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New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising• USL Championship, USA

1.2:0.823:0001/11 · Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park2.0:2.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.85DAF23.43PINMargin at best5.1%Books7Markets47Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.143.752.996.8%
Dafabet2.093.803.007.5%
Betano2.153.552.8210.1%
Betfair2.103.802.7510.3%
1xBet2.083.602.8810.6%
William Hill2.103.402.9011.5%
Marathonbet2.063.602.8111.9%
Best of all books2.153.803.006.2%
Average2.103.642.889.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Last 109Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 52.238Attack rating6373Defence rating2756Form rating4471H2H rating2963Goals model3760Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

New Mexico United

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

25 OctAEl Paso Locomotive1-0W
18 OctASan Antonio0-1L
11 OctHMonterey Bay3-1W
4 OctHPhoenix Rising2-1W
1 OctAFC Tulsa0-1L
27 SepHSacramento Republic2-3L
20 SepAColorado Springs0-0D
17 SepABirmingham Legion4-4D
12 SepHIndy Eleven2-2D
6 SepALas Vegas Lights2-1W

Phoenix Rising

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

25 OctHLexington3-3D
18 OctAOrange County SC3-1W
11 OctHLas Vegas Lights3-2W
4 OctANew Mexico United1-2L
27 SepAOakland Roots0-3L
20 SepHEl Paso Locomotive1-3L
13 SepHFC Tulsa2-1W
6 SepAMonterey Bay1-1D
30 AugHIndy Eleven2-1W
23 AugASacramento Republic2-2D

Head to head

10New Mexico United wins
4draws
8Phoenix Rising wins

22 meetings · goals 45:36 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for New Mexico United

4 Oct 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United2-1Phoenix Rising
7 Jun 2026USL League One CupUSL League One CupNew Mexico United4-0Phoenix Rising
12 Apr 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipPhoenix Rising3-0New Mexico United
5 Oct 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipPhoenix Rising0-1New Mexico United
1 Jun 2025USL League One CupUSL League One CupPhoenix Rising3-3New Mexico United
11 May 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United1-2Phoenix Rising
4 Nov 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United2-1Phoenix Rising
10 Oct 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipNew Mexico United1-2Phoenix Rising
31 Mar 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipPhoenix Rising0-1New Mexico United
8 Oct 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipPhoenix Rising1-2New Mexico United

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 29 Oct 06:10 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661
2Charleston Battery30165956:35+2153
3Detroit City30149734:21+1351
4Louisville City30138951:43+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345
6Hartford Athletic301013735:33+243
7Rhode Island301261242:33+942
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven30971435:41-634
10Loudoun United306131138:48-1031
11Birmingham Legion306121240:46-630
12Brooklyn30561934:63-2921
13Sporting JAX30352232:78-4614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.94X25%3.65228%3.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:0130 Oct 06:011 1.94X 3.652 3.25
12.10 → 1.94 -7.6%X3.64 → 3.65 +0.3%22.88 → 3.25 +12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.482.566.6%
Betano1.472.508.0%
1xBet1.432.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.432.4610.6%
Best of all books1.482.566.6%
Average1.452.508.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.402.757.8%
Betano1.422.658.2%
1xBet1.412.668.5%
Marathonbet1.412.609.4%
Best of all books1.422.756.8%
Average1.412.678.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

New Mexico United 45%Draw 45%Phoenix Rising 10%

The statistical model rates New Mexico United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Phoenix Rising at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.65 | 3.25, which imply roughly 51.5% for a New Mexico United win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, New Mexico United averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Phoenix Rising averaged 2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : New Mexico United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.103.642.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.621.23

Draw no bet

12
1.642.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.67

1st half

1X2
2.592.423.31

2nd half

1X2
2.422.733.02

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2713.025.7
HT X5.636.277.17
HT 221.013.34.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7418.82.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.0
1.51.125.01
2.51.452.50
3.52.141.64
4.53.451.25
5.56.021.08
6.58.501.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.0
1.751.134.60
21.164.20
2.251.302.98
2.751.552.25
31.702.02
3.251.921.78
3.752.421.48
42.881.32
4.253.151.27
4.754.201.16
55.501.08
5.255.751.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.401.49
-0.52.131.68
-0.251.841.85
01.602.19
+0.251.452.50
+0.51.382.97
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.801.04
-26.151.06
-1.754.451.14
-1.53.581.21
-1.253.291.27
-12.981.32
+0.751.263.41
+11.134.55
+1.251.114.91
+1.51.095.30
+1.751.046.75
+21.029.80
+2.51.0111.0

Next USL Championship matches

30 OctLouisville City – Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 OctCharleston Battery – Rhode Island
30 OctTampa Bay Rowdies – Miami FC
31 OctDetroit City – Hartford Athletic
31 OctEl Paso Locomotive – San Antonio
1 NovLexington – Colorado Springs

All USL Championship fixtures and the table

Latest USL Championship results

25 OctPhoenix Rising 3-3 Lexington
25 OctMonterey Bay 2-1 Las Vegas Lights
25 OctSacramento Republic 3-2 Oakland Roots
25 OctSan Antonio 2-1 Orange County SC
25 OctColorado Springs 2-0 FC Tulsa
25 OctEl Paso Locomotive 0-1 New Mexico United