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Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive• USL Championship, USA

1.4:0.82-1FT08/11 · Papa Murphy's Park, Sacramento1.0:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70PINX3.83PIN25.00PINMargin at best4.9%Books9Markets85Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.703.835.004.9%
Dafabet1.703.754.706.8%
BetVictor1.653.704.808.5%
Betano1.653.604.659.9%
Betfair1.623.754.6010.1%
1xBet1.613.624.8010.6%
William Hill1.673.404.6011.0%
Marathonbet1.593.624.7011.8%
Bet3651.623.504.5012.5%
Best of all books1.703.835.004.9%
Average1.653.644.719.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sacramento RepublicEl Paso Locomotive
Last 1013Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4264Defence rating3665Form rating3540H2H rating6051Goals model4956Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 00:01 UTC

Sacramento Republic

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

8 NovHEl Paso Locomotive2-1W
2 NovHFC Tulsa1-0W
25 OctHOakland Roots3-2W
18 OctAEl Paso Locomotive1-0W
11 OctHColorado Springs1-1D
4 OctAFC Tulsa1-1D
1 OctHLas Vegas Lights3-2W
27 SepANew Mexico United3-2W
20 SepHSan Antonio0-0D
13 SepHDetroit City1-0W

El Paso Locomotive

6W 1D 3L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

31 OctHSan Antonio2-1W
25 OctHNew Mexico United0-1L
18 OctHSacramento Republic0-1L
11 OctHOrange County SC2-1W
3 OctALexington1-3L
26 SepHFC Tulsa1-1D
20 SepAPhoenix Rising3-1W
12 SepALouisville City2-1W
30 AugHLoudoun United4-1W
27 AugHPittsburgh Riverhounds2-1W

Head to head

6Sacramento Republic wins
0draws
8El Paso Locomotive wins

14 meetings · goals 15:17 · last 10: 6W 0D 4L for Sacramento Republic

18 Oct 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive0-1Sacramento Republic
29 Mar 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic1-2El Paso Locomotive
24 Aug 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive1-0Sacramento Republic
13 Jul 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic3-0El Paso Locomotive
20 Oct 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive2-1Sacramento Republic
15 Aug 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic2-0El Paso Locomotive
17 Sep 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic1-0El Paso Locomotive
12 Mar 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive0-1Sacramento Republic
19 May 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipEl Paso Locomotive1-0Sacramento Republic
13 Mar 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipSacramento Republic3-1El Paso Locomotive

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 14 Nov 00:20 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661
2Charleston Battery30165956:35+2153
3Detroit City30149734:21+1351
4Louisville City30138951:43+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345
6Hartford Athletic301013735:33+243
7Rhode Island301261242:33+942
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven30971435:41-634
10Loudoun United306131138:48-1031
11Birmingham Legion306121240:46-630
12Brooklyn30561934:63-2921
13Sporting JAX30352232:78-4614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X25%3.64219%4.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:018 Nov 02:101 1.65X 3.642 4.71
11.57 → 1.65 +5.1%X3.76 → 3.64 -3.2%25.04 → 4.71 -6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.021.834.1%
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Betano1.881.857.2%
BetVictor1.861.819.0%
1xBet1.871.809.0%
Marathonbet1.871.809.0%
Best of all books2.021.902.1%
Average1.901.837.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.851.858.1%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.851.848.4%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.851.819.3%
Best of all books1.851.858.1%
Average1.841.848.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sacramento Republic 45%Draw 45%El Paso Locomotive 10%

The statistical model rated Sacramento Republic at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and El Paso Locomotive at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.64 | 4.71, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Sacramento Republic win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Sacramento Republic averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; El Paso Locomotive averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.653.644.71

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.111.22

Draw no bet

12
1.253.59

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.84

1st half

1X2
2.192.205.17

2nd half

1X2
2.002.524.70

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4416.046.8
HT X4.315.4010.4
HT 224.316.58.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5111.12.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.78
1.51.283.34
2.51.901.83
3.53.261.30
4.56.161.09
5.510.81.03
6.513.71.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.10
1.251.144.46
1.751.332.89
21.452.53
2.251.682.05
2.752.151.61
32.591.43
3.252.891.33
3.753.961.17
45.401.09
4.255.801.07
4.757.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.801.38
-1.252.481.47
-12.151.64
-0.751.831.89
-0.51.652.17
-0.251.432.60
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.01.02
-311.01.01
-2.757.201.05
-2.55.531.10
-2.255.131.12
-24.671.14
-1.753.461.27
01.243.62
+0.251.194.15
+0.51.184.65
+0.751.086.17
+11.038.70
+1.51.029.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.114.61
7.51.302.98
8.51.592.19
9.52.001.73
10.52.581.40
11.53.561.21
12.55.251.08
13.57.271.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.134.38
71.154.14
7.251.233.44
7.751.342.83
81.412.67
8.251.492.38
8.751.672.07
91.781.97
9.251.871.83
9.752.121.64
102.331.55
10.252.431.47
10.752.831.34
113.211.26
11.253.381.23
11.754.061.15
124.851.10
12.255.051.09
12.755.521.06
136.831.02
13.257.051.02

Next USL Championship matches

14 NovCharleston Battery – Louisville City
16 NovNew Mexico United – Sacramento Republic

All USL Championship fixtures and the table

Latest USL Championship results

8 NovNew Mexico United 4-0 Colorado Springs
8 NovCharleston Battery 3-3 Hartford Athletic
8 NovLouisville City 3-2 Miami FC
2 NovSacramento Republic 1-0 FC Tulsa
1 NovNew Mexico United 2-0 Phoenix Rising
1 NovLexington 1-1 Colorado Springs