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Louisville City vs Miami FC• USL Championship, USA

#41.8:0.23-2FT08/11 · Lynn Family Stadium1.6:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.69PINX4.23PIN24.75B365Margin at best3.9%Books9Markets89Rating70 · 31Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.694.234.554.8%
Dafabet1.644.004.707.3%
BetVictor1.653.804.608.7%
Betano1.653.604.709.7%
Betfair1.604.004.4010.2%
1xBet1.613.824.4910.6%
William Hill1.653.804.2010.7%
Marathonbet1.593.824.4011.8%
Bet3651.623.404.7512.2%
Best of all books1.694.234.753.9%
Average1.633.834.539.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Louisville CityMiami FC
Last 10#4Table position#81.57Points per game1.2013Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.60.2Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4788Defence rating1365Form rating3580H2H rating2063Goals model3770Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:11 UTC

Louisville City

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

8 NovHMiami FC3-2W
30 OctHPittsburgh Riverhounds1-0W
24 OctHDetroit City0-0D
21 OctASporting JAX2-0W
17 OctHIndy Eleven4-1W
10 OctACharleston Battery2-0W
4 OctAHartford Athletic1-0W
25 SepAHartford Athletic2-2D
19 SepHLoudoun United2-1W
12 SepHEl Paso Locomotive1-2L

Miami FC

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

30 OctATampa Bay Rowdies1-1D
17 OctHCharleston Battery1-2L
10 OctHLoudoun United0-2L
3 OctATampa Bay Rowdies2-1W
30 SepHSporting JAX4-1W
26 SepAIndy Eleven2-0W
19 SepARhode Island2-1W
12 SepABrooklyn1-1D
6 SepHPittsburgh Riverhounds2-2D
24 AugACharleston Battery0-5L

Head to head

8Louisville City wins
0draws
3Miami FC wins

11 meetings · goals 26:14 · last 10: 7W 0D 3L for Louisville City

23 May 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipMiami FC4-3Louisville City
14 Mar 2026USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City4-1Miami FC
11 Oct 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City1-0Miami FC
16 Aug 2025USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipMiami FC2-4Louisville City
2 Oct 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City3-0Miami FC
1 Jun 2024USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipMiami FC1-2Louisville City
20 Sep 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipMiami FC4-3Louisville City
13 May 2023USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City3-1Miami FC
27 Aug 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipMiami FC1-0Louisville City
19 Mar 2022USL ChampionshipUSL ChampionshipLouisville City2-0Miami FC

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 14 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the USL Championship table, Louisville City sit 4th with 47 points from 30 games, while Miami FC are 8th with 36 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661
2Charleston Battery30165956:35+2153
3Detroit City30149734:21+1351
4Louisville City30138951:43+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345
6Hartford Athletic301013735:33+243
7Rhode Island301261242:33+942
8Miami FC30991239:49-1036
9Indy Eleven30971435:41-634
10Loudoun United306131138:48-1031
11Birmingham Legion306121240:46-630
12Brooklyn30561934:63-2921
13Sporting JAX30352232:78-4614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.63X24%3.83220%4.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:017 Nov 23:001 1.63X 3.832 4.53
11.43 → 1.63 +14.0%X4.58 → 3.83 -16.4%25.49 → 4.53 -17.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.702.174.9%
Betano1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.652.078.9%
1xBet1.632.109.0%
Marathonbet1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.702.380.8%
Average1.632.177.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Betano1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.642.108.6%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.642.079.3%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.652.108.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Louisville City 45%Draw 45%Miami FC 10%

The statistical model rated Louisville City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Miami FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.83 | 4.53, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Louisville City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: Louisville City are 4th (47 pts, 51-43 goals), Miami FC 8th (36 pts, 39-49).

Over their last five matches, Louisville City averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Miami FC averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Louisville City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.633.834.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.152.161.20

Draw no bet

12
1.263.54

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.10

1st half

1X2
2.122.374.89

2nd half

1X2
1.932.724.45

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3215.140.8
HT X4.436.2311.1
HT 222.316.18.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4615.32.71

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0412.5
1.51.184.31
2.51.632.17
3.52.561.45
4.54.641.16
5.58.231.07
6.510.51.02
7.516.01.01
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.80
1.251.075.90
1.751.193.75
21.253.28
2.251.472.48
2.751.821.89
32.061.68
3.252.351.52
3.752.761.40
44.051.16
4.254.401.14
4.756.051.06
58.701.01
5.256.951.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.641.43
-1.252.431.50
-12.121.66
-0.751.811.90
-0.51.652.18
-0.251.442.58
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.11.01
-3.257.131.05
-38.531.07
-2.756.871.07
-2.55.231.12
-2.254.581.17
-24.341.18
-1.753.161.31
01.263.50
+0.251.204.02
+0.51.175.00
+0.751.086.03
+11.067.40
+1.51.048.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.93
7.51.273.18
8.51.532.30
9.51.901.81
10.52.441.47
11.53.301.25
12.54.851.10
13.56.791.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.114.70
71.124.46
7.251.203.66
7.751.302.99
81.342.82
8.251.442.50
8.751.612.16
91.702.06
9.251.801.90
9.752.031.70
102.201.61
10.252.321.52
10.752.681.38
113.011.30
11.253.171.27
11.753.781.18
124.471.12
12.254.661.11
12.755.721.06
137.111.01
13.256.571.03

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