Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama• Serie A, Brazil

#200.8:2.20-0LiveToday · Arena Condá, Chapeco1.4:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.00BVCX5.21PIN21.44BTNMargin at best1.1%Books9Markets98Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	7.70	5.00	1.44	2.4%
Pinnacle	7.62	5.21	1.41	3.2%
Dafabet	7.60	5.00	1.41	4.1%
1xBet	7.24	4.86	1.43	4.3%
Bet365	7.50	4.75	1.40	5.8%
BetVictor	8.00	4.80	1.36	6.9%
Marathonbet	7.00	4.70	1.39	7.5%
William Hill	6.50	4.60	1.40	8.6%
Betfair	7.50	4.75	1.33	9.6%
Best of all books	8.00	5.21	1.44	1.1%
Average	7.41	4.85	1.40	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chapecoense-scVasco DA Gama

Last 10#20Table position#130.64Points per game1.243Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 51.636Attack rating6442Defence rating5830Form rating7036H2H rating6439Goals model6138Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Chapecoense-sc

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

3 Nov	H	Mirassol	1-2	L
28 Oct	A	RB Bragantino	0-3	L
24 Oct	H	Fluminense	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Botafogo	0-1	L
12 Oct	H	Atletico Paranaense	1-4	L
7 Oct	A	Vitoria	0-4	L
26 Sep	A	Atletico Nacional	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Atletico-MG	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Internacional	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Corinthians	2-1	W

Vasco DA Gama

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	H	Palmeiras	2-1	W
4 Nov	A	Atletico Paranaense	3-1	W
1 Nov	A	Palmeiras	0-1	L
29 Oct	H	Flamengo	1-4	L
24 Oct	H	Corinthians	3-2	W
21 Oct	H	Boca Juniors	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Sao Paulo	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Boca Juniors	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Remo	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Botafogo	2-1	W

Head to head

2Chapecoense-sc wins

7draws

2Vasco DA Gama wins

11 meetings · goals 10:11 · last 10: 1W 7D 2L for Chapecoense-sc

5 Feb 2026Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-1Chapecoense-sc
31 Jul 2022Serie B	Serie B	Vasco DA Gama0-0Chapecoense-sc
23 Apr 2022Serie B	Serie B	Chapecoense-sc0-0Vasco DA Gama
8 Dec 2019Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-1Chapecoense-SC
14 Sep 2019Serie A	Serie A	Chapecoense-SC1-2Vasco DA Gama
26 Aug 2018Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama3-1Chapecoense-sc
22 Apr 2018Serie A	Serie A	Chapecoense-sc1-1Vasco DA Gama
30 Sep 2017Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-1Chapecoense-sc
15 Jun 2017Serie A	Serie A	Chapecoense-sc2-1Vasco DA Gama
15 Oct 2015Serie A	Serie A	Vasco DA Gama1-1Chapecoense-sc

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 14 Nov 23:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Chapecoense-sc sit 20th with 21 points from 33 games, while Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71:29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62:23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55:48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55:42	+13	57
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50:45	+5	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	44:40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44:39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50:49	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	39:39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46:53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40:51	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	43:50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39:48	-9	40
15	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	35:51	-16	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38:42	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36:42	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	38:47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37:57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	33:68	-35	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg113%7.41X20%4.85268%1.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.19 → 7.41 +42.8%X4.17 → 4.85 +16.3%21.59 → 1.40 -11.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	2.27	3.6%
Betano	1.70	2.22	3.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.28	4.1%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.22	6.8%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.28	2.7%
Average	1.65	2.22	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betano	1.88	1.85	7.2%
1xBet	1.81	1.90	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.87	8.7%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.85	1.88	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chapecoense-sc 10%Draw 45%Vasco DA Gama 45%

The statistical model rates Chapecoense-sc at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vasco DA Gama at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.41 | 4.85 | 1.40, which imply roughly 20.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Chapecoense-sc are 20th (21 pts, 33-68 goals), Vasco DA Gama 13th (41 pts, 43-50).

