HLM vs 
Gorée• Ligue 1, Senegal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 14:13 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 8.0% |
| Betano | 2.90 | 2.60 | 2.62 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 11.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.81 | 2.62 | 2.61 | 12.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 2.62 | 2.61 | 12.1% |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.50 | 2.62 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.95 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 8.0% |
| Average | 2.88 | 2.61 | 2.63 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 07:10 UTC
HLM
5W 4D 1L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against
| 8 Nov | A | Teungueth | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Stade de Mbour | 3-2 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Diambars | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Casa Sport | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Jun | H | Pikine | 2-1 | W |
| 22 May | A | Sonacos | 0-0 | D |
| 17 May | H | Génération Foot | 0-1 | L |
| 13 May | H | La Linguère | 0-0 | D |
| 10 May | A | Gorée | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | H | Guédiawaye | 2-1 | W |
Gorée
4W 5D 1L · goals 9:5 · per match 0.9 for, 0.5 against
| 7 Nov | H | Essamaye | 1-0 | W |
| 2 Nov | H | Ouakam | 2-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | DSC | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | La Linguère | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Jun | H | Stade de Mbour | 0-0 | D |
| 22 May | A | Wally Daan | 1-1 | D |
| 17 May | H | AJEL | 2-1 | W |
| 13 May | A | Ouakam | 0-2 | L |
| 10 May | H | HLM | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | A | AS Camberene | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 2:9 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for HLM
| 10 May 2026Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Gorée1-1HLM |
| 11 Jan 2026Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | HLM0-5Gorée |
| 26 Apr 2025Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | Gorée1-0HLM |
| 1 Dec 2024Ligue 1 | Ligue 1 | HLM1-2Gorée |
Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 14 Nov 20:10 UTC
In the Ligue 1 table, HLM sit 2nd with 10 points from 4 games, while Gorée are 1st with 10 points from 4.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gorée | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | HLM | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Jaraaf | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 8 |
| 4 | Guédiawaye | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | Wally Daan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | AJEL | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 | Génération Foot | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Diambars | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Teungueth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Stade de Mbour | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | DSC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Casa Sport | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Pikine | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Ouakam | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Essamaye | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | La Linguère | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 6.0% |
| 1xBet | 3.08 | 1.28 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 1.28 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 3.25 | 1.33 | 6.0% |
| Average | 3.14 | 1.30 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.38 | 1.50 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.39 | 1.49 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 1.47 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.39 | 1.50 | 8.5% |
| Average | 2.39 | 1.49 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated HLM at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gorée at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.88 | 2.61 | 2.63, which imply roughly 38.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 1 table: HLM are 2nd (10 pts, 8-5 goals), Gorée 1st (10 pts, 5-0).
Over their last five matches, HLM averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Gorée averaged 1.3 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gorée.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | 2.61 | 2.63 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.39 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.90 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.39 | 1.49 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.83 | 1.73 | 3.54 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 1.95 | 3.13 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.05 | 16.3 | 43.0 |
| HT X | 5.90 | 3.48 | 5.40 |
| HT 2 | 45.5 | 17.0 | 4.53 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 4.72 | 2.16 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| 2.5 | 3.14 | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 6.85 | 1.04 |
| 4.5 | 17.0 | 1.02 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.16 | 4.26 |
| 1 | 1.21 | 3.62 |
| 1.25 | 1.45 | 2.44 |
| 1.75 | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| 2 | 2.38 | 1.47 |
| 2.25 | 2.77 | 1.35 |
| 2.75 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
| 3 | 5.90 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.87 | 1.34 |
| -0.25 | 2.36 | 1.49 |
| 0 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
| +0.25 | 1.57 | 2.18 |
| +0.5 | 1.41 | 2.58 |
| +0.75 | 1.25 | 3.31 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -1 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -0.75 | 3.61 | 1.21 |
| +1 | 1.09 | 5.40 |
| +1.25 | 1.06 | 6.05 |
| +1.5 | 1.05 | 6.70 |
Next Ligue 1 matches
| 15 Nov | Pikine – Ouakam |
| 15 Nov | Jaraaf – Teungueth |
Latest Ligue 1 results
| 14 Nov | Diambars 4-1 Stade de Mbour |
| 14 Nov | AJEL 1-0 DSC |
| 14 Nov | Génération Foot 1-3 Wally Daan |
| 8 Nov | Guédiawaye 1-0 La Linguère |
| 8 Nov | Teungueth 1-2 HLM |
| 8 Nov | Ouakam 1-0 Génération Foot |