-0Mirassol
26 Apr 2025Serie ASerie AMirassol2-2Atletico-MG

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 14 Nov 23:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Mirassol sit 14th with 40 points from 34 games, while Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points from 34.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo34237471:29+4276
2Palmeiras342110362:23+3973
3Cruzeiro341861055:48+760
4Fluminense34169955:42+1357
5Atletico Paranaense341591051:43+854
6Bahia341411950:45+553
7Atletico-MG341481244:40+450
8RB Bragantino341381344:39+547
9Santos3412111150:49+147
10Sao Paulo341281439:39044
11Botafogo341191446:53-742
12Coritiba341191440:51-1142
13Vasco DA Gama331181443:50-741
14Mirassol3410101439:48-940
15Vitoria341081635:51-1638
16Internacional349111438:42-438
17Corinthians349101536:42-637
18Gremio349101538:47-937
19Remo346111737:57-2029
20Chapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.16X28%3.40229%3.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0014 Nov 20:201 2.16X 3.402 3.29
11.99 → 2.16 +8.5%X3.48 → 3.40 -2.3%23.58 → 3.29 -8.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.911.982.9%
Betano1.881.983.7%
1xBet1.891.954.2%
SBO1.891.954.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Marathonbet1.841.907.0%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.911.982.9%
Average1.861.945.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.702.077.1%
BetVictor1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.672.097.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mirassol 10%Draw 45%Atletico-MG 45%

The statistical model rated Mirassol at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico-MG at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.29, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Mirassol are 14th (40 pts, 39-48 goals), Atletico-MG 7th (50 pts, 44-40).

Over their last five matches, Mirassol averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atletico-MG averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Mirassol

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 22Walter

Defence

  • 32Igor Formiga
  • 34João Victor
  • 2Lucas Oliveira
  • 6Reinaldo

Midfield

  • 25Neto Moura
  • 27Denilson
  • 96Carlos Eduardo
  • 7Shaylon
  • 77Alesson

Attack

  • 30Bruno Santos
Substitutes (12)
  • 90Thomazella
  • 20Daniel Borges
  • 12Victor Luis
  • 3Willian Machado
  • 10Chico
  • 17Fernandinho
  • 19Gustavo Silva
  • 80Wallisson Luiz
  • 21José Aldo
  • 33Eduardo
  • 95Edson Carioca
  • 9André Luis

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 22Everson

Defence

  • 2Natanael
  • 3Léo Duarte
  • 4Ruan
  • 6Renan Lodi

Midfield

  • 17Igor Gomes
  • 15Kevin Castaño
  • 28Tomás Cuello
  • 7Fred
  • 11Bernard

Attack

  • 9Mateo Cassierra
Substitutes (12)
  • 1Gabriel Delfim
  • 31Robert Alves
  • 53Pedro Tocantins
  • 34Samuel Lima Barros
  • 14Vitor Hugo
  • 10Gustavo Scarpa
  • 38Índio
  • 48Gutte
  • 5Alexsander
  • 39Mamady Cissé
  • 92Dudu
  • 29Cauã Campos Soares

Match Statistics

MirassolAtletico-MG
2Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal6
10Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots6
4Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox6
8Fouls7
4Corner Kicks2
0Offsides2
44%Ball Possession56%
2Yellow Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
376Total passes482
313Passes accurate412
83%Passes %85%
0.65Expected Goals1.14
0.12Goals Prevented0.12

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.163.403.29

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.671.29

Draw no bet

12
1.542.36

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.09

1st half

1X2
2.682.183.78

2nd half

1X2
2.432.483.44

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3213.330.6
HT X5.245.207.54
HT 224.013.95.47

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.819.852.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.3
1.51.263.64
2.51.861.93
3.53.131.34
4.56.001.11
5.510.61.03
6.516.91.02
7.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.38
11.047.78
1.251.154.61
1.751.313.09
21.422.78
2.251.632.21
2.752.091.72
32.451.52
3.252.681.41
3.753.551.23
44.831.14
4.255.151.11
58.381.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.071.35
-0.752.401.54
-0.52.141.71
-0.251.851.94
01.542.44
+0.251.402.83
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.751.04
-2.256.541.08
-26.961.07
-1.754.761.14
-1.53.911.24
-1.253.511.27
+0.51.343.36
+0.751.214.16
+11.106.06
+1.251.086.02
+1.51.076.85
+1.751.028.38
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.067.80
2.51.194.35
3.51.392.89
4.51.781.97
5.52.551.47
6.53.651.25
7.55.301.13
8.57.601.07
9.510.01.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.472.61
52.151.66
63.171.32

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0112.5
5.51.039.75
6.51.076.11
7.51.144.50
8.51.283.13
9.51.512.36
10.51.871.88
11.52.321.52
12.53.021.29
13.54.071.17
14.55.241.10
15.57.801.06
16.510.01.03
17.511.81.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.12
81.163.69
91.342.77
9.251.392.59
9.751.552.22
101.652.12
10.251.741.98
10.751.931.74
112.091.67
11.252.181.56
11.752.501.42
122.651.36
12.252.921.31
133.371.19
144.401.10

Latest Serie A results

6 NovVitoria 0-3 Fluminense
6 NovCruzeiro 3-2 Bahia
5 NovPalmeiras 6-1 Remo
5 NovSao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians
5 NovBotafogo 1-0 Atletico-MG
4 NovAtletico Paranaense 1-3 Vasco DA Gama