Over their last five matches, Chapecoense-sc averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

14Gabriel Werner

Defence

5Heitor
25Victor Caetano
21Kauan
91Bruno Pacheco

Midfield

27Camilo
88Yago Felipe
22Max
10Giovanni Augusto
77Dylan Borrero

Attack

9Tulio Eduardo

Substitutes (12)

30Matheus
20Bruno Tubarão
12Fernando
6Mancha
35Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
80Miguel Carvalho
19David Antunes
8Robert Santos
55Rosivan
70Rubens Tadeu
39Rodrigo Endrio
51Gleidson

Vasco DA Gama

4-1-4-1

Goalkeeper

1Léo Jardim

Defence

2Puma Rodríguez
4Alan Saldivia
30Robert Renan
6Lucas Piton

Midfield

8Jair
18Marino Hinestroza
22Alan Lescano
11Andrés Gómez
9Facundo Colidio

Attack

19Bruno Duarte

Substitutes (12)

13Daniel Fuzato
66Cuiabano
55Gabriel Pereira
43Lucas Freitas
96Paulo Henrique
45Loide Augusto
85Mateus Carvalho
83Ramon Rique
10Johan Rojas
28Adson
20Brenner
7David

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
7.41	4.85	1.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.87	1.10	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
5.65	1.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
6.65	2.51	1.85

2nd half

1	X	2
5.88	2.82	1.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	12.5	18.1	20.6
HT X	14.7	7.20	4.21
HT 2	54.6	17.4	1.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.29	14.5	1.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.7
1.5	1.19	4.42
2.5	1.65	2.22
3.5	2.61	1.48
4.5	4.66	1.18
5.5	8.59	1.05
6.5	14.8	1.02
7.5	22.8	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.09	5.75
1.75	1.21	3.81
2	1.27	3.40
2.25	1.46	2.61
2.75	1.79	1.99
3	2.04	1.74
3.25	2.29	1.58
3.75	2.93	1.34
4	3.64	1.23
4.25	4.00	1.19
4.75	5.30	1.10
5	7.20	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.87	1.41
+0.75	2.59	1.47
+1	2.27	1.61
+1.25	1.92	1.86
+1.5	1.70	2.11
+1.75	1.52	2.42

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	12.5	1.02
-0.75	7.52	1.06
-0.5	7.50	1.10
-0.25	5.94	1.10
0	5.28	1.14
+0.25	3.67	1.26
+2	1.37	3.05
+2.25	1.30	3.38
+2.5	1.25	3.58
+2.75	1.16	4.46
+3	1.09	6.25
+3.25	1.10	7.00
+3.5	1.07	6.98

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.09	6.40
2.5	1.29	3.40
3.5	1.67	2.12
4.5	2.24	1.61
5.5	3.06	1.34
6.5	4.70	1.17
7.5	6.90	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.43	2.71
4	2.13	1.68
5	3.38	1.28

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.3
5.5	1.06	8.00
6.5	1.09	5.41
7.5	1.19	3.73
8.5	1.41	2.65
9.5	1.69	2.06
10.5	2.11	1.65
11.5	2.73	1.38
12.5	3.66	1.21
13.5	4.78	1.13
14.5	6.30	1.07
15.5	9.75	1.03
16.5	11.5	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.70
8	1.19	3.35
8.25	1.30	2.97
8.75	1.42	2.52
9	1.47	2.46
9.25	1.57	2.16
9.75	1.77	1.89
10	1.90	1.86
10.25	1.99	1.68
10.75	2.08	1.62
11	2.31	1.52
11.25	2.62	1.38
12	2.82	1.28
13	3.72	1.15
14	4.85	1.08

Latest Serie A results

14 Nov	Mirassol 0-0 Atletico-MG
6 Nov	Vitoria 0-3 Fluminense
6 Nov	Cruzeiro 3-2 Bahia
5 Nov	Palmeiras 6-1 Remo
5 Nov	Sao Paulo 0-0 Corinthians
5 Nov	Botafogo 1-0 Atletico-MG