OddsFilter
Live

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic• USL Championship, USA

2.0:0.400:0016/11 · Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park1.6:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.01PINX3.30B36522.62PINMargin at best1.7%Books9Markets76Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.012.902.625.9%
Dafabet3.003.302.316.9%
BetVictor2.753.252.408.8%
Betfair2.803.102.409.6%
Betano2.803.052.4010.2%
Bet3652.753.302.2511.1%
William Hill2.802.882.4511.3%
1xBet2.822.842.4311.8%
Marathonbet2.822.842.4311.8%
Best of all books3.013.302.621.7%
Average2.843.052.419.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Last 1012Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4467Defence rating3348Form rating5220H2H rating8057Goals model4346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:01 UTC

New Mexico United

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

8 NovHColorado Springs4-0W
1 NovHPhoenix Rising2-0W
25 OctAEl Paso Locomotive1-0W
18 OctASan Antonio0-1L
11 OctHMonterey Bay3-1W
4 OctHPhoenix Rising2-1W
1 OctAFC Tulsa0-1L
27 SepHSacramento Republic2-3L
20 SepAColorado Springs0-0D
17 SepABirmingham Legion4-4D

Sacramento Republic

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

8 NovHEl Paso Locomotive2-1W
2 NovHFC Tulsa1-0W
25 OctHOakland Roots3-2W
18 OctAEl Paso Locomotive1-0W
11 OctHColorado Springs1-1D
4 OctAFC Tulsa1-1D
1 OctHLas Vegas Lights3-2W
27 SepANew Mexico United3-2W
20 SepHSan Antonio0-0D
13 SepHDetroit City1-0W

Head to head

4New Mexico United wins
2draws
9Sacramento Republic wins

15 meetings · goals 14:23 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for New Mexico United

27 Sep 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United2-3Sacramento Republic
21 Jun 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic0-1New Mexico United
31 Aug 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United0-2Sacramento Republic
9 Mar 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic2-1New Mexico United
30 Sep 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic4-0New Mexico United
19 Sep 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United3-1Sacramento Republic
22 Oct 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic1-0New Mexico United
21 Sep 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic0-0New Mexico United
23 Jul 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United3-0Sacramento Republic
23 Oct 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic2-0New Mexico United

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 14 Nov 00:20 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661
2Charleston Battery30165956:35+2153
3Detroit City30149734:21+1351
4Louisville City30138951:43+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345
6Hartford Athletic301013735:33+243
7Rhode Island301261242:33+942
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven30971435:41-634
10Loudoun United306131138:48-1031
11Birmingham Legion306121240:46-630
12Brooklyn30561934:63-2921
13Sporting JAX30352232:78-4614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.86X30%3.03238%2.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Nov 00:0014 Nov 06:001 2.86X 3.032 2.40
12.84 → 2.86 +0.7%X3.00 → 3.03 +1.0%22.41 → 2.40 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.991.825.2%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano1.931.826.8%
1xBet1.921.768.9%
BetVictor1.921.768.9%
Marathonbet1.921.768.9%
Best of all books2.001.824.9%
Average1.951.797.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.702.057.6%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.692.038.4%
William Hill1.702.008.8%
Marathonbet1.692.009.2%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.722.008.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

New Mexico United 10%Draw 45%Sacramento Republic 45%

The statistical model rates New Mexico United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sacramento Republic at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 3.03 | 2.40, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, New Mexico United averaged 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Sacramento Republic averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sacramento Republic.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.843.052.41

Double chance

1XX212
1.491.361.31

Draw no bet

12
2.011.72

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.00

1st half

1X2
3.482.063.04

2nd half

1X2
3.122.372.71

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.7514.029.5
HT X6.484.455.65
HT 230.813.74.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.138.601.89

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.88
1.51.293.26
2.51.951.79
3.53.271.29
4.56.211.09
5.511.21.03
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.066.25
1.251.174.06
1.751.352.79
21.462.49
2.251.702.01
2.752.171.60
32.591.43
3.252.821.34
3.753.781.19
45.101.10
4.255.401.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.801.40
-0.252.411.50
02.021.72
+0.251.682.06
+0.51.542.41
+0.751.362.91
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-211.51.01
-1.757.131.05
-1.55.701.10
-1.255.301.12
-15.001.14
-0.753.471.26
+11.213.94
+1.251.184.17
+1.51.154.53
+1.751.095.90
+21.018.60
+2.51.059.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.06
6.51.134.39
7.51.352.83
8.51.672.08
9.52.091.67
10.52.641.38
11.53.701.19
12.55.561.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.76
61.017.10
6.251.075.35
6.751.144.16
71.173.94
7.251.253.29
7.751.372.72
81.442.54
8.251.532.31
8.751.712.01
91.841.90
9.251.921.78
9.752.181.60
102.401.51
10.252.521.44
10.752.951.31
113.371.24
11.253.541.21
11.754.281.14
125.151.08
12.255.361.07

Latest USL Championship results

8 NovSacramento Republic 2-1 El Paso Locomotive
8 NovNew Mexico United 4-0 Colorado Springs
8 NovCharleston Battery 3-3 Hartford Athletic
8 NovLouisville City 3-2 Miami FC
2 NovSacramento Republic 1-0 FC Tulsa
1 NovNew Mexico United 2-0 Phoenix Rising