Diambars vs Stade de Mbour• Ligue 1, Senegal

#80.5:0.54-1FTToday0.5:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27DAFX2.85DAF23.50DAFMargin at best7.7%Books6Markets34Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 14:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.27	2.85	3.50	7.7%
Betano	2.27	2.70	3.35	10.9%
1xBet	2.20	2.72	3.48	11.0%
Bet365	2.20	2.70	3.40	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.18	2.72	3.38	12.2%
William Hill	2.25	2.50	3.40	13.9%
Best of all books	2.27	2.85	3.50	7.7%
Average	2.23	2.70	3.42	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DiambarsStade de Mbour

Last 10#8Table position#101.25Points per game0.758Form pts · last 540.5Goals for · last 50.50.5Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5060Defence rating4063Form rating3871H2H rating290Goals model10060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 07:10 UTC

Diambars

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

8 Nov	A	Casa Sport	1-1	D
1 Nov	A	AJEL	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	HLM	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Essamaye	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	ES Zarzis	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	ES Zarzis	1-3	L
8 Jun	H	Génération Foot	0-2	L
26 May	A	DSC	2-7	L
18 May	H	Guédiawaye	2-1	W
12 May	A	La Linguère	0-1	L

Stade de Mbour

2W 5D 3L · goals 6:8 · per match 0.6 for, 0.8 against

8 Nov	H	Jaraaf	0-0	D
30 Oct	A	HLM	2-3	L
25 Oct	H	Guédiawaye	0-0	D
17 Oct	A	Wally Daan	0-0	D
4 Jun	A	Gorée	0-0	D
22 May	H	Guédiawaye	0-2	L
17 May	A	Teungueth	0-2	L
13 May	A	DSC	2-0	W
10 May	H	Wally Daan	1-1	D
3 May	A	AJEL	1-0	W

Head to head

5Diambars wins

5draws

1Stade de Mbour wins

11 meetings · goals 11:8 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Diambars

13 Apr 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Diambars0-3Stade de Mbour
10 Dec 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour1-1Diambars
6 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Diambars1-0Stade de Mbour
27 Nov 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour0-2Diambars
27 Jun 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Diambars1-0Stade de Mbour
28 Feb 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour1-2Diambars
28 Dec 2019Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Diambars1-1Stade de Mbour
18 Mar 2018Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Stade de Mbour1-1Diambars
3 Dec 2017Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Diambars0-0Stade de Mbour
20 May 2017Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Diambars2-1Stade de Mbour

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 14 Nov 20:10 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Diambars sit 8th with 5 points from 4 games, while Stade de Mbour are 10th with 3 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gorée	4	3	1	0	5:0	+5	10
2	HLM	4	3	1	0	8:5	+3	10
3	Jaraaf	4	2	2	0	5:2	+3	8
4	Guédiawaye	4	2	2	0	3:1	+2	8
5	Wally Daan	5	2	1	2	5:3	+2	7
6	AJEL	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6
7	Génération Foot	5	1	2	2	4:4	0	5
8	Diambars	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
9	Teungueth	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
10	Stade de Mbour	4	0	3	1	2:3	-1	3
11	DSC	4	0	3	1	2:3	-1	3
12	Casa Sport	4	0	3	1	3:5	-2	3
13	Pikine	4	0	3	1	2:5	-3	3
14	Ouakam	4	1	0	3	2:6	-4	3
15	Essamaye	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2
16	La Linguère	3	0	1	2	0:3	-3	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.23X33%2.70226%3.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.25	1.33	6.0%
Pinnacle	3.14	1.28	10.0%
1xBet	3.08	1.28	10.6%
Marathonbet	3.08	1.28	10.6%
Best of all books	3.25	1.33	6.0%
Average	3.14	1.29	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.38	1.50	8.7%
1xBet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.44	1.45	9.9%
Best of all books	2.44	1.50	7.7%
Average	2.42	1.47	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Diambars 45%Draw 45%Stade de Mbour 10%

The statistical model rated Diambars at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Stade de Mbour at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 2.70 | 3.42, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Diambars win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Diambars are 8th (5 pts, 2-2 goals), Stade de Mbour 10th (3 pts, 2-3).

Over their last five matches, Diambars averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Stade de Mbour averaged 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Diambars or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.23	2.70	3.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.53	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.42	1.47

1st half

1	X	2
3.08	1.76	4.44

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	1.97	3.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.80	17.0	48.0
HT X	4.88	3.60	6.80
HT 2	39.5	17.8	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	4.80	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.10
1.5	1.68	2.01
2.5	3.14	1.29
3.5	6.60	1.05
4.5	17.0	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.45
1	1.20	3.69
1.25	1.44	2.46
1.75	1.91	1.77
2	2.33	1.49
2.25	2.73	1.36
2.75	3.90	1.18
3	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.37
-0.5	2.21	1.55
-0.25	1.89	1.81
0	1.52	2.31
+0.25	1.34	2.81
+0.5	1.26	3.29

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.05	1.10
-1.25	4.50	1.13
-1	3.89	1.18
+0.75	1.14	4.45
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.01	9.00

Next Ligue 1 matches

15 Nov	Pikine – Ouakam
15 Nov	Jaraaf – Teungueth

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

14 Nov	HLM 0-1 Gorée
14 Nov	AJEL 1-0 DSC
14 Nov	Génération Foot 1-3 Wally Daan
8 Nov	Guédiawaye 1-0 La Linguère
8 Nov	Teungueth 1-2 HLM
8 Nov	Ouakam 1-0 Génération Foot